The Sirius Report
Private Post
Get access to all contentUnlock private posts and exclusive community discussions.Sign up
The Sirius Report
Through 20 years of diligent research I have gained a unique insight and understanding of the ongoing geopolitical shift towards a multipolar world. I have extensive knowledge of Eurasia, South America, Africa and the U.S.. I am able to assess geopolitical events and provide a very clear understanding of what those developments mean in the context of the vast global changes now unfolding.
1.1kPosts
622Comments
846Likes
Joined on 23rd October 2025
US economic data, official data so treat with a healthy scepticism:
US Key Economic Indicators (Mid-2026)
Indicator | Latest Value | Period | Notes / Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
Nominal GDP | ~$30.8 trillion | Q1/Q2 2026 | World's largest economy |
Real GDP Growth (Annual) | +2.7% | Recent quarter | Solid but moderating |
Real GDP Growth Forecast 2026 | +2.0% – +2.2% | Full year 2026 | Moderate growth expected |
Unemployment Rate | 4.2% | June 2026 | Low, but slowly rising |
Inflation (CPI, year-over-year) | 4.2% | May 2026 | Elevated due to energy and tariffs |
Core Inflation | ~3.5–3.8% | Recent | Sticky services inflation |
PCE Inflation (Fed preferred) | ~2.7–3.8% | Recent | Moving toward 2% target long-term |
Federal Funds Rate | ~3.4% (projected end-2026) | Current policy | Fed in easing cycle |
10-Year Treasury Yield | ~4.1–4.3% | Recent | Moderate borrowing costs |
Non-Farm Payroll Growth | +57k | Recent month | Hiring slowing |
Budget Deficit (% of GDP) | ~5.5% (projected) | FY 2026 | Elevated |
Federal Debt-to-GDP | ~120–130% | Recent | High and rising |
Consumer Spending Growth | Moderate | Recent | Supported by wages, but cautious |
Manufacturing PMI | Mixed (~50 |