Inside the mind of the top investors

Bitcoin and Nasdaq Close Weekly w/ Gravestone Doji

These are very bearish signals

SPX-to-VIX Ratio

Keltner Channel pinball: another bounce to the middle Keltner Channel?

Does this setup remind you of the early February setup?

VIX Cycle Outlook

• Cut through the day-to-day noise.
• This cycle composite projection combines the four dominant intermediate- and long-term cycles.

UPDATE: altcoin gems target 20-80% 💎

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$ONDO sudah di area bikin base akumulasi dan saat ini ? $ONDO tepat berada di atas EMA50.

Menurut saya ? $ONDO akan bermain di range ini sebelum melakukan kenaikannya.

Tetap kuat dan jangan panik.

NOTE:

whale $ONDO masih hold dan beberapa wallet whale $ONDO yang saya share sebelumnya juga amaih pada hold $ONDO mereka.

SOX EW Analysis

· Preferred Elliott wave count.

TLT Elliott Wave Analysis

- Many are excited about the sharp TLT bounce from an "all-time low."
- There is talk of a risk-off trade.
- There might be something in that.
- But look at the bigger picture.
- My best Elliott wave count suggests that · TLT is likely bouncing in the intermediate wave (4) of an ending diagonal for Primary-5, ((5)).
- Wave (4) may reach mid-to-high 80s, then another swing lower, likely into 2027, which could complete a cycle-degree wave I; I positioned wave II at a maximum reasonable target.

Stay tuned for my cycle analysis.

JustDario Live Stream #15 (23rd October 2026) - SUMMARY

HACK Daily close above the expansion gate invalidates the bearish thesis under my system. Breaking back below would be a huge red flag and I would sell everything.

Life and Value After Default: A Follow-Up

In March 2012, amid the depths of the eurozone crisis and with Greece’s private-sector involvement (PSI) underway, we wrote a note titled “Equities – There’s Life and Value After Default” on our former Blogspot Blog “Macronomics”.

The argument was that the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE) and Icelandic equities could recover strongly once the acute phase passed. It drew on historical post-default recoveries (Russia 1998, Argentina 2001) and contrasted Iceland’s cleaner “let the banks fail” approach with more drawn-out European bank resolutions.

Fourteen and a half years later, the results (price indices, approximate levels from March 2012 to late October 2026) are as follows:

• ASE (ATHEX Composite): ~729 → ~2,588. Total return +255%, CAGR ~9.1%.
• OMX Iceland All-Share: ~644 → ~1,981. Total return +208%, CAGR ~8.0%.
• Euro Stoxx 50: ~2,530 → ~6,046. Total return +139%, CAGR ~6.2%.
• S&P 500: 1,408 → ~7,650. Total return +443%, CAGR ~12.3%.

Both markets more than t