$DAL - Survived through earnings, and dark pool and unusual options activity is making it look like it wants to push into the $100 range. Right now there's massive upside call activity with Decemeber expirations at $87.5 and $95. The chart looks good, the flow is aggressively bullish, and going into Q4 travel season with the potential impact of gas prices coming down could setup for a nice move. Still keep a stop loss because if this is not the bottom right here then will cut and find something else that can hold it better.
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Good morning!
Markets are mixed ahead of tonight’s key earnings. $SPCX gave AI compute stocks some breathing room yesterday, but now $META needs to deliver to help these gains hold. Otherwise, we could see the rally sold into at higher levels.
Bullish LEAPS activity is picking up in $NVDA and $INTC. With many stocks down 40–60% from recent highs, this could be a time to start researching selective accumulation opportunities like $CRDO $MRVL $NBIS $AVGO $MU. High-beta names like $CIFR $POET $BB $JOBY $SMR $TE $QS $KEEL look interesting for those comfortable with the risk, while $AMZN and $GOOG remain attractive compounder candidates.
If you joined me in the $NVDA $220 calls expiring today, consider taking profits on the morning pop—expiration-day options carry significant risk.
I’ll keep monitoring key levels this morning and share updates. Stay selective, manage risk, and don’t chase the rally.
NASDAQ 100 Technical Analysis – A Follow-Up
• After a deep oversold condition on Friday, NDX attempted to bounce but could not overcome the 50D and 100D MAs.
• Initial strength on Monday and Tuesday was met by afternoon selling, which produced two consecutive spinning top candlesticks, signifying indecision, i.e., a battle between bulls and bears.
• NDX remains stuck inside the ugly Friday’s candle and between the lower Keltner channel and 50D and 100D MAs.
• It needs to show another card, i.e., break the range.
• Somewhat surprisingly, the NDX/VXN ratio has not been able to bounce even to the lower Keltner channel.
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JustDario
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