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NDX Technical analysis:

· NDX popped up on Friday above the Keltner channel with a bearish candle.

· Was it a spinning top or inverse hammer? A close call, probably the former.

· NDX should eventually visit the mid and bottom Keltner channels.

· Notice short- and long-term negative divergences in RSI and the Bullish Percentage Index; the latter looks really bad.



1. $SOFI $15.77 — cleanest setup. CEO Noto made repeated open-market buys in 2026 totaling $2.2M+ (March, May, June), with zero insider selling in six months. Textbook base: the $14.88 floor has held three times since May under a $19–20 ceiling. Fundamentals inflecting — record revenue +43%, net income doubled, 14.7M members. Slightly above the $4–10 sweet spot, but the insider + base + inflection combo is the strongest in the screen.

2. $NOK $10.60 — strong insider leg, weaker chart. Real cluster: the board chair bought €1.5M across three discretionary purchases, and five insiders bought $2.2M into the July drawdown. Zero sales since April. Q2 brought record €2.8B in AI/cloud orders. Caveat: it's mid-range after a 116% year, not basing near lows — the base is still forming.

3. $KEEL $3.62 — purest insider signal, highest risk. The renamed Bitfarms. CEO + COO made $525K of discretionary open-market buys in a single week in August, right after the Q2-miss selloff. Zero insider sales.

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HACK/SOXX 195m BB squeeze


Everyone remains focused on semis but I continue to think that cybersecurity is about to dramatically outperform. This ratio has continuously failed to make a lower low as the 0.2046 level holds as support. This looks like a strong base building here, ready for the big breakout potentially.


Now that the authorities are issuing subpoeanas and regulatory inquiries into OpenAI et al, there is likely to be increasing scrutiny on cybersecurity protocol for autonomous AI agent implementation. That is a massive tailwind for cybersecurity from a fundamental persepctive. And the technicals support that interpretation too imho.


HACK is on the verge of breaking above the ATR EMA multiple DTL finally. Patience will be rewarded here.

NDX has shown relative strength compared to SPX, DJI, and RUT.

Its internals have been stabilizing and even improving over the past two weeks.

Does that mean the green path A is more likely? Not necessarily, in my opinion.


$TXG - Pretty wild to see where it was valued before when it was running on all hype, to what kind of revenue and how low it's valued now that it's actually got the AI infrastructure and narrative to push higher.


It really feels and looks like it's following the same path as AI where round 1 was the hype cycle, round 2 is where it makes ATH and actually has weight behind it. Obviously still some risk as a sector because we have to see huge discoveries come out of this but I think we are are already there.


A fun narrative to root for because we could see a change and health in humanity which is an exciting thing to be investing in. More exciting than robotics in my opinion.


1,2,3 Method again to get exposure but not get over exposed too early that no cash ready to go for a dip.

Sold

Just taking some more off the table as it's up 160%.

10x Genomics, Inc.

10x Genomics, Inc.

1 Oct

CLOSEDLONG

Invested Capital

1%

Buying Price

34.26$

Selling Price

90.08$

ROI

162.94%

DXY daily level 3 bearish exhaustion as it hits the upper trendline of the megaphone pattern


Expect to see a sharp reversal soon. Weak data tomorrow may do the job!

Good morning!


Futures are holding green. Yesterday was a tug-of-war between soft inflation and strong growth — growth won the afternoon. Semis are leading again on the $MU read-through, but everyone is really waiting for tomorrow’s jobs report. Soft payrolls + soft PCE = October hike risk fades and Q4 gets a tailwind. Hot data = yields could push higher and trigger a deeper pullback before a year-end rally. Q4 can be tricky, so stay flexible.


Our long holds: $CRDO $MRVL $AAOI $ON $AVGO $INTC + NeoCloud — $MU earnings support the AI infrastructure thesis, so I’m comfortable holding. $GOOG remains my big AI bet for 2027; $357 breakout could accelerate.


Levels I’m watching:

$AMZN $255–260 R

$TSLA $358–362 R — take profits on calls if we reach it.

$SPCX $157 breakout needed for the next move.

$CRWV — added calls yesterday; $90–93 = profit-taking zone.

$APP — fundamentals remain strong, but technicals are weakening; any meaningful bounce and I’ll look to exit.

$TE — if you added around $3.60, $4.

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Bitcoin Quarterly Update: Q4 Has Begun


Here are a couple perspectives


Difficult to say this looks like past bottoms when looking at the higher timeframes


Bulls did recover a lot of the yearly candle. But if this were to reject here, and make new lows, the yearly candle would basically be doomed and the secular bear market in my eyes would be VERY confirmed


See the Evening Star at the top of the Quarterly at the highs? That would then form on the yearly


This monthly candle stopped precisely at the close price of Q4 2025

Now we have a top in the process of confirming on USDMXN we can anchor QIM time + price. We now have 2 options for wave 2, sharp zigzag which would likely bottom before cyan on October 8th/9th. Or a flat correction bottoming towards QIM resolution around October 20th.


By October 9th we should be able to tell which one it is. I will be looking to long on a potential wave 2 bottom.

Aimtron Electronics is now 2.5x

Market cap up from 1650cr to 4150cr+ in last 9 months


D: Holding and biased



Natural Gas (NG) EW Count

  • ii was smaller than i by 0.02!
  • There is a reason why they refer to NG as "the widow maker."