Slice public feed https://slice.cc/feed Public Slice posts, articles, videos, podcasts and market updates. en Tue, 13 Oct 2026 09:38:04 GMT https://slice.cc/ywr/posts/the-bank-stocks-in-the-us-and-europe-have-really-sold-off-on-higher The bank stocks in the US and Europe have really sold off on higher long-term yields. Over time higher yields and a higher Fed Funds/ECB rate is good for the banks. It's why bank ROE's are so much higher in emerging markets. I own the big European banks and my plan is to sit tight because I expect with time we will see bank earnings continue to grow and beat expectations. https://slice.cc/ywr/posts/the-bank-stocks-in-the-us-and-europe-have-really-sold-off-on-higher The bank stocks in the US and Europe have really sold off on higher long-term yields. Over time higher yields and a higher Fed Funds/ECB rate is good for the banks. It's why bank ROE's are so much higher in emerging markets. I own the big European banks and my plan is to sit t... Tue, 13 Oct 2026 09:38:04 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (ywr) STOCK MACRO LONG_TERM ARTICLE <p>The bank stocks in the US and Europe have really sold off on higher long-term yields. Over time higher yields and a higher Fed Funds/ECB rate is good for the banks. It's why bank ROE's are so much higher in emerging markets. I own the big European banks and my plan is to sit tight because I expect with time we will see bank earnings continue to grow and beat expectations.</p> https://slice.cc/incomesharks/posts/mp-and-the-bet-on-magnets-if-you-look-up-charts-of-demand-for-magnets $MP and the bet on Magnets If you look up charts of demand for magnets you'll notice one thing, even the most conservative projects or estimates show an incredible demand for them with a massive shortage in supply. It's hard to find another material that has this kind of demand especially if you are bullish on the future with electric and hybrid vehicles, wind energy, and humanoid robots. Currently the biggest market and demand is from electric vehicles through 2030 but if you expand the time horizon another decade to 2030 to 2040 you are looking at a market even larger with humanoid robots. Elon Musk is wild with his estimates but the amount of humanoids he expects that we'll see by 2040 (10 billion robots) would 186x time the global supply of magnet production and make $MP 20x (would be nice but Elon is quite aggressive on the claims). Bullish outlooks expect magnet demand to grow 84% by 2035 in just it's base case. 147% if humanoids become a thing. The new 10X magnet plant targets 10,000 metric tons a year by 2028. The DoD has committed to buy 100% of its output for 10 years and guarantees $140 million a year in EBITDA, escalating 2% annually. This kind of guarantee means that as long as they are mining the magnets they'll be not only growing revenue but being cash flow positive and have a built in buyer. If the US government is this worried about not having enough they clearly see the demand. https://slice.cc/incomesharks/posts/mp-and-the-bet-on-magnets-if-you-look-up-charts-of-demand-for-magnets $MP and the bet on Magnets If you look up charts of demand for magnets you'll notice one thing, even the most conservative projects or estimates show an incredible demand for them with a massive shortage in supply. It's hard to find another material that has this kind of deman... Tue, 13 Oct 2026 03:48:41 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (incomesharks) STOCK CRYPTO MACRO ARTICLE <p>$MP and the bet on Magnets If you look up charts of demand for magnets you'll notice one thing, even the most conservative projects or estimates show an incredible demand for them with a massive shortage in supply. It's hard to find another material that has this kind of demand especially if you are bullish on the future with electric and hybrid vehicles, wind energy, and humanoid robots. Currently the biggest market and demand is from electric vehicles through 2030 but if you expand the time horizon another decade to 2030 to 2040 you are looking at a market even larger with humanoid robots. Elon Musk is wild with his estimates but the amount of humanoids he expects that we'll see by 2040 (10 billion robots) would 186x time the global supply of magnet production and make $MP 20x (would be nice but Elon is quite aggressive on the claims). Bullish outlooks expect magnet demand to grow 84% by 2035 in just it's base case. 147% if humanoids become a thing. The new 10X magnet plant targets 10,000 metric tons a year by 2028. The DoD has committed to buy 100% of its output for 10 years and guarantees $140 million a year in EBITDA, escalating 2% annually. This kind of guarantee means that as long as they are mining the magnets they'll be not only growing revenue but being cash flow positive and have a built in buyer. If the US government is this worried about not having enough they clearly see the demand.</p> https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/oil-up-broader-market-held-ok-change-of-character-not-really-aside Oil Up, Broader Market Held OK Change of character? Not really. Aside from obvious energy, sectors with positive breadth were Consumer Staples, Financials, Utilities, and Real Estate. Despite oil up and $NDX (techs/semis) down, $SPX was about break-even, because laggard sectors with many oversold stocks had just an oversold bounce. These sectors will not lead the next bull move, IMO. https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/oil-up-broader-market-held-ok-change-of-character-not-really-aside Oil Up, Broader Market Held OK Change of character? Not really. Aside from obvious energy, sectors with positive breadth were Consumer Staples, Financials, Utilities, and Real Estate. Despite oil up and $NDX (techs/semis) down, $SPX was about break-even, because laggard sector... Tue, 13 Oct 2026 01:50:15 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (bravocycles) STOCK CRYPTO COMMODITY ARTICLE <p>Oil Up, Broader Market Held OK Change of character? Not really. Aside from obvious energy, sectors with positive breadth were Consumer Staples, Financials, Utilities, and Real Estate. Despite oil up and $NDX (techs/semis) down, $SPX was about break-even, because laggard sectors with many oversold stocks had just an oversold bounce. These sectors will not lead the next bull move, IMO.</p> https://slice.cc/investmentguru/posts/smr-cash-covers-a-large-share-of-the-market-cap-there-s-no-debt-and $SMR cash covers a large share of the market cap, there's no debt, and one signed contract could re-rate the stock. You'd be buying a core nuclear and AI-power theme at a fraction of its highs. Sentiment looks washed out, which is often where entries are made. https://slice.cc/investmentguru/posts/smr-cash-covers-a-large-share-of-the-market-cap-there-s-no-debt-and $SMR cash covers a large share of the market cap, there's no debt, and one signed contract could re-rate the stock. You'd be buying a core nuclear and AI-power theme at a fraction of its highs. Sentiment looks washed out, which is often where entries are made. Mon, 12 Oct 2026 18:00:51 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (investmentguru) STOCK LONG_TERM INDICES ARTICLE <p>$SMR cash covers a large share of the market cap, there's no debt, and one signed contract could re-rate the stock. You'd be buying a core nuclear and AI-power theme at a fraction of its highs. Sentiment looks washed out, which is often where entries are made.</p> https://slice.cc/sonny/posts/adding-to-jnug-long-but-with-a-more-conservative-tp Adding to JNUG long but with a more conservative TP https://slice.cc/sonny/posts/adding-to-jnug-long-but-with-a-more-conservative-tp Adding to JNUG long but with a more conservative TP Mon, 12 Oct 2026 13:52:05 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (sonny) STOCK CRYPTO FOREX ARTICLE <p>Adding to JNUG long but with a more conservative TP</p> https://slice.cc/investmentguru/posts/nflx-70-30-trading-setup-broke-down-from-80-in-september-flushed-to 🚨$NFLX — $70.30 Trading setup Broke down from $80 in September, flushed to $66.50, now bouncing on three green daily candles with RSI at 37. upside targets from $70.30 $71–72 — first hurdle, the late-September shelf where it based before flushing to $66.50. $73–74 — next congestion zone, thin but real supply overhead. $75.60–77.87 — the 50/100ma wall. This is where relief bounces usually end unless volume expands. $80 — the September breakdown point. Reclaiming it flips the structure from repair to recovery. $72 is a bounce target; $75+ needs a trend change. Same discipline as always — partial into strength on the way up, because every one of these levels gets heavier. https://slice.cc/investmentguru/posts/nflx-70-30-trading-setup-broke-down-from-80-in-september-flushed-to 🚨$NFLX — $70.30 Trading setup Broke down from $80 in September, flushed to $66.50, now bouncing on three green daily candles with RSI at 37. upside targets from $70.30 $71–72 — first hurdle, the late-September shelf where it based before flushing to $66.50. $73–74 — next cong... Mon, 12 Oct 2026 12:16:51 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (investmentguru) STOCK LONG_TERM INDICES ARTICLE <p>🚨$NFLX — $70.30 Trading setup Broke down from $80 in September, flushed to $66.50, now bouncing on three green daily candles with RSI at 37. upside targets from $70.30 $71–72 — first hurdle, the late-September shelf where it based before flushing to $66.50. $73–74 — next congestion zone, thin but real supply overhead. $75.60–77.87 — the 50/100ma wall. This is where relief bounces usually end unless volume expands. $80 — the September breakdown point. Reclaiming it flips the structure from repair to recovery. $72 is a bounce target; $75+ needs a trend change. Same discipline as always — partial into strength on the way up, because every one of these levels gets heavier.</p> https://slice.cc/ywr/articles/ywr-hormuz-2030 YWR: Hormuz 2030 https://slice.cc/ywr/articles/ywr-hormuz-2030 In a land of investors with no view. Mon, 12 Oct 2026 07:58:46 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (ywr) STOCK MACRO LONG_TERM ARTICLE <p>In a land of investors with no view. The one eyed CIO with imagination is king. I say that because I’m kind of amazed. I’ve participated in two PM/HNWI/FO best ideas conferences in the last two weeks and listened to over 40 investment professionals stand up and share their best investment ideas on stocks, FX, commodities, economics, technology and macro trends. Both events were fun, with great people, great dinners, and lots of creative ideas. The ideas were great. But I was also interested in the meta game. What are a wide sampling of investment experts comfortable pitching. And what do they not want to pitch. I imagined each of them at some point prior to the event sitting all alone at home thinking of what idea they would present to their peers. Because I had to do that too. What would sound smart? What would sound stupid? Where did they have conviction? Where would they be able to answer questions intelligently? Will people agree with the idea? Or, will I look stupid? The first conference I attended was quite macro with lots of ideas around being long volatility (interest rates and FX), long gold miners, long UK, long EM, long Brazil, long Venezuela, and shorting the S&P. The second group was more futuristic and hyper focused on AI. Although it was not a tech conference the best ideas were bullish memory, bullish compute, advanced manufacturing and space. Like group 1, group 2 was also bullish on gold. All sensible and smart. Don’t get me wrong. But I couldn’t help noticing the two big things nobody at either conference wanted to pitch. Including me. One of them is the most important variable in the world. An obvious thing with the power to derail all other trades. The elephant in the room. The emerging energy crisis. ‘Too Geopolitical’ I want to share one more anecdote, because I think it explains why investors have such a difficult time taking a view on the Price of Energy. Even if the Price of Energy is the most important input to economic activity. I was at a shipping conference in London listening to a private credit analyst talk about his experiences lending to tanker companies. He said it had been easy back in 2013-2016 to lend to tanker companies when the ships traded at 60% of NAV. But currently, everything was ‘too geopolitical’. He didn’t have a view here and wasn’t playing. He would wait 2-3 years for the cycle to turn down again. Not that shipping companies need his money, but the comment was insightful. The sensible MBA graduate was confident to commit tens or hundreds of millions of dollars to a spreadsheet ‘return to the mean’ type trade, but the analysis and conviction broke down completely when it came to analysing political conflict. What would the IRGC do? What would Trump do? He had no idea. Or, just as importantly, I’d say he had no view he was willing to pitch to an investment committee back in Manhattan. No way. Too difficult. There is no Excel spreadsheet or chart which tells you what happens next. We have left the world of spreadsheets and are in the world of religion, history, egos, human nature and game theory. No way he was going to stand up in a boardroom and explain how they were betting hundreds of millions based on his hunch of how a highly religious military might react to a head strong US president who appears irrational and how long shipping rates might stay high. Instead, he conceded that it was all ‘too geopolitical’. Like that’s something we can just choose to ignore. The Energy Crisis issue is wrapped up in politics so the conversations very quickly get political and uncomfortable. I know because I’ve had them. It’s more pleasant to talk about AI. Except, maybe we need to get uncomfortable. In the future when we look back on this time with 20/20 hindsight, will we say the Middle East Energy Crisis was THE most important event which disrupted every other thing and determined everything about asset class performance through that period? Will we say, yes AI was super important over the long-term, but for several years the energy crisis disrupted everything? Is understanding the unfolding Energy Crisis today the same as realising the significance of the housing bubble back in 2007 and how it would ripple through the financial sector and change the world? The Frog in Boiling Water. Guys. I know the Iran-US conflict seems impossible to know and we would prefer to make calls on Memory and Brazil or whatever… but what is happening in the Gulf is freaking massive. Do you remember back to when we used to fuss about OPEC meetings and whether they would cut 100k or 200k barrels? That is so insignificant compared to what is going on now. Iran is blockaded with 2 mn barrels/day offline. 2 million barrels! That in itself if huge. And it’s not an immediate problem, but day by day there is damage to the fields which will take time and work to repair. Then Qatar; the biggest LNG exporter in the world at 20% of global supply, is blocked in and can’t get its LNG ships out. Then Saudi Arabia, the second largest oil exporter in the world is getting its arms pulled apart on both sides. The East West Pipeline is blown up, their refineries are getting attacked and their tankers can only get out of the SOM intermittently. What if Saudi gets completely disabled? Yes, oil and oil products are getting out through trucks, pipelines, and off again on again through the SOH, but we are probably still losing around 6 million bpd of supply which is 6% of global oil supply and maybe 20% of global LNG. But it’s not just the energy effects. This conflict has killed traffic through 2 of the most important shipping chokepoints. We forget about it but the Suez Canal is one of the great shortcuts of the world, and traffic there is down 50%. Ships from Asia to Europe are diverting thousands of extra miles down the coast of Africa, around the Cape of Good Hope and back up to Africa, adding time and expense to everything. The Energy Crisis is not confined to the Middle East either. Russian oil has been sanctioned on and off again since the Ukraine War in 2022. Then you have Ukrainian drones have been taking apart Russian refining capacity forcing it to import diesel from India and Turkey. And like with Iran, there are the gradual, slow burn effects to future oil production when investment is sanctioned. Also looming over the horizon is the effect this conflict will have on fertiliser and food prices if it continues. Governments have been trying to minimise the shock, but it’s been going on longer than everyone expected and the effects are starting ripple through the economy. Diesel prices are through the roof. And like in 2022 broader inflation measures are rising. Long-term interest rates are also moving higher. The Federal Reserve and ECB, which thought they would be cutting rates, have had to reverse course and start raising the policy rate. US house prices have been stable so far, but there are signs of weakness as mortgage rates keep moving higher. Stresses from the Energy Crisis are building. But like a frog in boiling water nobody wants to panic because who knows, the US-Iran War could be resolved anytime. Nobody wants to be the idiot who panicked and went overweight energy stocks the day before the peace deal. Irreconcilable Differences The Iran War has been off again on again since February. There have been talks and agreements. There have been times of relative calm. These fluctuations give us hope the whole problem could go away quickly. But really this conflict has been decades in the making and there are irreconcilable differences between the parties. The US does not trust with a nuclear bomb a military dictatorship who for decades has been burning American flags, bombing embassies and chanting death to America. Sorry. No way. On the other side the IRGC knows the US and Israel want regime change no matter what, and no matter what agreement is signed. They know their only real defence is a nuclear weapon. They want to be untouchable like North Korea. And it gets worse. If getting the US, Israel and the IRGC to sit down at a table and potentially iron out their differences wasn’t hard enough, now we have a side fight breaking out between the Houthis and the Saudis. A side fight which may, or may not drag in Pakistan and Turkey. Yes, there are attempts at talks between everyone, but the escalating missile strikes on cities, airports, ships and political leaders make it hard to put Humpty Dumpty together again. How could it get resolved? A consistent view I hear is that the IRGC is an immovable object fighting for its life and will never give up. The IRGC will never step down and can’t be overthrown from within. The US doesn’t want to put boots on the ground and the Iranian protestors are unarmed and don’t feel like charging the machine gun nest over and over again. There’s always a chance the IRGC dissolves from within and transitions to a more moderate government which the US and Isreal accept, and we get peace. And maybe this happens. Like the fall of the Berlin Wall. But I also reluctantly accept that the IRGC, like an old African dictator, can be good at ruthlessly hanging on to power. Which leads to the conclusion I usually hear that the only way conflict in the Middle East stops is if the US just goes away, or signs an agreement giving Iran what it wants (control of the SOM and development of nuclear weapons). Because, you know, ‘the US has lost already anyways. One possibility is that Trump loses the midterms and a new Congress enacts the War Powers Act, which forces the US military to disengage. This requires the Republicans to lose both the House and the Senate. The War Powers Act might be easier said than done though. The wording of War Powers Act legislation would be tricky in this situation. What exactly would it say? There isn’t a clear war. Would it say the US Navy can’t enforce sanctions on Iranian oil by blockading Iranian tankers outside the SOH? Would it say the US Navy can’t protect freedom of navigation in the SOH? There would have to be clear language which both the House and Senate could agree upon and they never seem to agree on anything. Historically it has been a tricky piece of legislation. Presidents have notified Congress of US military engagement as stipulated by the War Powers Act, but the act has never forced the removal of the US military from a conflict. Altogether, it might be wishful thinking that Trump loses both the House and Senate and then Congress passes legislation which forces the US military to leave the Persian Gulf. Some would argue Trump might support the process and actually be relieved to capitulate. He could say his hands were tied and get out of this mess. Possibly. Then on the other hand is the theory that to some extent conflict in the Middle East is good for the US and US energy dominance. Maybe Trump likes the status quo. It’s relatively stable. No US ships are getting attacked. No sailors are dying. Meanwhile, he and Bessent quietly choke Iran to death. Inconsistency of Middle East energy also keeps China on the back foot. We can go round and round on what Trump thinks, but it gets more complicated than Trump and the IRGC. We also have the Israelis, Houthis and Saudis. The Israelis will fight the IRGC to the end. They remember everything and will not be done until the IRGC is gone. And I don’t know how you put the Saudi-Houthi fight back in a bottle. The Houthi-Saudi conflict could shake Saudi to its very foundations, which would be a whole new chapter in the future history books. Then one other thing worth mentioning which thankfully hasn’t happened yet. Turkey and Israel are not happy with each other and have come close to blows in Syria. I used to play ice hockey in high school. When it had been a particularly rough game and fights broke out the referees could handle maybe 1-2 fights on the ice at any one time. But if it got to three fights at the same time things would get out of control and sometimes ended in a bench clearing brawl. We are in that 1-2 fight inflection zone now. More than 2 fights and it gets exponentially harder to solve. Messina, Sparta and the Three Hundred Year War. The first conference I told you about was in Greece. It was lots of fun and one of our side excursions, when we weren’t talking about FX vol, was a tour of the local Greek ruins. Our guide, a local Greek school teacher, walked us around the ruins while casually explaining the various wars which had ravaged the temples. She explained how the cities of Messina and Sparta had fought for centuries. As in “They fought between the 5th and 8th century BC”. It hit me how unimaginable it would be to have a ‘hundred year war’ in our day and age. We can’t believe the conflict in the Middle East has gone on for 8 months. Then listening to Greeks casually talk about hundreds of years of war, you wonder if our perspective of what is possible is highly influenced by an 80 year period of relative calm. Are we more intelligent and civilised now, so long wars don’t happen any more? The recent track record is that they don’t, Or can big, nasty multi-year, even multi-decade wars still happen? As they have in the past. Do drones and robots and precision missiles make it more likely that we have lower intensity, but longer lasting wars because fewer human casualties are involved? Maybe the current conflict gets resolved in December after the mid-terms. Or maybe in 2028 when a new president is elected. Or maybe it goes on to 2030. Or 2130. It’s hard to know. But we have to accept the off-ramps are hard to see right now. Which is why I titled this Hormuz 2030. And the risk is the title looks really foolish next week. But the idea is to expand our imagination on where this could be going and how long it could last. $200 Oil There is another reason investors don’t discuss the rise in oil prices, besides that the fact that it’s touchy to talk about the Middle East. It’s because most are structurally bearish. Oil is a dirty boomer fuel. A relic of the past. It will be like whale oil. Autonomous cars and robots don’t run on Brent Crude. The bearish view is oil would be $65 if it weren’t for the conflict with Iran. “You oil bulls got your dream event, a war in the Middle East and oil still can’t stay consistently above $100/barrel. That tells you how broken it is. It’s in a structural bear market” The futures curve confirms this with 2030 oil futures at $65 and 2037 at $55. The futures market says the outlook for oil is slow death. At this point there are two rebuttals I might make to the oil bears You were saying all the same things at $65/barrel and are saying them again at $95…..so…. As for not holding $100 despite all the conflict… let’s give it time. We’ve had an unprecedented draw down of global inventories to keep oil below $100. But that is a short-term solution. And it’s really ironic, or predictable, that Biden reduced the SPR a few years before we got the exact event it was created decades ago to cushion. Either this conflict ends soon or we are going much higher. But I’m not going to say any of that. Because I want to make a different point. This isn’t all about supply. There is a demand side too. We focus on the EV’s and renewables in developed markets, but we never step back and appreciate the hundreds of millions of emerging consumers entering the market place who need a lot of energy and are probably not going to plug an EV into their unreliable electricity grid. I agree EV’s are a headwind to oil price, but possibly we have the relative magnitudes wrong. Do you remember the last commodity boom which started in 2002 and why it happened? It kicked off because 1 billion Chinese started consuming while the mining and energy industry didn’t see it coming and wasn’t ready for it. So prices squeezed higher for years before supply could react. Well guess what? 1.3 billion Indians just did the same thing. GDP per capita in India has been going vertical and has crossed $2,500. In today’s $’s this is that same inflection point China hit in 2002. And like last time nobody is ready for it or talking about it. We are all focused on EV’s and the weak Chinese economy, but nobody is talking about 1.3 billion Indians. Or for that matter 1.4 billion Africans. For years the IEA did an amazing job of brainwashing the world that hydrocarbon demand was going to decline, not grow through 2050. And everyone bought into it. The energy industry, particularly the European oil majors, set modest targets for production growth. They reduced exploration, reduced drilling and reduced growth capex. BP, Shell and Total shifted a portion of their capex budget to renewables and away from hydrocarbons. This bullish EM demand story which the industry doesn’t see coming is why I was pitching $200 oil last year before the Middle East problems even started. Link to: Why $200 Oil Pops the Bubble. Where do we go from here? I’m going to take a stab at how this plays out across asset classes. It’s hard to do, but I think you have to. And maybe it helps. Sometimes it helps to have a guy like me plant a crazy idea out there that we could have a multi-year energy crisis unfolding. Then you can discuss it objectively at your IC’s without the reputational risk of being the one who came up with the idea if everyone thinks it’s ridiculous. Also this is not financial advice and has a high chance of being wrong. Oil Prices I’m sounding the alarm because from here on out if this doesn’t get resolved energy prices are going to start to bite. China and the US have done a lot to alleviate the problem so far by running down inventories. If the problem persists for months (or years) the world will have to adjust to the actual run rate of available oil. Prices will move higher. The next move up will be to $120-130 (in the paper market). I know we are already there in the physical market. While $130 crude oil prices (in the futures market) will be increasingly painful, my unscientific view is this will not crash the global economy, even considering record refining margins on top. Energy as a share of GDP/capita has been declining for the G7. 20% higher energy prices sounds negative, but it’s become a smaller and smaller slice of the consumption basket. Another $50/month at the pump isn’t fun, but things don’t grind to a halt. It also takes time for energy prices to filter into slower moving prices such as rent and mortgage payments. It’s why it’s going to take a substantial move in oil prices, like a move to $200, in order to derail things. Another reassuring sign for global growth is that so far emerging market currencies and inflation have been surprisingly well behaved. The EM’s have been managing the energy crisis well up to this point. Relationship between Demand and Price A word on high prices killing energy demand, because that’s a common view. Oil prices won’t go higher and could actually fall because higher oil prices will kill demand. Oil price may go up, but then they will go down. An economist would say a supply shock, which is what we are experiencing, shifts the supply curve to the left. After the shock there is a lower quantity (Q) of oil available at every price point (P) compared with before. This shift creates a new equilibrium point where the demand (line going top left to bottom right) and supply (lines going bottom left to top right) intersect. This new equilibrium point has both lower quantity and higher prices compared with before the shift. Which fits what we see currently. Yes, there is less oil available for consumption, demand has been ‘killed’, but with higher prices. The real-life picture can get more complicated than this 1 stage Supply-Demand model. Where the bears can be right is if central banks decide they want to fix high oil prices by raising interest rates. Then the Demand Curve shifts left and the new equilibrium point is further to the left. Meaning even less quantity. Depending on the relative slopes of the demand and supply curves prices end up lower than after the shock, but maybe still higher than before the shock. The Energy Crisis is a tricky one for the central banks. It puts them in a difficult position. Same as with Covid. It’s a supply shock, not an overheating economy. And central banks realise they should not be making matters worse trying to fix a supply shock with higher interest rates. But then on the other hand the inflation readings are out of hand and they feel they need to do something. US Equities and S&P $10,000 Like I said above. I don’t see $130 oil crashing the world economy or the US economy. I think US stocks can still go higher, for now.</p> https://slice.cc/justdario/posts/all-those-who-are-in-the-pr-trade-with-me-should-be-keeping-a-close All those who are in the PR trade with me should be keeping a close eye on GEX this week https://slice.cc/justdario/posts/all-those-who-are-in-the-pr-trade-with-me-should-be-keeping-a-close All those who are in the PR trade with me should be keeping a close eye on GEX this week Mon, 12 Oct 2026 03:26:39 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (justdario) STOCK MACRO LONG_TERM ARTICLE <p>All those who are in the PR trade with me should be keeping a close eye on GEX this week</p> https://slice.cc/investmentguru/posts/market-update-for-coming-week-cpi-decides-the-macro-earnings-decide MARKET update for coming week CPI decides the macro. Earnings decide the micro. Friday brings the verdict. Next week is an information-heavy week for the US market. Three things matter most: inflation, earnings quality, and the 10-year Treasury yield hovering near 5.3%. MONDAY — Columbus Day Stocks are open, bond markets are closed. Expect potentially thinner liquidity. Don’t chase the opening move. TUESDAY — Big Banks Kick Off Earnings JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and Wells Fargo deliver the first major read on bank health, credit quality and consumer resilience in a high-rate environment. WEDNESDAY — CPI: THE MAIN EVENT The inflation report could determine the market’s next direction. • Cooler core inflation: supports the disinflation narrative and risk appetite. • Hotter core inflation: strengthens the higher-for-longer rate outlook. The monthly core CPI number will be especially important. THURSDAY — Growth + AI Demand PPI, retail sales, jobless claims and regional manufacturing surveys provide a broad economic update. Taiwan Semiconductor’s earnings and guidance will also offer a critical read on AI demand, capital spending and semiconductor capacity. FRIDAY — Options Expiration Expect potential volatility as positions roll off or get adjusted. Industrial production adds one final economic data point. THE BIG PICTURE Three forces will drive this market: Inflation: Can CPI keep the disinflation trend alive? Earnings: Are companies delivering quality growth, or are higher rates beginning to bite? Treasury yields: Can equities compete with a 10-year yield near 5.3%? A cooler CPI and solid earnings could bring buyers back into growth and technology. A hotter CPI combined with weak earnings could reinforce defensive positioning and profit-taking. Watch the rotation beneath the headlines. If inflation cools, capital could rotate back toward growth. If inflation remains sticky, defensive sectors may continue to attract capital. My approach: Trade the information, not the anticipation. Don’t chase the first reaction. Let the data come out, watch how yields respond, and see whether the market confirms the move. The opportunity isn’t predicting every headline. It’s managing risk and being ready when the market shows its hand. https://slice.cc/investmentguru/posts/market-update-for-coming-week-cpi-decides-the-macro-earnings-decide MARKET update for coming week CPI decides the macro. Earnings decide the micro. Friday brings the verdict. Next week is an information-heavy week for the US market. Three things matter most: inflation, earnings quality, and the 10-year Treasury yield hovering near 5.3%. MONDAY... Sun, 11 Oct 2026 23:36:43 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (investmentguru) STOCK LONG_TERM INDICES ARTICLE <p>MARKET update for coming week CPI decides the macro. Earnings decide the micro. Friday brings the verdict. Next week is an information-heavy week for the US market. Three things matter most: inflation, earnings quality, and the 10-year Treasury yield hovering near 5.3%. MONDAY — Columbus Day Stocks are open, bond markets are closed. Expect potentially thinner liquidity. Don’t chase the opening move. TUESDAY — Big Banks Kick Off Earnings JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and Wells Fargo deliver the first major read on bank health, credit quality and consumer resilience in a high-rate environment. WEDNESDAY — CPI: THE MAIN EVENT The inflation report could determine the market’s next direction. • Cooler core inflation: supports the disinflation narrative and risk appetite. • Hotter core inflation: strengthens the higher-for-longer rate outlook. The monthly core CPI number will be especially important. THURSDAY — Growth + AI Demand PPI, retail sales, jobless claims and regional manufacturing surveys provide a broad economic update. Taiwan Semiconductor’s earnings and guidance will also offer a critical read on AI demand, capital spending and semiconductor capacity. FRIDAY — Options Expiration Expect potential volatility as positions roll off or get adjusted. Industrial production adds one final economic data point. THE BIG PICTURE Three forces will drive this market: Inflation: Can CPI keep the disinflation trend alive? Earnings: Are companies delivering quality growth, or are higher rates beginning to bite? Treasury yields: Can equities compete with a 10-year yield near 5.3%? A cooler CPI and solid earnings could bring buyers back into growth and technology. A hotter CPI combined with weak earnings could reinforce defensive positioning and profit-taking. Watch the rotation beneath the headlines. If inflation cools, capital could rotate back toward growth. If inflation remains sticky, defensive sectors may continue to attract capital. My approach: Trade the information, not the anticipation. Don’t chase the first reaction. Let the data come out, watch how yields respond, and see whether the market confirms the move. The opportunity isn’t predicting every headline. It’s managing risk and being ready when the market shows its hand.</p> https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/bidy-cycle-analysis BIDY Cycle Analysis https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/bidy-cycle-analysis BIDY Cycle Analysis Sun, 11 Oct 2026 23:08:14 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (bravocycles) STOCK CRYPTO COMMODITY ARTICLE <p>BIDY Cycle Analysis</p> https://slice.cc/tonythebullseverino/posts/gold-vs-bitcoin-bear-market-fractal-this-was-something-i-shared Gold vs Bitcoin Bear Market Fractal This was something I shared earlier on Slice when it first started, but on Silver, saying it matched BTC's parabolic advance, and I wondered it would unfold similarly. It did. Gold actually does this pattern. I have 100% seen this before. Just a long time ago and when you zoom out looks different than this on the chart This is why I like to say, a pattern is a pattern is a pattern I am in the process of trying to figure out why the market spits out this type of wave and not another type And THAT is why I moved into music theory. Because nothing exists that describes the different variables such as momentum, in Ellliott Wave.. But music has similar things, along with scale, rhythm, structure, etc. The only difference on Gold, is that it usually does a lower low on the COVID low. I tin it does a deep spike towards $3,0000 that's bought up huge and fast https://slice.cc/tonythebullseverino/posts/gold-vs-bitcoin-bear-market-fractal-this-was-something-i-shared Gold vs Bitcoin Bear Market Fractal This was something I shared earlier on Slice when it first started, but on Silver, saying it matched BTC's parabolic advance, and I wondered it would unfold similarly. It did. Gold actually does this pattern. I have 100% seen this before. Ju... Sun, 11 Oct 2026 22:37:42 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (tonythebullseverino) CRYPTO COMMODITY STOCK ARTICLE <p>Gold vs Bitcoin Bear Market Fractal This was something I shared earlier on Slice when it first started, but on Silver, saying it matched BTC's parabolic advance, and I wondered it would unfold similarly. It did. Gold actually does this pattern. I have 100% seen this before. Just a long time ago and when you zoom out looks different than this on the chart This is why I like to say, a pattern is a pattern is a pattern I am in the process of trying to figure out why the market spits out this type of wave and not another type And THAT is why I moved into music theory. Because nothing exists that describes the different variables such as momentum, in Ellliott Wave.. But music has similar things, along with scale, rhythm, structure, etc. The only difference on Gold, is that it usually does a lower low on the COVID low. I tin it does a deep spike towards $3,0000 that's bought up huge and fast</p> https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/ethereum-eth-time-cycles-eth-may-bounce-more-this-week-then-it-should Ethereum (ETH) Time Cycles · ETH may bounce more this week. · Then it should have a downside bias toward the end of October or even the second part of November. · That price low should be good for a 1–2-year long position. https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/ethereum-eth-time-cycles-eth-may-bounce-more-this-week-then-it-should Ethereum (ETH) Time Cycles · ETH may bounce more this week. · Then it should have a downside bias toward the end of October or even the second part of November. · That price low should be good for a 1–2-year long position. Sun, 11 Oct 2026 19:55:55 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (bravocycles) STOCK CRYPTO COMMODITY ARTICLE <p>Ethereum (ETH) Time Cycles · ETH may bounce more this week. · Then it should have a downside bias toward the end of October or even the second part of November. · That price low should be good for a 1–2-year long position.</p> https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/ethereum-cycle-projections-eth-ew-count-remains-as-before-it Ethereum Cycle Projections · ETH EW count remains as before. · It satisfied downside targets and found support at the 59td and 81td FLD, so it could bounce. · However, a drop this week below these FLDs may generate downside targets toward 2100-220 area. https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/ethereum-cycle-projections-eth-ew-count-remains-as-before-it Ethereum Cycle Projections · ETH EW count remains as before. · It satisfied downside targets and found support at the 59td and 81td FLD, so it could bounce. · However, a drop this week below these FLDs may generate downside targets toward 2100-220 area. Sun, 11 Oct 2026 19:54:48 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (bravocycles) STOCK CRYPTO COMMODITY ARTICLE <p>Ethereum Cycle Projections · ETH EW count remains as before. · It satisfied downside targets and found support at the 59td and 81td FLD, so it could bounce. · However, a drop this week below these FLDs may generate downside targets toward 2100-220 area.</p> https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/opex-is-next-friday-opex-week-often-tends-to-amplify-the-prevailing OPEX is next Friday - OPEX week often tends to amplify the prevailing trend rather than reverse it. Here are some statistics for October OPEX weeks: · Over a subset of 14 years (for which I had data) in the last 25 years, it averaged about +0.54%, ranking as the fifth-best OPEX week of the 12 months. · The table below shows the results for the last 5 years. https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/opex-is-next-friday-opex-week-often-tends-to-amplify-the-prevailing OPEX is next Friday - OPEX week often tends to amplify the prevailing trend rather than reverse it. Here are some statistics for October OPEX weeks: · Over a subset of 14 years (for which I had data) in the last 25 years, it averaged about +0.54%, ranking as the fifth-best OPE... Sun, 11 Oct 2026 15:58:45 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (bravocycles) STOCK CRYPTO COMMODITY ARTICLE <p>OPEX is next Friday - OPEX week often tends to amplify the prevailing trend rather than reverse it. Here are some statistics for October OPEX weeks: · Over a subset of 14 years (for which I had data) in the last 25 years, it averaged about +0.54%, ranking as the fifth-best OPEX week of the 12 months. · The table below shows the results for the last 5 years.</p> https://slice.cc/dombaeth/posts/update-altcoin-gems-target-20-50-syrup-secara-fundamental UPDATE: altcoin gems target 20-50% 💎 ----------- ----------- ----------- $SYRUP Secara fundamental @maplefinance sangat bagus bahkan masuk Top DeFi yang berintegritas dengan @RobinhoodApp Contoh lainya : $UNI, $ENA & $MORPHO jadi secara fundamental: $SYRUP bagus. Secara chart ? sebelumnya @maplefinance masuk ke mode downtren karena sepanjang 2025 ke 2026 masuk bearish atau bear market. Tapi saat ini ? $SYRUP terlihat kuat dan berhasil breakout bearish downtren. Biasanya setelah 4x di tolak yang ke 5 di terima. Mirip kalau kalian ngejar cewek hehehe $SYRUP sangat bagus dan baik jadi nanti saya berencana memasukkan dia di portofolio sub. Best entry: 0.20-0.19 Nanti kita coba swing atau spot midtem. Dan mungkin $SYRUP bisa jadi bahan pertimbangan juga 👌🏻 https://slice.cc/dombaeth/posts/update-altcoin-gems-target-20-50-syrup-secara-fundamental UPDATE: altcoin gems target 20-50% 💎 ----------- ----------- ----------- $SYRUP Secara fundamental @maplefinance sangat bagus bahkan masuk Top DeFi yang berintegritas dengan @RobinhoodApp Contoh lainya : $UNI, $ENA & $MORPHO jadi secara fundamental: $SYRUP bagus. Secara chart... Sun, 11 Oct 2026 12:29:26 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (dombaeth) CRYPTO LONG_TERM SHORT_TERM ARTICLE <p>UPDATE: altcoin gems target 20-50% 💎 ----------- ----------- ----------- $SYRUP Secara fundamental @maplefinance sangat bagus bahkan masuk Top DeFi yang berintegritas dengan @RobinhoodApp Contoh lainya : $UNI, $ENA & $MORPHO jadi secara fundamental: $SYRUP bagus. Secara chart ? sebelumnya @maplefinance masuk ke mode downtren karena sepanjang 2025 ke 2026 masuk bearish atau bear market. Tapi saat ini ? $SYRUP terlihat kuat dan berhasil breakout bearish downtren. Biasanya setelah 4x di tolak yang ke 5 di terima. Mirip kalau kalian ngejar cewek hehehe $SYRUP sangat bagus dan baik jadi nanti saya berencana memasukkan dia di portofolio sub. Best entry: 0.20-0.19 Nanti kita coba swing atau spot midtem. Dan mungkin $SYRUP bisa jadi bahan pertimbangan juga 👌🏻</p> https://slice.cc/finance-unfiltered/posts/this-week-s-newsletter-is-out-bobby-8 This week's newsletter is out... - Bobby - https://slice.cc/finance-unfiltered/posts/this-week-s-newsletter-is-out-bobby-8 This week's newsletter is out... - Bobby - Sun, 11 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (finance-unfiltered) STOCK COMMODITY CRYPTO ARTICLE <p>This week's newsletter is out... - Bobby -</p> https://slice.cc/the-sirius-report/posts/risk-assessment-methodology-red-high-risk-severe-financial-pressure Risk assessment methodology RED High risk: severe financial pressure or significant potential for systemic disruption. ORANGE Elevated risk: material vulnerability requiring active monitoring. GREEN Contained risk: vulnerabilities currently appear manageable. All twenty monitored risks Financial risk Status Trend 1. Sovereign debt sustainability Red Worsening 2. Government bond-market instability Red Worsening 3. Private credit deterioration Red Worsening 4. Commercial real estate debt Red Worsening 5. AI investment and debt-financing risk Red Worsening 6. Corporate debt refinancing wall Orange Worsening 7. Banking-sector credit vulnerabilities Orange Stable 8. Inflation resurgence and monetary-policy constraints Red Worsening 9. Energy shock and industrial profitability Red Worsening 10. Equity-market concentration and overvaluation Red Worsening 11. Non-bank financial leverage Red Worsening 12. UK gilt-market and pension-fund vulnerabilities Orange Worsening 13. French fiscal and sovereign-bond pressures Orange Worsening 14. German industrial and banking-sector pressures Orange Worsening 15. Household debt and consumer-credit deterioration Orange Stable 16. European economic stagnation and investment weakness Orange Stable 17. US Treasury-market liquidity and funding dependence Orange Worsening 18. Trade fragmentation, tariffs and supply-chain disruption Orange Worsening 19. Currency volatility and international capital flows Orange Stable 20. Insurance and pension-sector asset/liability mismatches Orange Stable https://slice.cc/the-sirius-report/posts/risk-assessment-methodology-red-high-risk-severe-financial-pressure Risk assessment methodology RED High risk: severe financial pressure or significant potential for systemic disruption. ORANGE Elevated risk: material vulnerability requiring active monitoring. GREEN Contained risk: vulnerabilities currently appear manageable. All twenty monito... Sun, 11 Oct 2026 07:10:41 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (the-sirius-report) ARTICLE <p>Risk assessment methodology RED High risk: severe financial pressure or significant potential for systemic disruption. ORANGE Elevated risk: material vulnerability requiring active monitoring. GREEN Contained risk: vulnerabilities currently appear manageable. All twenty monitored risks Financial risk Status Trend 1. Sovereign debt sustainability Red Worsening 2. Government bond-market instability Red Worsening 3. Private credit deterioration Red Worsening 4. Commercial real estate debt Red Worsening 5. AI investment and debt-financing risk Red Worsening 6. Corporate debt refinancing wall Orange Worsening 7. Banking-sector credit vulnerabilities Orange Stable 8. Inflation resurgence and monetary-policy constraints Red Worsening 9. Energy shock and industrial profitability Red Worsening 10. Equity-market concentration and overvaluation Red Worsening 11. Non-bank financial leverage Red Worsening 12. UK gilt-market and pension-fund vulnerabilities Orange Worsening 13. French fiscal and sovereign-bond pressures Orange Worsening 14. German industrial and banking-sector pressures Orange Worsening 15. Household debt and consumer-credit deterioration Orange Stable 16. European economic stagnation and investment weakness Orange Stable 17. US Treasury-market liquidity and funding dependence Orange Worsening 18. Trade fragmentation, tariffs and supply-chain disruption Orange Worsening 19. Currency volatility and international capital flows Orange Stable 20. Insurance and pension-sector asset/liability mismatches Orange Stable</p> https://slice.cc/sonny/posts/silver-gold-making-its-way-back-into-the-megaphone-pattern-after SILVER/GOLD making its way back into the megaphone pattern after faking out below. That was a nasty fakeout this week. Pure violence now as it goes vertical towards the target. https://slice.cc/sonny/posts/silver-gold-making-its-way-back-into-the-megaphone-pattern-after SILVER/GOLD making its way back into the megaphone pattern after faking out below. That was a nasty fakeout this week. Pure violence now as it goes vertical towards the target. Fri, 09 Oct 2026 16:30:13 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (sonny) STOCK CRYPTO FOREX ARTICLE <p>SILVER/GOLD making its way back into the megaphone pattern after faking out below. That was a nasty fakeout this week. Pure violence now as it goes vertical towards the target.</p> https://slice.cc/ajb-capital/posts/momentum-improved-overnight-and-our-cap-weighted-readings-are-back-in Momentum improved overnight, and our cap-weighted readings are back in positive territory this morning. The Russell is still underwater, so small caps haven’t joined in yet, but financials are improving. Rates and oil both gave us some relief yesterday. The 10-year closed at 5.22%, down from 5.28%, and oil is pulling back again this morning. The AI trade took a hit after a report that OpenAI’s revenue is running about $20 billion below earlier estimates, with Oracle falling more than 5%. Most of that money stayed in stocks. It rotated into energy, staples and banks, and the equal-weight S&P finished higher on a day the S&P fell. Semiconductors are leading the bounce this morning. It’s Friday with weekly options expiring, so everything is in play, and this market can go either way today. Delta (DAL) missed estimates and cut its full-year profit outlook this morning on a $6 billion jump in fuel costs. If it pulls back to around $77, into the bottom band or lower, take a shot back up to the anchored VWAP. SpaceX (SPCX) agreed to buy wireless spectrum for about $8 billion, and AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile are down 5% to 7%. SpaceX is fading this morning. Keep an eye out for a bounce off yesterday’s anchored VWAP. https://slice.cc/ajb-capital/posts/momentum-improved-overnight-and-our-cap-weighted-readings-are-back-in Momentum improved overnight, and our cap-weighted readings are back in positive territory this morning. The Russell is still underwater, so small caps haven’t joined in yet, but financials are improving. Rates and oil both gave us some relief yesterday. The 10-year closed at 5... Fri, 09 Oct 2026 13:43:34 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (ajb-capital) STOCK SHORT_TERM INDICES ARTICLE <p>Momentum improved overnight, and our cap-weighted readings are back in positive territory this morning. The Russell is still underwater, so small caps haven’t joined in yet, but financials are improving. Rates and oil both gave us some relief yesterday. The 10-year closed at 5.22%, down from 5.28%, and oil is pulling back again this morning. The AI trade took a hit after a report that OpenAI’s revenue is running about $20 billion below earlier estimates, with Oracle falling more than 5%. Most of that money stayed in stocks. It rotated into energy, staples and banks, and the equal-weight S&P finished higher on a day the S&P fell. Semiconductors are leading the bounce this morning. It’s Friday with weekly options expiring, so everything is in play, and this market can go either way today. Delta (DAL) missed estimates and cut its full-year profit outlook this morning on a $6 billion jump in fuel costs. If it pulls back to around $77, into the bottom band or lower, take a shot back up to the anchored VWAP. SpaceX (SPCX) agreed to buy wireless spectrum for about $8 billion, and AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile are down 5% to 7%. SpaceX is fading this morning. Keep an eye out for a bounce off yesterday’s anchored VWAP.</p> https://slice.cc/the-sirius-report/posts/danish-shipping-group-maersk-has-stated-that-it-was-increasing-its Danish shipping group Maersk has stated that it was increasing its emergency ⁠fuel surcharge (EFS) on inland transportation in the UK and Ireland due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Maersk said in a statement it was ⁠increasing its EFS to 20% as of October 12th, and ⁠that it would continue to review the surcharge regularly. Maersk's previous UK inland fuel surcharge was 10.6%, effective from 1 October 2026. The increase as of 12th October is therefore: Previous surcharge: 10.6% New surcharge: 20% Increase: 9.4% Relative increase is 88.7% In other words, Maersk is almost doubling its UK inland fuel surcharge in less than two weeks. https://slice.cc/the-sirius-report/posts/danish-shipping-group-maersk-has-stated-that-it-was-increasing-its Danish shipping group Maersk has stated that it was increasing its emergency ⁠fuel surcharge (EFS) on inland transportation in the UK and Ireland due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Maersk said in a statement it was ⁠increasing its EFS to 20% as of October 12th, an... Fri, 09 Oct 2026 06:22:21 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (the-sirius-report) ARTICLE <p>Danish shipping group Maersk has stated that it was increasing its emergency ⁠fuel surcharge (EFS) on inland transportation in the UK and Ireland due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Maersk said in a statement it was ⁠increasing its EFS to 20% as of October 12th, and ⁠that it would continue to review the surcharge regularly. Maersk's previous UK inland fuel surcharge was 10.6%, effective from 1 October 2026. The increase as of 12th October is therefore: Previous surcharge: 10.6% New surcharge: 20% Increase: 9.4% Relative increase is 88.7% In other words, Maersk is almost doubling its UK inland fuel surcharge in less than two weeks.</p> https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/gex-cycles-vs-gross-net-gamma-exposure-the-first-chart-shows-the GEX Cycles vs Gross & Net Gamma Exposure The first chart shows the gross gamma map until January. Bigger dots mean more gamma. Grey means calls and puts are roughly matched, blue is call-heavy, orange is put-heavy. The largest dots, at 8000 and 7000, are matched positions. Call-heavy strikes from 8050 to 8200 appear for the December and early-January expiries. The second chart shows the net gamma map until January. On a net basis 7000 disappears and 8000 shrinks to an ordinary dot: for the 18 December week it holds about $31 billion of gross gamma but only about $1.2 billion net. The largest net positions are call gamma near the current price for the 16 October expiry (roughly $3 billion each at 7800 to 7900) and at 8040 to 8160 for the turn of the year. Net put gamma is sparse and below the market, at 7650 to 7700 for late October and 7500 for 20 November. https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/gex-cycles-vs-gross-net-gamma-exposure-the-first-chart-shows-the GEX Cycles vs Gross & Net Gamma Exposure The first chart shows the gross gamma map until January. Bigger dots mean more gamma. Grey means calls and puts are roughly matched, blue is call-heavy, orange is put-heavy. The largest dots, at 8000 and 7000, are matched positions. Cal... Fri, 09 Oct 2026 03:24:03 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (bravocycles) STOCK CRYPTO COMMODITY ARTICLE <p>GEX Cycles vs Gross & Net Gamma Exposure The first chart shows the gross gamma map until January. Bigger dots mean more gamma. Grey means calls and puts are roughly matched, blue is call-heavy, orange is put-heavy. The largest dots, at 8000 and 7000, are matched positions. Call-heavy strikes from 8050 to 8200 appear for the December and early-January expiries. The second chart shows the net gamma map until January. On a net basis 7000 disappears and 8000 shrinks to an ordinary dot: for the 18 December week it holds about $31 billion of gross gamma but only about $1.2 billion net. The largest net positions are call gamma near the current price for the 16 October expiry (roughly $3 billion each at 7800 to 7900) and at 8040 to 8160 for the turn of the year. Net put gamma is sparse and below the market, at 7650 to 7700 for late October and 7500 for 20 November.</p> https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/spx-vs-gex-cycles-dealers-gamma-exposure-gex-data-from-squeezemetrics SPX vs GEX Cycles Dealers' gamma exposure (GEX) data from SqueezeMetrics has similar (almost the same) cycles as SPX. Positive GEX means dealers are long gamma and should sell rallies and buy dips. Negative means they are short gamma and should trade with the move. However, the GEX cycle composite leads SPX cycle composite by about 1-3 weeks Not sure how to use this cycle lead time, but getting the same cycles from different data is a good confirmation of SPX cycles and turning points https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/spx-vs-gex-cycles-dealers-gamma-exposure-gex-data-from-squeezemetrics SPX vs GEX Cycles Dealers' gamma exposure (GEX) data from SqueezeMetrics has similar (almost the same) cycles as SPX. Positive GEX means dealers are long gamma and should sell rallies and buy dips. Negative means they are short gamma and should trade with the move. However, th... Fri, 09 Oct 2026 03:13:48 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (bravocycles) STOCK CRYPTO COMMODITY ARTICLE <p>SPX vs GEX Cycles Dealers' gamma exposure (GEX) data from SqueezeMetrics has similar (almost the same) cycles as SPX. Positive GEX means dealers are long gamma and should sell rallies and buy dips. Negative means they are short gamma and should trade with the move. However, the GEX cycle composite leads SPX cycle composite by about 1-3 weeks Not sure how to use this cycle lead time, but getting the same cycles from different data is a good confirmation of SPX cycles and turning points</p> https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/tsla-cycle-analysis-if-tsla-continues-higher-as-allowed-by-cycles-my TSLA Cycle Analysis If TSLA continues higher, as allowed by cycles, my bearish EW count will be likely invalidated https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/tsla-cycle-analysis-if-tsla-continues-higher-as-allowed-by-cycles-my TSLA Cycle Analysis If TSLA continues higher, as allowed by cycles, my bearish EW count will be likely invalidated Thu, 08 Oct 2026 23:42:43 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (bravocycles) STOCK CRYPTO COMMODITY ARTICLE <p>TSLA Cycle Analysis If TSLA continues higher, as allowed by cycles, my bearish EW count will be likely invalidated</p> https://slice.cc/sonny/posts/little-pumpp-on-uvxy-to-shake-the-tree-nice-reversal-likely-means little pumpp on UVXY to shake the tree, nice reversal likely means bottom is in now for indices https://slice.cc/sonny/posts/little-pumpp-on-uvxy-to-shake-the-tree-nice-reversal-likely-means little pumpp on UVXY to shake the tree, nice reversal likely means bottom is in now for indices Thu, 08 Oct 2026 19:28:24 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (sonny) STOCK CRYPTO FOREX ARTICLE <p>little pumpp on UVXY to shake the tree, nice reversal likely means bottom is in now for indices</p> https://slice.cc/tonythebullseverino/posts/sol-solana-weekly-death-cross-confirmed-look-out-below-this-was-a SOL Solana Weekly Death Cross Confirmed: Look Out Below This was a bearish retest of the neckline of a head and shoulders like I said and a retest of an uptrend line Happening as price falls back below the 50 and 200 weekly MAs which just death crossed This is going to TANK https://slice.cc/tonythebullseverino/posts/sol-solana-weekly-death-cross-confirmed-look-out-below-this-was-a SOL Solana Weekly Death Cross Confirmed: Look Out Below This was a bearish retest of the neckline of a head and shoulders like I said and a retest of an uptrend line Happening as price falls back below the 50 and 200 weekly MAs which just death crossed This is going to TANK Thu, 08 Oct 2026 17:46:13 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (tonythebullseverino) CRYPTO COMMODITY STOCK ARTICLE <p>SOL Solana Weekly Death Cross Confirmed: Look Out Below This was a bearish retest of the neckline of a head and shoulders like I said and a retest of an uptrend line Happening as price falls back below the 50 and 200 weekly MAs which just death crossed This is going to TANK</p> https://slice.cc/investmentguru/posts/lt-risk-reward LT - Risk reward https://slice.cc/investmentguru/posts/lt-risk-reward LT - Risk reward Thu, 08 Oct 2026 17:38:06 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (investmentguru) STOCK LONG_TERM INDICES ARTICLE <p>LT - Risk reward</p> https://slice.cc/sonny/posts/solid-reaction-from-nas-after-sweeping-local-lows-be-surprised-if-the solid reaction from NAS after sweeping local lows. Be surprised if the bottom is not in https://slice.cc/sonny/posts/solid-reaction-from-nas-after-sweeping-local-lows-be-surprised-if-the solid reaction from NAS after sweeping local lows. Be surprised if the bottom is not in Thu, 08 Oct 2026 15:00:59 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (sonny) STOCK CRYPTO FOREX ARTICLE <p>solid reaction from NAS after sweeping local lows. Be surprised if the bottom is not in</p> https://slice.cc/incomesharks/posts/morpho-similar-kind-of-setup-where-momentum-is-still-pushing-upwards $MORPHO - Similar kind of setup where momentum is still pushing upwards and these double tops are looking more like cup and handles where if there is an October push they should reclaim and break on the 3rd attempt. Stops because if it goes below the previous dip then I no longer like the setup. https://slice.cc/incomesharks/posts/morpho-similar-kind-of-setup-where-momentum-is-still-pushing-upwards $MORPHO - Similar kind of setup where momentum is still pushing upwards and these double tops are looking more like cup and handles where if there is an October push they should reclaim and break on the 3rd attempt. Stops because if it goes below the previous dip then I no lon... Thu, 08 Oct 2026 13:45:43 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (incomesharks) STOCK CRYPTO MACRO ARTICLE <p>$MORPHO - Similar kind of setup where momentum is still pushing upwards and these double tops are looking more like cup and handles where if there is an October push they should reclaim and break on the 3rd attempt. Stops because if it goes below the previous dip then I no longer like the setup.</p> https://slice.cc/investmentguru/posts/crm-two-timeframes-two-stories-the-5-day-is-washed-out-rsi-crashed-to $CRM — two timeframes, two stories. The 5-day is washed out: RSI crashed to 33, volume spiked into the $221.50 low. That's selling-climax territory. Short-term, the flush looks done. The monthly tells the bigger story: steady downtrend from the $260s, but price is holding above the rising 50-day at $212.46. The $221-222 zone held as support. The trade: $224.50 needs to reclaim $226-227 the breakdown zone to confirm the bounce. Below $221.50, the 50-day at $212 gets tested. Oversold bounce candidate — not a trend reversal. Yet. https://slice.cc/investmentguru/posts/crm-two-timeframes-two-stories-the-5-day-is-washed-out-rsi-crashed-to $CRM — two timeframes, two stories. The 5-day is washed out: RSI crashed to 33, volume spiked into the $221.50 low. That's selling-climax territory. Short-term, the flush looks done. The monthly tells the bigger story: steady downtrend from the $260s, but price is holding abov... Thu, 08 Oct 2026 11:27:31 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (investmentguru) STOCK LONG_TERM INDICES ARTICLE <p>$CRM — two timeframes, two stories. The 5-day is washed out: RSI crashed to 33, volume spiked into the $221.50 low. That's selling-climax territory. Short-term, the flush looks done. The monthly tells the bigger story: steady downtrend from the $260s, but price is holding above the rising 50-day at $212.46. The $221-222 zone held as support. The trade: $224.50 needs to reclaim $226-227 the breakdown zone to confirm the bounce. Below $221.50, the 50-day at $212 gets tested. Oversold bounce candidate — not a trend reversal. Yet.</p> https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/rarely-seen-strong-negative-divergence-between-the-nyse-advance Rarely seen strong negative divergence between the NYSE Advance-Decline Line and SPX Yes, the A-D line can improve in the next couple of months, and I expect so, but this damage may need more time to be fully fixed https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/rarely-seen-strong-negative-divergence-between-the-nyse-advance Rarely seen strong negative divergence between the NYSE Advance-Decline Line and SPX Yes, the A-D line can improve in the next couple of months, and I expect so, but this damage may need more time to be fully fixed Thu, 08 Oct 2026 03:39:18 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (bravocycles) STOCK CRYPTO COMMODITY ARTICLE <p>Rarely seen strong negative divergence between the NYSE Advance-Decline Line and SPX Yes, the A-D line can improve in the next couple of months, and I expect so, but this damage may need more time to be fully fixed</p> https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/equal-weight-magnificent-5-stocks-composite-mag5-cycle-analysis-mag5 Equal-Weight Magnificent 5 Stocks Composite (MAG5) - Cycle Analysis MAG5 = MAG7 minus TSLA and META When 2 or 3 out of 3 dominant MAG5 cycles have relatively close troughs, APPL, AMZN, GOOGL, MSFT and NVDA equal-weight composite responds with price corrections. The next such confluence of troughs is at the end of Feb'27. We have already seen similar weakness in Mar'27 in some indexes and sectors. https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/equal-weight-magnificent-5-stocks-composite-mag5-cycle-analysis-mag5 Equal-Weight Magnificent 5 Stocks Composite (MAG5) - Cycle Analysis MAG5 = MAG7 minus TSLA and META When 2 or 3 out of 3 dominant MAG5 cycles have relatively close troughs, APPL, AMZN, GOOGL, MSFT and NVDA equal-weight composite responds with price corrections. The next such c... Thu, 08 Oct 2026 03:35:15 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (bravocycles) STOCK CRYPTO COMMODITY ARTICLE <p>Equal-Weight Magnificent 5 Stocks Composite (MAG5) - Cycle Analysis MAG5 = MAG7 minus TSLA and META When 2 or 3 out of 3 dominant MAG5 cycles have relatively close troughs, APPL, AMZN, GOOGL, MSFT and NVDA equal-weight composite responds with price corrections. The next such confluence of troughs is at the end of Feb'27. We have already seen similar weakness in Mar'27 in some indexes and sectors.</p> https://slice.cc/investmentguru/posts/market-update-today-was-a-bond-market-day-wearing-an-equity-market Market update today was a bond-market day wearing an equity-market costume. The 10-year spiked to its highest since 2002 in the morning and took everything down with it — the S&P fell 0.7% at the lows before a strong $39B auction brought yields back down and stocks clawed back to finish nearly flat, with the S&P closing at 7,801.77, down just 0.22%. But don't let the flat close fool you: small caps fell 1.3%, the average stock equal-weight lost 0.8%, and it was narrow megacap leadership doing all the work. The 2pm Fed minutes leaned hawkish — most officials see another hike as likely this year — so the ceiling on rallies stays in place until yields cooperate. After the close, $APLD printed a monster revenue beat $341.9M vs ~$116-135M expected with base rent stepping up on schedule, which is a second straight counterpoint to the deployment-pushout fears and gives AI infrastructure a positive backdrop into tomorrow. Watch the 10-year around 5.30%: below it the relief trade continues, back toward the highs and the pain comes back. $PENG sold with 34% profit and $NBIS added at $234.80 is only trading today, $AMZN $GOOG $AAPL looks strong today, $INTC $AVGO $CRWV still holding nicely, $VST if you have added with me it’s 24% up now. I will catch up in morning with levels https://slice.cc/investmentguru/posts/market-update-today-was-a-bond-market-day-wearing-an-equity-market Market update today was a bond-market day wearing an equity-market costume. The 10-year spiked to its highest since 2002 in the morning and took everything down with it — the S&P fell 0.7% at the lows before a strong $39B auction brought yields back down and stocks clawed back... Thu, 08 Oct 2026 00:45:20 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (investmentguru) STOCK LONG_TERM INDICES ARTICLE <p>Market update today was a bond-market day wearing an equity-market costume. The 10-year spiked to its highest since 2002 in the morning and took everything down with it — the S&P fell 0.7% at the lows before a strong $39B auction brought yields back down and stocks clawed back to finish nearly flat, with the S&P closing at 7,801.77, down just 0.22%. But don't let the flat close fool you: small caps fell 1.3%, the average stock equal-weight lost 0.8%, and it was narrow megacap leadership doing all the work. The 2pm Fed minutes leaned hawkish — most officials see another hike as likely this year — so the ceiling on rallies stays in place until yields cooperate. After the close, $APLD printed a monster revenue beat $341.9M vs ~$116-135M expected with base rent stepping up on schedule, which is a second straight counterpoint to the deployment-pushout fears and gives AI infrastructure a positive backdrop into tomorrow. Watch the 10-year around 5.30%: below it the relief trade continues, back toward the highs and the pain comes back. $PENG sold with 34% profit and $NBIS added at $234.80 is only trading today, $AMZN $GOOG $AAPL looks strong today, $INTC $AVGO $CRWV still holding nicely, $VST if you have added with me it’s 24% up now. I will catch up in morning with levels</p> https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/nq-nano-ew-structure-i-noted-in-the-morning-a-highly-overlapped-nq NQ Nano EW Structure I noted in the morning a highly overlapped NQ structure and how an initially corrective-looking pattern could morph into an impulsive structure; this happens often. This is my attempt to count NQ as an impulse https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/nq-nano-ew-structure-i-noted-in-the-morning-a-highly-overlapped-nq NQ Nano EW Structure I noted in the morning a highly overlapped NQ structure and how an initially corrective-looking pattern could morph into an impulsive structure; this happens often. This is my attempt to count NQ as an impulse Wed, 07 Oct 2026 23:05:14 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (bravocycles) STOCK CRYPTO COMMODITY ARTICLE <p>NQ Nano EW Structure I noted in the morning a highly overlapped NQ structure and how an initially corrective-looking pattern could morph into an impulsive structure; this happens often. This is my attempt to count NQ as an impulse</p> https://slice.cc/sonny/posts/us02y-b-wave-looks-complete-strong-move-down-now-into-monday-for-c US02Y B wave looks complete, strong move down now into Monday for C wave completion https://slice.cc/sonny/posts/us02y-b-wave-looks-complete-strong-move-down-now-into-monday-for-c US02Y B wave looks complete, strong move down now into Monday for C wave completion Wed, 07 Oct 2026 14:54:13 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (sonny) STOCK CRYPTO FOREX ARTICLE <p>US02Y B wave looks complete, strong move down now into Monday for C wave completion</p> https://slice.cc/justdario/posts/justdario-live-stream-13-7th-october-2026-summary JustDario Live Stream #13 (7th October 2026) - SUMMARY https://slice.cc/justdario/posts/justdario-live-stream-13-7th-october-2026-summary JustDario Live Stream #13 (7th October 2026) - SUMMARY Wed, 07 Oct 2026 11:25:25 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (justdario) STOCK MACRO LONG_TERM ARTICLE <p>JustDario Live Stream #13 (7th October 2026) - SUMMARY</p> https://slice.cc/justdario/posts/justdario-live-stream-13 JustDario - Live Stream #13 https://slice.cc/justdario/posts/justdario-live-stream-13 JustDario - Live Stream #13 Wed, 07 Oct 2026 06:59:00 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (justdario) STOCK MACRO LONG_TERM LIVE <p>Live replay</p> https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/spx-technical-analysis-we-noticed-some-indications-that-the-market SPX Technical Analysis · We noticed some indications that the market breadth might improve. · The number of stocks below the 50D and 200D MAs reversed the downtrend, which may indicate broader stock participation in the S&P 500, a net positive. · SPX tagged the upper Keltner channel and formed an inverse hammer -> a pullback to the middle Keltner or more could be expected. https://slice.cc/bravocycles/posts/spx-technical-analysis-we-noticed-some-indications-that-the-market SPX Technical Analysis · We noticed some indications that the market breadth might improve. · The number of stocks below the 50D and 200D MAs reversed the downtrend, which may indicate broader stock participation in the S&P 500, a net positive. · SPX tagged the upper Keltner c... Wed, 07 Oct 2026 00:11:46 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (bravocycles) STOCK CRYPTO COMMODITY ARTICLE <p>SPX Technical Analysis · We noticed some indications that the market breadth might improve. · The number of stocks below the 50D and 200D MAs reversed the downtrend, which may indicate broader stock participation in the S&P 500, a net positive. · SPX tagged the upper Keltner channel and formed an inverse hammer -> a pullback to the middle Keltner or more could be expected.</p> https://slice.cc/tonythebullseverino/posts/the-downside-of-what-i-do-unfortunately-i-have-been-saying-a-few The Downside of What I Do Unfortunately, I have been saying a few things: Huge macro correction Tons of massive cycles coming to an end all at once = bad Largest degree bear market ever in stocks First secular bear Bitcoin Metals take a hit at first Oil goes nuts Money pours into the dollar Possible war But what I didn't realize I might be predicting, was the fucking plague The second death was confirmed. Russian citizens are freaking out and media is saying the gov is covering it up The US is demand Russia provide intel and is in violation of global laws This isn't a joke Even if this isn't that BAD from a casualty standpoint, this could be that bad from a PANIC standpoint Now, just like I was saying. If we have a stock market bubble, bonds breaking, metals already pumped, Bitcoin is weak, alts are dead... omg there was never any chance Bitcoin found a bottom Now what happens is, the magnitude of the collapse is such a shocking VIBRATION, future cycles will likely be alters for some time, as volatility is so dramatic its hard to understand what is or isn't a cyclical low or high Now imagine, not only did we have all these risky overblown conditions, but the AI bubble and this little bounce in Bitcoin and alts sucked int so many, it will make the crash that much worse and faster All of this - minus the - plague - is what I was saying might happen I knew it would be something crazy and that impacts the whole world. Like war, some rogue AI, a banking attacking, internet shuts down, etc. I didn't think we'd get another pandemic, and not the plague I can't believe this, but what this truly is is nature trying to wipe humans the fuck out, because this is required over time. Otherwise, resources would run out faster Look at how terrible people's behaviors are as a whole. This experience has been very eye opening The people I have encountered and they way they have treated me for trying to HELP them is why this is happening. you can't spend your life being selfish, greedy, and an asshole (I am not talking to you here, you are the ones who saw the truth) and that's just fine Just like when the stock market gets overvalued, it crashes When people are collectively too greedy and shitty, their life falls apart. pandemics are natures massacre I am not trying to scare anyone here. I don't feel great about this myself I have to lay my head down tonight potentially realized I predicted a plague outbreak That sure makes all the fun I was having around my job not seem so fun Hopefully this is nothing. But I don't think the words plague get said very often unless its legit https://slice.cc/tonythebullseverino/posts/the-downside-of-what-i-do-unfortunately-i-have-been-saying-a-few The Downside of What I Do Unfortunately, I have been saying a few things: Huge macro correction Tons of massive cycles coming to an end all at once = bad Largest degree bear market ever in stocks First secular bear Bitcoin Metals take a hit at first Oil goes nuts Money pours i... Tue, 06 Oct 2026 23:08:41 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (tonythebullseverino) CRYPTO COMMODITY STOCK ARTICLE <p>The Downside of What I Do Unfortunately, I have been saying a few things: Huge macro correction Tons of massive cycles coming to an end all at once = bad Largest degree bear market ever in stocks First secular bear Bitcoin Metals take a hit at first Oil goes nuts Money pours into the dollar Possible war But what I didn't realize I might be predicting, was the fucking plague The second death was confirmed. Russian citizens are freaking out and media is saying the gov is covering it up The US is demand Russia provide intel and is in violation of global laws This isn't a joke Even if this isn't that BAD from a casualty standpoint, this could be that bad from a PANIC standpoint Now, just like I was saying. If we have a stock market bubble, bonds breaking, metals already pumped, Bitcoin is weak, alts are dead... omg there was never any chance Bitcoin found a bottom Now what happens is, the magnitude of the collapse is such a shocking VIBRATION, future cycles will likely be alters for some time, as volatility is so dramatic its hard to understand what is or isn't a cyclical low or high Now imagine, not only did we have all these risky overblown conditions, but the AI bubble and this little bounce in Bitcoin and alts sucked int so many, it will make the crash that much worse and faster All of this - minus the - plague - is what I was saying might happen I knew it would be something crazy and that impacts the whole world. Like war, some rogue AI, a banking attacking, internet shuts down, etc. I didn't think we'd get another pandemic, and not the plague I can't believe this, but what this truly is is nature trying to wipe humans the fuck out, because this is required over time. Otherwise, resources would run out faster Look at how terrible people's behaviors are as a whole. This experience has been very eye opening The people I have encountered and they way they have treated me for trying to HELP them is why this is happening. you can't spend your life being selfish, greedy, and an asshole (I am not talking to you here, you are the ones who saw the truth) and that's just fine Just like when the stock market gets overvalued, it crashes When people are collectively too greedy and shitty, their life falls apart. pandemics are natures massacre I am not trying to scare anyone here. I don't feel great about this myself I have to lay my head down tonight potentially realized I predicted a plague outbreak That sure makes all the fun I was having around my job not seem so fun Hopefully this is nothing. But I don't think the words plague get said very often unless its legit</p> https://slice.cc/russellclark/posts/cant-help-but-feel-the-surge-in-mortgage-rates-is-bad-news-for-home Cant help but feel the surge in mortgage rates is bad news for home builders... https://slice.cc/russellclark/posts/cant-help-but-feel-the-surge-in-mortgage-rates-is-bad-news-for-home Cant help but feel the surge in mortgage rates is bad news for home builders... Tue, 06 Oct 2026 16:15:27 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (russellclark) MACRO COMMODITY FOREX ARTICLE <p>Cant help but feel the surge in mortgage rates is bad news for home builders...</p> https://slice.cc/sonny/posts/gdx-gold-195m-looks-to-have-bottomed-and-attempting-to-recover-the GDX/GOLD 195m looks to have bottomed and attempting to recover the cloud. https://slice.cc/sonny/posts/gdx-gold-195m-looks-to-have-bottomed-and-attempting-to-recover-the GDX/GOLD 195m looks to have bottomed and attempting to recover the cloud. Tue, 06 Oct 2026 16:09:24 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (sonny) STOCK CRYPTO FOREX ARTICLE <p>GDX/GOLD 195m looks to have bottomed and attempting to recover the cloud.</p> https://slice.cc/investmentguru/posts/trading-levels-coin-186-sitting-right-on-the-200-day-at-185-so-this Trading Levels $COIN $186 — Sitting right on the 200-day at $185, so this is a make-or-break zone. Reclaim $187 opens $192–195; lose $185 and $180–181 comes back into play. I want confirmation before adding. - Trading setup $GOOGL $345 — Back above all major MAs after the flush to $335, with $344–345 now the key support. Hold that zone and $355 becomes the next target. The 200-day at $339 is the bigger line underneath. - My LT https://slice.cc/investmentguru/posts/trading-levels-coin-186-sitting-right-on-the-200-day-at-185-so-this Trading Levels $COIN $186 — Sitting right on the 200-day at $185, so this is a make-or-break zone. Reclaim $187 opens $192–195; lose $185 and $180–181 comes back into play. I want confirmation before adding. - Trading setup $GOOGL $345 — Back above all major MAs after the flus... Tue, 06 Oct 2026 13:24:33 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (investmentguru) STOCK LONG_TERM INDICES ARTICLE <p>Trading Levels $COIN $186 — Sitting right on the 200-day at $185, so this is a make-or-break zone. Reclaim $187 opens $192–195; lose $185 and $180–181 comes back into play. I want confirmation before adding. - Trading setup $GOOGL $345 — Back above all major MAs after the flush to $335, with $344–345 now the key support. Hold that zone and $355 becomes the next target. The 200-day at $339 is the bigger line underneath. - My LT $SPY $775 — Trend remains bullish above all EMAs, with momentum improving. $777.50–778 is the breakout zone; a daily close above $778 can open new highs. $762–766 is the pullback support area. $SPCX $172 — Blue-sky breakout continues after clearing $170 with strong momentum. $175 then $180 are the next levels, while $164–165 is now the key breakout support. Don’t chase the premarket spike; let it settle and hold. - Trading/ LT $TSLA $381 — Breakout confirmed above $375–376, with $386 next and $393 (200-day) after that. Old resistance at $375–376 should now act as support. If it loses that zone, I would wait rather than chase.- Trading/LT $QQQ $750 — Knocking on resistance with the trend firmly up and momentum healthy. A clean break above $750 opens new highs. $735 is the first meaningful support on a pullback. $PLTR $189 — Basing near highs and holding well above the rising 50-day at $171. $195 is the breakout level; above it, momentum can accelerate. $185 is near-term support, with $171 the bigger line.- Trading / LT $APP $282 — Still a falling knife after the massive decline from $550 and trading below all major MAs. $300 is the first level it needs to reclaim before I get interested. Until then, I would avoid trying to catch the bottom. - Exit on upside $CBRS $182 — Bounce is holding above $180 with volume improving, but $190–195 is the first real test. The 50-day around $200 is the bigger resistance zone. $175 is the line I don’t want to see lost.- LT potential $RKLB $72 — Structure remains constructive above the 50-day around $70. $75 is the key breakout gate, followed by $80–81.50 near the 200-day. Below $70 would weaken the setup. - Trading/ LT $NBIS $233 — Still coiled inside the $230–250 range with rising MAs underneath. $242.50 remains the Friday gamma magnet, while $250 is the major wall. Patience here; I want the range to resolve. - Swing best setup $META $743 — Strong trend but currently digesting a huge move from $525. $775 is the high to beat, while $725 is the key floor. RSI is elevated, so I would rather buy a controlled pullback than chase vertically.- Trading $CRWV $87 — Still waiting for a breakout from the $85–92 range. $89–92 is the major MA/resistance cluster, and clearing $92 would improve the setup significantly. Until then, patience. swing / trading $INTC $116 — Uptrend remains intact above the 50- and 100-day averages. $125–127 is the next major resistance, with $115 as near-term support and $108 below. Holding $115 keeps the bullish structure intact.- LT / Swing $MSFT $525 — Trend remains strong, but RSI is getting stretched. $530 is the next upside level, while $510–515 is the pullback zone I’d watch. Let it run rather than chase a vertical move. Trading $AAOI $122 — Post-ATM breakout is holding above the 50-day at $111.58. $125 is the first target, followed by the 100-day around $132.55. $111.58 is the key line that keeps the breakout structure intact. LT / Swing $VST $145 — Early bottoming attempt is becoming constructive after reclaiming the 50-day at $142.94 with volume. $149 is the first resistance, followed by $154.77 at the 200-day. $140 is the key downside line. best LT $AVGO $363 — Recovery is underway, but $367.60–372.83 is a heavy resistance zone with the 200- and 50-day averages stacked there. A clean reclaim of that zone would strengthen the setup considerably. $355 and $350 are the levels to watch below. Best LT Trading read only. Not financial advice. $VST best setup for $170/180 by December $AAOI $132+ expected $SPCX best</p> https://slice.cc/ywr/articles/ywr-why-the-pessimism-may-be-missing-the-bigger-picture YWR: Why the Pessimism May Be Missing the Bigger Picture https://slice.cc/ywr/articles/ywr-why-the-pessimism-may-be-missing-the-bigger-picture Another guest post from ‘Tell it like it is’ Tue, 06 Oct 2026 05:02:12 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (ywr) STOCK MACRO LONG_TERM ARTICLE <p>Another guest post from ‘Tell it like it is’ at Targeted Equity Consulting. Investor sentiment remains remarkably negative. The list of concerns is long: recession fears, higher interest rates, oil prices, a K-shaped economy, dollar strength, the Iran conflict, the Russia-Ukraine war, and persistent warnings that AI and equities are in a bubble. Taken together, there is certainly enough uncertainty to keep investors awake at night. Yet markets and economic fundamentals continue to show considerably more resilience than the prevailing narrative would suggest. Positioning is crowded, not just cautious This is not merely pessimism as an attitude — it is pessimism as a position. CFTC data compiled by Goldman Sachs show leveraged-fund short exposure in Nasdaq-100 futures surging toward roughly $80 billion, while longs have held near $20–25 billion. The resulting net short of about –$60 billion was the most negative reading in several years. That crowding is a contrarian setup: if the tape keeps rising, short covering becomes fuel. One timing caveat belongs in the note. The most extreme net short was concentrated in August; by late September it had moderated — CFTC data show leveraged funds net short roughly 31,000 contracts on September 22 versus about 62,000 on August 18 — even as gross shorts remained elevated. Pessimism is still elevated. The single most stretched reading has already started to unwind. The consumer story is uneven, not broken For years the rule of thumb was that housing drives the cycle. That linkage looks weaker now. There are legitimate reasons to be cautious on the lower-income consumer, where higher rates and affordability constraints bite hardest. But the recession thesis requires the whole consumer to be impaired, and the aggregate balance sheet does not support that. Household deposits and currency stand at about $5.43 trillion — only 0.9% below the recent peak, far above the pre-pandemic level. The cash stock built in 2020–22 has not been drawn down in any meaningful way. Money-market assets have surged from roughly $3 trillion before the pandemic to more than $8.4 trillion. Total household assets are about $206 trillion, up 6.6% and at a record, with household net worth approaching $186 trillion (+7.2%). That changes the transmission mechanism of higher interest rates, which are almost universally discussed as a pure negative. They clearly hurt borrowers. But households holding trillions in cash,money-market funds, and fixed-income assets are earning substantially more interest income — at a 4% yield, $8.4 trillion in money markets alone represents roughly $336 billion of annualized income. The result is the K-shaped economy in action: higher rates squeeze the indebted end while transferring income to savers. Aggregate household balance sheets remain near record strength. Geopolitical narratives have run ahead of outcomes Oil is a useful example of how the narrative can outrun reality. Despite repeated claims that the Iran conflict and the Russia-Ukraine war would leave the world short of supply, oil has not delivered the sustained spike the bears expected. This echoes the earlier claim that the war would destroy the global breadbasket and produce lasting food shortages. In both cases the risks were legitimate, but markets adapted — through substitution, new supply, changing trade routes, and higher production elsewhere. A supply shock does not automatically produce the worst-case outcome, because prices themselves create incentives for the world to adapt. The AI “bubble” deserves the most scrutiny I have worked through the dot-com bubble, the China construction boom, and the U.S. housing bubble. Those episodes shared a defining characteristic: capacity was built dramatically ahead of actual demand. Fiber was laid that went unused. Homes were built for buyers who did not exist. China built enormous property and infrastructure in anticipation of future demand. When demand failed to arrive quickly enough, excess capacity sat idle — in some cases for decades. That is not an accurate description of AI today. The distinction is the relationship between capacity and economically productive demand — not the absolute amount of money being spent. Leading-edge compute capacity is not being constructed to sit idle. Demand is already here: hyperscalers are racing to secure GPUs, networking, memory, power, and data-center capacity, and newly deployed capacity is being absorbed as it is built. The useful life of the infrastructure may be shortening, not lengthening, because each generation of chips, models, and networking materially improves the economics of the last. More importantly, AI investment has evolved beyond a conventional capital-spending cycle into a global strategic arms race. Leadership in AI could confer enormous advantages in productivity, scientific discovery, financial markets, cybersecurity, autonomous systems, and military capability. Nearly every Magnificent 7 CEO has framed falling behind as an existential threat. If management genuinely believes that, slowing spending simply because the numbers look historically large is not rational strategy. The question is the cost of over investing versus the cost of allowing a competitor to achieve a decisive advantage — and for companies with enormous balance sheets and cash flows, the second risk may be considerably larger. Rapid obsolescence, which would normally argue for delaying investment, actually encourages more of it here. If a competitor deploys the next generation of models and infrastructure and achieves dramatically better economics, no one can afford to sit on the previous generation for a decade. And the applications are advancing visibly — from increasingly capable agents and products like Meta’s emerging AI tools and glasses to the longer pipeline of autonomous vehicles, robotics, and humanoid systems. We are still discovering what this infrastructure will support. None of this means every AI company is undervalued, that spending cannot overshoot, or that recession is impossible. There will be failed projects, overbuilt capacity, and valuations that cannot be justified. But there is a difference between identifying individual excesses and declaring the entire cycle a bubble. The bottom line Consider what the bearish case requires: a consumer collapse contradicted by $206 trillion in household assets and $5.4 trillion still sitting in deposits and currency, an oil shock that has repeatedly failed to materialize, a capacity bubble in AI where capacity is being absorbed rather than idled — and investor positioning that was already at historic extremes in August and has since begun to cover. The risks are real, and they are widely discussed. But they are also increasingly reflected in expectations and in portfolios. The market does not need all of today’s concerns to disappear. It only needs growth, earnings, and AI demand to turn out better than what increasingly bearish expectations have already discounted. A guest post by David Quinn 25 years plus of professional financial services experience.</p> https://slice.cc/bitsofwealth/posts/btc-update-watching-this-candle-range-here-on-btc-formed-by-the-sept $BTC Update Watching this candle range here on BTC - formed by the Sept 21 daily candle. We have now had 12 daily bars since then which have not breached the high or low of that daily candle. Nothing but inside bars. What I am specifically watching for is to see which side of this candle range gets taken FIRST . Usually (not all the time), the first move is the false move and then price would move to at least the 50% of the range, if not all the way across the range. Its also worth noting that the previous week high (PWH) and previous day high (PDH) are pretty closely aligned with the top side of this candle range. A move to the top side would not only give us a potential sweep of the candle range, but also of PWH & PDH for a beautiful trap move - if we get it. The key to playing these trap moves is to wait for it to play out. Wait for the trap. That means fading the pump and waiting for the failure back into the range. Sometimes we might get lucky with a retest once back in the range, but its not guaranteed. Patience pays with these setups. https://slice.cc/bitsofwealth/posts/btc-update-watching-this-candle-range-here-on-btc-formed-by-the-sept $BTC Update Watching this candle range here on BTC - formed by the Sept 21 daily candle. We have now had 12 daily bars since then which have not breached the high or low of that daily candle. Nothing but inside bars. What I am specifically watching for is to see which side of... Mon, 05 Oct 2026 19:44:45 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (bitsofwealth) CRYPTO SHORT_TERM COMMODITY ARTICLE <p>$BTC Update Watching this candle range here on BTC - formed by the Sept 21 daily candle. We have now had 12 daily bars since then which have not breached the high or low of that daily candle. Nothing but inside bars. What I am specifically watching for is to see which side of this candle range gets taken FIRST . Usually (not all the time), the first move is the false move and then price would move to at least the 50% of the range, if not all the way across the range. Its also worth noting that the previous week high (PWH) and previous day high (PDH) are pretty closely aligned with the top side of this candle range. A move to the top side would not only give us a potential sweep of the candle range, but also of PWH & PDH for a beautiful trap move - if we get it. The key to playing these trap moves is to wait for it to play out. Wait for the trap. That means fading the pump and waiting for the failure back into the range. Sometimes we might get lucky with a retest once back in the range, but its not guaranteed. Patience pays with these setups.</p> https://slice.cc/sonny/posts/long-panw-high-probability-trade-earnings-were-great-but-they-do-like Long PANW - HIGH PROBABILITY TRADE. Earnings were great but they do like to smash it down after earnings. As long as it does not break below impulse gate in blue at 314 I'm bullish. on the daily We are in the QIM time zone where a reversal can be expected. and Price remains above impulse gate so still looks good to push over the coming weeks. https://slice.cc/sonny/posts/long-panw-high-probability-trade-earnings-were-great-but-they-do-like Long PANW - HIGH PROBABILITY TRADE. Earnings were great but they do like to smash it down after earnings. As long as it does not break below impulse gate in blue at 314 I'm bullish. on the daily We are in the QIM time zone where a reversal can be expected. and Price remains ab... Mon, 05 Oct 2026 19:15:52 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (sonny) STOCK CRYPTO FOREX ARTICLE <p>Long PANW - HIGH PROBABILITY TRADE. Earnings were great but they do like to smash it down after earnings. As long as it does not break below impulse gate in blue at 314 I'm bullish. on the daily We are in the QIM time zone where a reversal can be expected. and Price remains above impulse gate so still looks good to push over the coming weeks.</p> https://slice.cc/alex-krainer/articles/sailing-into-a-gathering-storm Sailing into a gathering storm https://slice.cc/alex-krainer/articles/sailing-into-a-gathering-storm Business as usual investing is becoming increasingly risky with less and less upside. Here we'll be taking a different approach and an exciting learning adventure exploring commodities, FX pairs and trend following. I... Mon, 05 Oct 2026 15:56:50 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (alex-krainer) COMMODITY INDICES MACRO FOREX LONG_TERM ARTICLE <p>The world is in a once-in-a-lifetime transition that could toss investors across rough seas into uncharted territories - environments for which we have no precedent within the lifetimes of most investors. Through 2020, our "normal" was defined by a 30-year trend of falling interest rates and rising bond prices, low commodity prices (including silver and gold) and relative stability in the geopolitical environment. All this started to disintegrate over the last five years or so, starting with the Covid 19 pandemic, and continuing with US withdrawal from Afghanistan in August 2021 and the onset of Russia-Ukraine war in February 2022. Then we hit another inflection point this year when the United States and Israel launched the war against Iran. The chart below shows clearly the way geopolitical events influenced global capital markets. It strongly suggests that we'll experience much more turbulence is up ahead. Trend following to the rescue So, how should investors navigate the coming changes and the volatility of conditions we have never experienced before? My strong recommendation is that investors should adopt trend following to guide their forward-looking investment decisions. The particular approach I have developed during my nearly 30-year career as an active participant in financial and commodity markets is called, I-System Trend Following. Our objective is the strategic, disciplined management of investment portfolios. It is based on the following twin hypotheses (with links to articles where each is hypothesis elaborated in more detail): Large-scale price events (LSPEs) are far and away the most powerful drivers of investment performance , Systematic trend following is the most reliable way to capture value from trends . LSPEs invariably unfold as trends that can span weeks, months, or even years, but their onset, duration and magnitude is never predictable. Trends are seldom so obvious that we can take a position in some asset and have confidence that our trade will be profitable. Most investors attempt to catch such profits by analyzing market supply and demand fundamentals. But most investors also lose money in this way. LSPE's, by definition, are unpredictable and market fundamentals can't help us formulate reliable predictions. Taking different, exciting approach on Slice! I've written about trading, portfolio management and trend following on my blog, TrendCompass newsletters and on Substack, but here on Slice we'll take another, more direct approach. We'll balance an overview of the investment universe - the external reality - with concrete tactical trades and investments that appear to make sense at the moment. We'll anayze individual markets like gold, copper, crude oil, natural gas, coffee, cocoa, soybeans, wheat, or FX pairs and explore potential trades with the benefit of my 30-year experience in these markets, and in a way I haven't yet shared on any other platform. We'll look at trading opportunities as they emerge, discuss them directly and occasionally put on directional trades and track their performance. We'll also cover what you need to learn in order to trade in many diverse markets even if you've no experience with them so far. Believe me, it's no rocket science - though it does require learning how to manage risk, and how to exercise discipline and patience. Join me and consider subscribing for this exciting learning adventure. It could also turn out to be profitable for the long haul. If you do, welcome aboard. The adventure begins on Wednesday, 7 October 2026.</p> https://slice.cc/ywr/posts/i-m-sending-out-a-guest-post-tomorrow-from-a-good-friend-i-want-to I'm sending out a guest post tomorrow from a good friend. I want to tease it with my favourite chart. https://slice.cc/ywr/posts/i-m-sending-out-a-guest-post-tomorrow-from-a-good-friend-i-want-to I'm sending out a guest post tomorrow from a good friend. I want to tease it with my favourite chart. Mon, 05 Oct 2026 15:53:29 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (ywr) STOCK MACRO LONG_TERM ARTICLE <p>I'm sending out a guest post tomorrow from a good friend. I want to tease it with my favourite chart.</p> https://slice.cc/sonny/posts/es-printed-a-2d-rising-three-candlestick-pattern-which-is-pretty ES printed a 2D rising three candlestick pattern which is pretty bullish. BB looks ready for expansion with a breakout on BBtrend edging clsoer https://slice.cc/sonny/posts/es-printed-a-2d-rising-three-candlestick-pattern-which-is-pretty ES printed a 2D rising three candlestick pattern which is pretty bullish. BB looks ready for expansion with a breakout on BBtrend edging clsoer Mon, 05 Oct 2026 14:16:43 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (sonny) STOCK CRYPTO FOREX ARTICLE <p>ES printed a 2D rising three candlestick pattern which is pretty bullish. BB looks ready for expansion with a breakout on BBtrend edging clsoer</p> https://slice.cc/ajb-capital/posts/stocks-finished-higher-friday-after-a-weak-jobs-report-the-s-p-500 Stocks finished higher Friday after a weak jobs report. The S&P 500 rose 0.7%, the Russell 2000 gained 0.9% and the Nasdaq added 1.2% after touching a record during the session. Momentum is stronger than where we left it Friday. Cap-weighted readings are positive on all three indexes coming into today. The S&P is at +65.7, the Russell at +15 and the Nasdaq at +9.8. Equal weight is still negative on the S&P at -32 and the Russell at -31. Tech is the only S&P sector with more breakouts than breakdowns, 29 to 4. Financials have 32 breakdowns and no breakouts. Consumer cyclicals have 21 and real estate has 14. The biggest stocks are carrying the indexes. Most of the market hasn't followed. Futures are flat ahead of the open. Bonds didn't join the rally. The 10-year fell to 5.18% after the jobs report and closed the day at 5.28%, above Thursday's 5.24%. It's at 5.27% now. Odds of an October rate hike fell to about 20%, from 28% Friday morning. A December hike is still priced as more likely than not. The G7 agreed Friday to release 100 million barrels of crude and fuel over four months. A large share of the diesel goes out in the first 20 days. Trump then said the U.S. was never going to ban diesel exports. The Houthis said Sunday they hit Saudi Aramco sites near Riyadh and at the Khurais oil field. The Saudi-led coalition called the claims misleading. Brent is near $101, down about 1% from Friday's close. France's 10-year yield premium over Germany hit its widest since 2011 on Friday. The government files its 2027 budget tomorrow. The Treasury sells $119 billion of 3-year, 10-year and 30-year debt Tuesday through Thursday. The last 5-year auction, on Sept 23, was one of the weakest on record. The Fed releases the minutes from its September hike on Wednesday. New trades belong in tech. The Nasdaq is the only index where equal weight is positive too, at +13. Selling put spreads there makes sense, with expirations that end before each company reports. Financials, real estate and consumer cyclicals can wait until the breakdowns stop. The big banks report next Tuesday. https://slice.cc/ajb-capital/posts/stocks-finished-higher-friday-after-a-weak-jobs-report-the-s-p-500 Stocks finished higher Friday after a weak jobs report. The S&P 500 rose 0.7%, the Russell 2000 gained 0.9% and the Nasdaq added 1.2% after touching a record during the session. Momentum is stronger than where we left it Friday. Cap-weighted readings are positive on all three... Mon, 05 Oct 2026 13:08:34 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (ajb-capital) STOCK SHORT_TERM INDICES ARTICLE <p>Stocks finished higher Friday after a weak jobs report. The S&P 500 rose 0.7%, the Russell 2000 gained 0.9% and the Nasdaq added 1.2% after touching a record during the session. Momentum is stronger than where we left it Friday. Cap-weighted readings are positive on all three indexes coming into today. The S&P is at +65.7, the Russell at +15 and the Nasdaq at +9.8. Equal weight is still negative on the S&P at -32 and the Russell at -31. Tech is the only S&P sector with more breakouts than breakdowns, 29 to 4. Financials have 32 breakdowns and no breakouts. Consumer cyclicals have 21 and real estate has 14. The biggest stocks are carrying the indexes. Most of the market hasn't followed. Futures are flat ahead of the open. Bonds didn't join the rally. The 10-year fell to 5.18% after the jobs report and closed the day at 5.28%, above Thursday's 5.24%. It's at 5.27% now. Odds of an October rate hike fell to about 20%, from 28% Friday morning. A December hike is still priced as more likely than not. The G7 agreed Friday to release 100 million barrels of crude and fuel over four months. A large share of the diesel goes out in the first 20 days. Trump then said the U.S. was never going to ban diesel exports. The Houthis said Sunday they hit Saudi Aramco sites near Riyadh and at the Khurais oil field. The Saudi-led coalition called the claims misleading. Brent is near $101, down about 1% from Friday's close. France's 10-year yield premium over Germany hit its widest since 2011 on Friday. The government files its 2027 budget tomorrow. The Treasury sells $119 billion of 3-year, 10-year and 30-year debt Tuesday through Thursday. The last 5-year auction, on Sept 23, was one of the weakest on record. The Fed releases the minutes from its September hike on Wednesday. New trades belong in tech. The Nasdaq is the only index where equal weight is positive too, at +13. Selling put spreads there makes sense, with expirations that end before each company reports. Financials, real estate and consumer cyclicals can wait until the breakdowns stop. The big banks report next Tuesday.</p> https://slice.cc/camel/posts/request-a-chart-below-5 Request a chart below: https://slice.cc/camel/posts/request-a-chart-below-5 Request a chart below: Mon, 05 Oct 2026 10:19:46 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (camel) INDICES CRYPTO STOCK ARTICLE <p>Request a chart below:</p> https://slice.cc/cryptojellenl/articles/monday-open-weekly-market-update-october-5 Monday Open - Weekly Market Update - October 5 https://slice.cc/cryptojellenl/articles/monday-open-weekly-market-update-october-5 Good morning & happy new week! Bitcoin added further confidence to the 'new bull market' thesis, locking in a monthly breakout at the turn of the month. This means Bitcoin rolls into Q4 with a weekly break in market… Mon, 05 Oct 2026 10:18:35 GMT noreply@slice-app.io (cryptojellenl) CRYPTO LONG_TERM STOCK ARTICLE <p>Good morning & happy new week! Bitcoin added further confidence to the 'new bull market' thesis, locking in a monthly breakout at the turn of the month. This means Bitcoin rolls into Q4 with a weekly break in market structure, a confirmed weekly breakout, and a monthly breakout too. A lot of good signs, but at the same time, still very early stages - which means its the season to prepare ourselves for whats to come. And that's exactly what we've been doing. I've spent the past months detailing my entry strategy, which reached a climax last week - where I deployed a larger chunk of capital in one go after Bitcoin's confirmed weekly market structure break/breakout. From there, my plan is simple; wait for the next higher low to form. I have no idea when and/or where it happens, but I'll be ready. I've also discussed the accumulation of various altcoin positions, which primarily serve the purpose of eventually ending up with even more precious Bitcoin. In essence, I've finished up most of my preparatory work for the cycle ahead, which means I'm shifting back to a more passive approach to the market: sitting on my hands. As you can tell by now, that 'doing nothing' part of my strategy is the part that I spend the absolute majority of my time doing. There are windows of opportunity where I'm either getting in and out of the market, and in between those times, I make as little moves as possible, while slowly designing the plans for the years ahead. The primary task that is still at hand is in the land of Altcoins. Many of these coins are likely never making new all-time highs again, but there are charts showing great promise. You know my bags already, but this week two of those bags have interesting events on the agenda. Both HYPE & ENA have major unlocks coming as early as today (ENA) and tomorrow (HYPE). Usually unlocks make for a good dip (to buy) - so that's what I'm watching for this week as well - primarily on ENA. HYPE is a position I'm already in thick profit on, so just letting it ride - but if I get another opportunity to scoop more ENA on the cheap, I'll take it. The team teased a major announcement yesterday on Twitter (posting the cryptographic hash) as well, so whichever way this goes, I'm expecting volatility. As said, if that means opportunity on ENA, bring it on. All in all, I'm still looking for some more opportunities to allocate capital to. Keeping a close eye on AR (Arweave) to see if it can't reclaim the white box to form a similar setup to ENA. No position yet - just keeping a close eye on it. If it gives a good setup, I'll take on a position; and if not, I'm happy with my current exposure, ready to get this cycle on the road. Time for my favourite part of the crypto bull market: doing nothing, watching my net worth climb higher. Hope you guys are feeling just as ready for it as I do. Will keep you in the loop on any moves I make as always. Eyes on HYPE, ENA & AR primarily - letting the rest do its thing in the background. See you around!</p>