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Monday's selling took the S&P down 0.8% and the Nasdaq 0.9%. The 10-year is back to 5.24% this morning and the 30-year to 5.57%. The weekly readings are still red. The S&P is at -87 equal weight and -22 cap-weighted, with 46 names breaking out against 270 breaking down. The Russell is at -62 and -24. The Nasdaq is barely positive at +1.8.

The daily pulse turned this morning. On the S&P it's +22 equal weight and +104 cap-weighted, with 153 names breaking out on the day against 73 breaking down. That's a bounce starting. It isn't a signal yet.

What makes this one worth watching is who's buying. The five-day average of insider buying to selling is at its highest in six months, heading into quarter-end. It spiked the same way at the end of March, when the market was at its darkest. Momentum turned about a week later, and the S&P ran 12% in 13 sessions.

The equal-weight S&P (RSP) is the chart to watch. It's holding the 38.2% retracement of its run at $209, with the 200-day and the 50% level st

This is very telling and demonstrates that the paper market continues to unravel:

WEEKLY GLOBAL LIQUIDITY UPDATE

Global Liquidity increased to US$196.30 trillion in the latest data.

• The 3-month annualised growth rate picked up to 4.5%
• 12-month growth increased to 6.3%

Latest data show that headline liquidity has reached a new high of US$196.30 trillion, while underlying liquidity, measured by the Shadow Monetary Base, has fallen to US$107.71 trillion, the lowest level in 16 months. Favourable funding conditions continue to support headline liquidity growth, with the collateral multiplier rising to a new record high of 1.82.

The gap between strong headline liquidity and weak underlying liquidity has therefore widened further. We note, however, that bond market volatility, as measured by the MOVE Index, has picked up in recent days. This warrants close monitoring, as sustained higher volatility would likely increase collateral haircuts, reduce the collateral multiplier, and potentially weaken liquidity conditions.

Global Liquidity (US$ Trillions)

• Latest level: US$196.30T
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We've been talking about a ZEC short for a couple of weeks now and its looking like we may finally be able to start building a short position this week.

Here is what I am looking for and how I intend to scale into this position. If you have not watched my pinned video on position sizing and leverage, I suggest you watch that as well before this trade sets up.

ZEC has finally broken the lows of this upper range and I am now actively looking for entries on a move back up into or near the range. Its hard to say exactly where price will move to, but we can identify zones of interest and strategically place orders in those zones.

In this example - you can see how I would scale into a position. If this was a $10,000 account and I was risking $1000 total in this trade - the first entry would be $100, 2nd entry would be $300 and the final entry $600. Your average short entry price would end up near the $1540 price range if all orders get filled. You can see how laddering in like this can really h

GDX Time Cycles

• Cycles point down toward the last week of November

Today looks like the final 5th wave for USDMXN - I was a little early calling a complete impulse on Friday. But now looking good for a correction and some relief for risk assets.

UPDATE: ALTCOIN GEMS FOR 2027

DENGAN KODE: 06

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$MET

PENJELASAN :

$MET Buyback + Staking terus meningkat !!

Ada dua hal menarik dari $MET saat ini:

Pertama :

80M+ $MET sudah di-stake melalui Referral Staking Program. Ini menunjukkan partisipasi "komunitas" yang terus meningkat setelah 2 cycle pertama.

Kedua :

Dari sisi supply, buyback juga sangat agresif. Sejak awal 2026, buyback mencapai sekitar 71% dari circulating supply per 1 Januari, sementara supply hanya tumbuh sekitar 13%.

Jadi token yang dibeli kembali jauh lebih besar dibanding pertumbuhan supply.

Simplenya kaya gini :

Staking naik + buyback agresif + supply growth lebih rendah = Fundamental yang menarik untuk diperhatikan.

Di tambah lagi dari segi chart juga bagus !!

Saat ini: $MET sudah breakout + rites di timeframe (3D). Lalu saat ini saya melihat $MET masuk ke mode dari bearish menjadi bullish.

Sesuai pandangan awal:

Apakah $MET akan mengikuti $PUMP ?

Entry: 0.20-0.70 (postingan awal).

Take Profit

Are Semiconductor Stocks ready for new highs?

16-, 24- and 36-week cycles dominate swing moves of the Semiconductor Index (SOX).

The 24W cycle has just bottomed and SOX responded nicely. Soon, 16W and 36W cycles will jointly oppose the 24W cycle.

There will be additional long opportunities in semis:

- Nov'26: Troughs of 16W and 36W cycles

- Mar'27: Troughs of 16W and 24W cycles

SPX Micro EW Counts

· SPX also has multiple possibilities.

· Dropped the less likely alternatives, keeping the main bullish and bearish counts.

· For now, tracking the blue and green counts.

SPX Time Cycles - A Teaching Moment

· No noticeable changes in the SPX cycle composite since the last post.

· But let me zoom in for a teaching moment.

· I often repeat to use cycle composite peaks and troughs as approximate turning points and not to infer price levels from the cycle composite amplitudes.

· What makes cycle composites approximate?

· Cycle periods, at least for those cycles considered to be stable and reliable, are fairly accurate; they could vary slowly over time around their stable periods, but that’s a tertiary effect.

· Cycle phases experience continual small phase jitter due to the algorithm constantly trying to determine the optimum phase, but that’s also a small effect.

· The main culprits are the cycle amplitudes. For some cycles, they could vary noticeably over time.

· The cycle detection algorithm estimates the average cycle amplitudes over several cycle periods.

· When amplitudes are constant, the estimates are very accurate, but when they are time-varying, the averag