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Another idiotic decision made by Germany:

SILVER/GOLD looks to be in a LTF downtrend. If we were risk on this should be outperforming

Looking for a sweep of the lows to go long in bigger size PMs

Looks like a 2022/2023 year coming, was hoping for a 2018/2019 year

Now that we have 3 full months of data I have to start thinking instead of Trump repeating his first Midterm (price action was looking more like 2018) it's actually more likely we get a Biden type of midterm (double digit drawdown and slower bleed). The reason I've flipped back and forth every month or sometimes even weeks is because per usual we see price action that causes you to deviate one way and then events happen to pull you in another direction. Inflation was cooling, then back up. The fed was close to cutting then now probably not. Unemployment was going down now flirting back up. GDP was expanding, but now contracting.

The past decade we've only had 2 red years, both midterms

It's almost more annoying when history keeps repeating itself because you feel like no way with different conditions it can keep playing out. I've learned early on to not fade the Midterm Rally but what's been more difficult is trying to p

longing ETH - risk is close to bottoming here

Bitcoin BTCUSD versus BTC CME Analysis Comparison: This Could Explain The Confusion

Hey everyone – 

Doing my best to try to clear up how confusing Bitcoin has been. I have been slightly quiet, watching and trying to find the right signals versus forcing it.

I have pointed this out recently, but there is a huge discrepancy between BTCUSD and BTC CME futures. I think this is the reason for the confusing price action that isn't quite picking a side on the BTCUSD chart.

During the bull market, I would watch BTC CME futures more than I would BTCUSD. Over the last year and a half to two years, this didn't matter as much. For whatever reason, I need to watch it again, because look at how different they are.

On the left we have BTC CME futures, the right BTCUSD

CME has the LMACD starting to converge towards a bearish crossover. Price never made it into the cloud.

BTCUSD price went into the cloud and is now falling below the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen. These are about to cross bearish. The LMACD is cros

IGV 195m level 2 bullish exhaustion signal. Correction looks incomplete. Could be a big short squeeze tomorrow potentially

McClellan Summation Index ($NYSI) Update

McClellan Summation Index Sell SIgnal on 5 March played out beautifully.

The down momentum is slowing, but we need to see it curl up for a swing trend change indication. It may take a few days at least.

Let's see if we can close the week bullish

Very happy with the way Siltronic has traded through the turbulence of this month... a good sign that the catch up trade for wafers relative to DRAM looks like holding water.

Despite the "optimism" the markets are still maintaining VERY strong momentum in upstream oil and gas, fertilizer, and agricultural... Those appear to be longer-term conviction moves.

Financials and real estate the worst...

My Thesis on my Investors should buy in Q1, but traders should buy in Q2 (Historically)

Long story short compounding returns and dividends stock benefit from time being held over timing markets (See graphic below). Buying in January for investors outperforms over longer periods with the highest returns based on the simple fact that the US stock market trends up over time and the longer you can hold an investment the more dividends and higher returns.

For traders it looks like the data points Q2 being a better month to start going risk on which makes a lot of sense with March being one of the more volatile months and May and June being some of the more profitable months (November still the most profitable month historically).

March Madness doesn't just apply to basketball, it really looks like since Covid it's been a real thing
The more data I study and analyze in the past the more I come to the same conclusion that March is just a wild month. Every. Single. Year. This could be because of t