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Adding this ETF vs individual ETFs to reduce risk during this time of volatility. I still see a path to much higher silver prices towards the fall and into next spring.

Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF

Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF

24 Mar

OPENLONG

Invested Capital

1.7%

Buying Price

27.59$

Current Price

-

ROI

0.00%

I will bring analysis on each of the mining stocks after hours once I get Trading VIew working this week. For now, I just need to get these in the system so you can see the mining stocks I am positioned in. I keep missing the trading window to enter these in as I am slammed daily before market close each day. I am an investor and not a trader and look for long term holds in these stocks. I will share when I am buying, selling, and why.

Sold 100%

Consolidating my holdings to 5 miners.

Endeavour Silver Corp.

Endeavour Silver Corp.

24 Mar

CLOSEDLONG

Invested Capital

1%

Buying Price

5.390$

Selling Price

8.770$

ROI

62.71%

I will bring analysis on each of the mining stocks after hours once I get Trading VIew working this week. For now, I just need to get these in the system so you can see the mining stocks I am positioned in. I keep missing the trading window to enter these in as I am slammed daily before market close each day. I am an investor and not a trader and look for long term holds in these stocks. I will share when I am buying, selling, and why.

Sold 100%

Consolidating my holdings to 5 miners.

Coeur Mining, Inc.

Coeur Mining, Inc.

24 Mar

CLOSEDLONG

Invested Capital

0.3%

Buying Price

11.29$

Selling Price

18.10$

ROI

60.32%

EWW breaking out, just a matter of time before the tweet causes everything to explode higher

RNIT AI is now at 54, Up 35% in 2 months is amongst the very few companies still holding up in this carnage

$SEZL - Really like this one based on TA, FA, and the trend of buy now pay later. Oddly enough going back to trends and what the most influential generation is doing Gen Z is actually using Buy Now Pay Later more than any other generation. Over 70% are using it and they also are using less credit cards than other ones (probably because of age).

Sezl is most popular with the younger age group where the target age is 25. They are the smallest marketcap of all the BNPL companies and they are making consistent net income which is even more than some 10x the marketcap.

Might be able to get a better entry next week so sticking with multiple entries but for now this entry looks good with Supertrend bullish, OBV bullish, and price looking good with good fundamentals and the right amount of narrative.

Sold 100%

Again I'd rather close in profit than possibly take a loss. I can always get back into these trades when we get trending conditions.

Sezzle Inc.

Sezzle Inc.

23 Mar

CLOSEDLONG

Invested Capital

5%

Buying Price

68.66$

Selling Price

72.60$

ROI

5.74%

Crude Oil Long-Term Cycles

The 4 dominant cycles detected on the weekly chart indicate CL cycle peaks in Oct'26 and Jun'28.

The cycle troughs are expected in Jul'27 and Oct'29.


Note:

  • Cycle composite estimates further out are less accurate.
  • Do not infer price levels from cycle amplitudes. Cycle peaks and troughs are approximate price turning points.


MARKET REVIEW


DXY - nice rejection into the Friday close. The market desynchronised last week, with the selling in risk assets deviating from the DXY weakness. Hence my comments about fear taking over. I think this divergence sets us up nicely this week for risk assets to push higher and squeeze shorts. I'm bullish risk until DXY completes this C wave and hits around 97.9 - 98.27


CRUDE OIL - Pretty clear that the trend is losing momentum. 18H 5EMA-13SMA cloud on the verge of flipping red. The PA since March 10th is not what a trending move typically looks like, suggesting this is still a corrective structure which has yet to bottom. The move towards 65-72 should align with the drop in DXY early this week.


VIX - I think this is the most telling chart of all, everyone puked stocks on Friday and it couldn't even make a HH on a closing basis. It has been teasing this H+S pattern for a couple weeks and I still think the market needs to reset position before the big collapse. I would be wrong i

... see more

Benner Cycles: When to Buy & Sell Stocks – 1875 Prediction - Will Benner Cycle be Accurate Again in 2026?

2026 is in the set of “Years of Good Times. High Prices and the time to sell Stocks and values of all kinds.”

Samuel Benner, a bankrupt industrialist-turned-farmer in Ohio, articulated his cycle theory in a book titled “Business Prophecies of the Future Ups and Downs in Prices” in 1975.

The 'B' phase (Good Times) corresponds to high prices and the period for unloading (see the original chart below). “Years of Good Times” are separated in an 8-9-10-year repetitive pattern.

Panic years follow a 16-18-20-year repetitive pattern.

Apparently, the diagram was initially compiled by Tritch (1872), but it was not attributed to him.

How Did Benner’s Cycles Work in the Last 50 Years?
Benner’s Peaks (time to sell):
1972 1980 1989 1999 2007 2016 2026
Actual:
1972 1980 1990 2000 2007 2015 ???
Benner’s Panic Years:
1981 1999 2019 2035
Actual:
1981 2000 2020 ???

Rigid application is not perfect, but allowing ±1

... see more

NDX Long-Term Elliott Wave Count on Log Scale

Here's the same count I posted earlier, but zoomed in on a log scale to show the ending diagonal more clearly. I've also included an alternate count (blue) that allows for another higher high.


S&P 500 Cycles Update

Fear is running high. My cycle analysis suggests a reversal is coming soon.

A "dead cat" bounce could last a couple of months, followed by another move down into October 2026.


Fear is thick.


Long-only funds dumped a record -$9.6B in US stocks Thursday morning, a rare 5-sigma event.


Every sector saw selling, led by Tech, Consumer Discretionary, and Industrials.


Sentiment is extremely bearish.

Fear & Greed


Fear is intensifying.

The Fear & Greed Index is showing Extreme Fear, and the put/call ratio is elevated.

I'd like to see an even bigger spike in fear next week before a bounce. Will we get it?