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NEW YT Clip:


China And Iran Set The U.S. A Trap Before The Iran War Started


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ToXY_eV99L4

COHR chart request


85 level is a big spot from a long term perspective. This is my read on the EW structure. Could be close to putting in a major top over the coming months with one final subwave impulse.


If we do get the type of financial crisis I'm expecting. Honestly wouldn't be surprised for it to retest 15 -20 later this year


For LTF swing trade, I'd look at circa 139 to caputure the final push up in a couple months

Bitcoin BTCUSD Short Setup


Ugh, we didn't get a good enough bounce for me to consider the short, but it looks like it might be beginning. I don't want to jump the gun, but there is potential that this unfolds fast.


If you can risk a smaller amount and get into a short, this might be the setup. It's just not the best setup to be risk-free with a stop loss


But I am going to short here with a stop loss above $69,101


I don't love the risk management around this, but it is a rare moment the reward is just too big here to pass up this chance


Update: Dropped $1000 as I was typing this and I am going as fast as I can. I got my short in. I am sorry I couldn't get this written fast enough after noticing the retest failure on the daily. Nothing is confirmed yet. Be flexible and I will keep looking for moments where getting in makes sense

ETHUSD Cycle Projections


Similarly as for BTCUSD, I speculated last weekend that BTCUSD may generate an 80D cycle target (green box) to a new low.


It did happen. ETH may start a more sustainable bounce from that target. See the next post.


My friend also went to Pune to talk with EcoBoard Ltd people on my instance. I asked him to go and talk and gave him some questions to ask...

Here is some highlights -

  • As per feedback, they are using Sulzer Technology for which they are not paying any Royalty or Technical Fees. They have got access to the technology almost a decade ago.
  • They aren't eligible to claim carbon credit. Those who buy their products are eligible for Govt subsidy @ 15% + carbon credit. Their products are engineering product which generates biogas from agri wastes. Their plant (product) are sold @ ₹ 4 Cr per ton per day. Minimum product size is of 3 tonnes i.e value of ₹ 12 Cr. Thermax is one of their competitors. Recently they got an order from Narmada Sugar (MP based listed company).
  • They do installation and fabrication at clients places. All procurements are delivered at client's site.


Point to be noted are according to me--

Their product is in competition with Thermax, the Giant...good value.

Each order should be

... see more

So, if the MOST important thing in trading is the trend.... what should be the main focus?

What should be the primary thing to get a good understanding of?

Right?

SILVER/GOLD looks to be in a LTF downtrend. If we were risk on this should be outperforming


Looking for a sweep of the lows to go long in bigger size PMs


Looks like a 2022/2023 year coming, was hoping for a 2018/2019 year

Now that we have 3 full months of data I have to start thinking instead of Trump repeating his first Midterm (price action was looking more like 2018) it's actually more likely we get a Biden type of midterm (double digit drawdown and slower bleed). The reason I've flipped back and forth every month or sometimes even weeks is because per usual we see price action that causes you to deviate one way and then events happen to pull you in another direction. Inflation was cooling, then back up. The fed was close to cutting then now probably not. Unemployment was going down now flirting back up. GDP was expanding, but now contracting.


The past decade we've only had 2 red years, both midterms

It's almost more annoying when history keeps repeating itself because you feel like no way with different conditions it can keep playing out. I've learned early on to not fade the Midterm Rally but what's been more difficult is trying to p

... see more

longing ETH - risk is close to bottoming here

Sold 100%
Stop Loss : 1994.59 $
Ethereum

Ethereum

27 Mar

CLOSEDLONG

Invested Capital

4.5%

Buying Price

2043$

Selling Price

1995$

ROI

-2.39%

Bitcoin BTCUSD versus BTC CME Analysis Comparison: This Could Explain The Confusion


Hey everyone – 


Doing my best to try to clear up how confusing Bitcoin has been. I have been slightly quiet, watching and trying to find the right signals versus forcing it.


I have pointed this out recently, but there is a huge discrepancy between BTCUSD and BTC CME futures. I think this is the reason for the confusing price action that isn't quite picking a side on the BTCUSD chart.


During the bull market, I would watch BTC CME futures more than I would BTCUSD. Over the last year and a half to two years, this didn't matter as much. For whatever reason, I need to watch it again, because look at how different they are.


On the left we have BTC CME futures, the right BTCUSD


CME has the LMACD starting to converge towards a bearish crossover. Price never made it into the cloud.


BTCUSD price went into the cloud and is now falling below the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen. These are about to cross bearish. The LMACD is cros

... see more

IGV 195m level 2 bullish exhaustion signal. Correction looks incomplete. Could be a big short squeeze tomorrow potentially

McClellan Summation Index ($NYSI) Update

McClellan Summation Index Sell SIgnal on 5 March played out beautifully.

The down momentum is slowing, but we need to see it curl up for a swing trend change indication. It may take a few days at least.