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If you are trading index options, try and observe this -

If Index is going up, OTM puts will also go up, far OTM will go even more up. So, a good trade structure at that point is to buy 2-3 strikes OTM put option and sell those hefty OTM puts that gained value. The trade can be at cost or some debit or even credit depending on the distance from ATM. I traded put ratio today on this recent upmove to 25600-25650. The trade was 1 lot 25500 put long and 6 lots 25k puts short at a cost. Check attached chart of this strategy. As the index came down 25500 put went from 60 to 80 while 25k put went from 10.7 to 10. Both legs yielding money.

Point 1 in attached chart is 12 PM when index was trading at highs of 25650 and point 2 is when index went back to 25550 or below - Doesn't mean I entered/exited at exactly on point 1 and 2 :)

Same happens when index goes down. OTM call options rise in value while near ATM go down. If you create similar structure, it will yield intraday.

Risks Involved - Flash

$ETH - OBV lost support and we've lost another support. Crypto continues to be the punching bag for all markets and now we have to wait again and see where the next possible support is. My last bit of crypto exposure is a small bag of $MSTR hoping that if we can find a bit of support it would rebound faster. We've gone from fear to panic and even stocks are now into "Fear" after being in greed even just a week ago.

Circulating supply of USDT is plateauing, that usually marks a major cycle top

This is where VWAP becomes so important.

Understanding VWAP and Why Deviation Bands Matter

VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) is one of the most important intraday indicators that institutional traders watch.

Unlike a simple moving average, which treats every price equally, VWAP weights each price by the volume traded at that price. This tells you where the real money changed hands throughout the day.

Think of it this way: if 10,000 shares traded at $50 and only 100 shares traded at $55, the "fair price" for the day is much closer to $50 than a simple average would suggest. VWAP captures that.

Why the 1-Minute Anchored VWAP Matters

When you anchor VWAP to the 1-minute opening price, you're establishing the day's baseline from the very first meaningful price action. This becomes your reference point - are buyers or sellers in control relative to where the day started?

The Deviation Bands Are Where It Gets Interesting

Standard deviation bands around VWAP (typically 1, 2, and 3 standard devia

TNX/BTC - a very clear indication we are in risk off. I have an alert for the white box as a signal to flip long BTC

So when BTC/BVOL loses the mid-channel it confirms the bear market. Which is exactly what is happening now.

I have my alerts setup for the lower trendline of the channel, that will be the signal that BTC is putting in a major bottom. As I've said, I suspect that arrives in May. Until then it's down and shorts only.

Sony reported good results and boosted forecast, and the stock spiked and then sold off, to end flat. I am always cautious when good results are not rewarded by the market - its means that there is something else to look at. With gaming stocks, I think it is the cost pressure of memory chip price spike. We will see.

So under the Quasi Ignition Model system I anchor 0 to the beginning of the impulse and 1 to the end of wave 5. When price breaks above/below the green line (expansion gate 1.142857) that is confirmation of the new impulse. This means wave 3 is starting here on NAS100

I need to convert the master document to PDF and will post in a second

JNUG is another primary trade that I'm looking at for the coming correction

These are junior gold miners and offer more beta than the regular ones

Looks like a potential subwave 1 and 2 for NQ. If this count is correct should see it breakdown further from here