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AJB Capital
Public Post

10 THINGS INVESTORS NEED TO KNOW TODAY


Wednesday, February 4, 2026


1. NVIDIA China Sales Stalled by US Security Review NVIDIA's AI chip sales to China are reportedly blocked by a US security review. Chinese customers are meanwhile not placing H200 chip orders... NQ underperforming this morning.


2. AMD Beats But NQ Still Weak Q4 EPS $1.53 vs $1.32 exp, revenue $10.3B vs $9.67B exp. Q1 guidance $9.8B vs $9.42B exp. Despite the beat, tech remains under pressure.


3. Gold Reclaims $5,000/oz Spot gold continues rebounding, breaking back above the $5K handle and peaking at $5,092/oz. Silver briefly topped $90/oz before pulling back.


4. Government Shutdown Ended Trump signed the $1.2T spending bill overnight. House passed 217-214. Labor Dept says all agencies resume normal operations today — NFP likely released next week.


5. US Shoots Down Iranian Drone US shot down an Iranian surveillance drone approaching USS Abraham Lincoln. Crude spiked to $64.16 (WTI) before retracing to $63. Trump says "more t

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IncomeSharks
Public Post

$USAR - Nice double digit day. It doesn't take much to get this narrative going again and the 12 billion investment is just the start. More policy changes and incentives will help these companies grow and I still remain confident in these blue box targets hitting.

$USAR - Nice double digit day. It doesn't take much to get this narrative going again and the 12 billion investment is just the start. More policy...
russellclark
Public Post

Its tempting to cover shorts - but I think sometimes you want to capture beta with your short book. I would hold shorts here until the VIX curve hits 5 at least. Vix curve is spot VIX - 8 mth VIX future.

Its tempting to cover shorts - but I think sometimes you want to capture beta with your short book. I would hold shorts here until the VIX curve hi...
The Sirius Report
Public Post

When there are people with big reputations in the gold and silver space who clearly don't understand the difference between retail and wholesale markets then some serious questions need to be asked.


Why?


Because this is as basic as it gets and fundamentally underpins everything. When they state that there was a huge physical sell-off in recent days then further serious questions need to be asked. Because it is absolutely clear that is utter nonsense.


IncomeSharks
Public Post

$CHZ - If I wait for an entry it might not be until it's up 2x until I get one. Strong volume and World Cup is this year which happens every 4 years. Soccer (football) fan token that looks ready for a 2x to 3x run or more during one of the stronger narratives it's had.

It's found a way back into the top 100 tokens and think it could do well once X starts talking about it. Not doing a stop loss but not going too crazy yet and will consider this one multiple entry.


OBV has already broken out in a big way and I've been waiting for a pullback that hasn't come and think this will create a lot of FOMO buying as it goes higher.

Sold 100%

Another good one that was in profit, just have to derisk here unfortunately with the risk off environment we are in with crypto right now. Can always jump back in when that changes, just don't want to hold and risk further downside waiting.

Chiliz

Chiliz

3 Feb

CLOSEDLONG

Invested Capital

4%

Buying Price

0.04887$

Selling Price

0.04234$

ROI

-13.37%

$CHZ - If I wait for an entry it might not be until it's up 2x until I get one. Strong volume and World Cup is this year which happens every 4 year...
Sonny
Public Post

If NAIL pops up here I will add to my short position. Today was just a short squeeze. No econ data came out to justify this move today.

If NAIL pops up here I will add to my short position. Today was just a short squeeze. No econ data came out to justify this move today.
AJB Capital
Public Post

10 THINGS INVESTORS NEED TO KNOW TODAY


Tuesday, February 3, 2026


1. Stocks Rebounded From Monday's Selloff SPX +0.54%, DJI +1.05%, NDX +0.73%, RUT +1.02%. ISM Manufacturing returned to expansion for the first time in 12 months — highest reading since 2022.


2. US-India Trade Deal Trump cuts tariffs on India from 25% to 18% after Modi agrees to stop buying Russian oil. India commits to $500B+ in US energy, tech, and agricultural purchases.


3. RBA Hikes Rates for First Time in 2+ Years Cash rate raised 25bps to 3.85% in unanimous decision. Governor Bullock: "The pulse of inflation is too strong."


4. Jobs Report POSTPONED BLS will not release January NFP on Friday due to partial government shutdown. December JOLTS data also delayed.


5. Gold & Silver Rebounding Gold +5.5% to ~$4,921/oz, Silver +9% to ~$86.70 after Friday's historic crash. Mining stocks and precious metal ETFs rallying globally.


6. Palantir Surges 10% on Earnings Beat Q4 revenue $1.41B vs $1.33B expected. CEO Karp: "Best results in

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IncomeSharks
Public Post

$ROSE - Definitely thought this one had more upside but glad to have closed in profit while up. Looking more like a M pattern with a double top and now at a support that if breaks takes us down to $.14. So not ready to get back into it but at the lower support I would definitely like to get back in. That would hopefully align with crypto as a whole showing some life.

$ROSE - Definitely thought this one had more upside but glad to have closed in profit while up. Looking more like a M pattern with a double top and...
Sonny
Public Post

Big gaps down on HYG and JNK, as we were expecting. Along with EMB. Risk off move is about to really accelerate now

Big gaps down on HYG and JNK, as we were expecting. Along with EMB. Risk off move is about to really accelerate nowBig gaps down on HYG and JNK, as we were expecting. Along with EMB. Risk off move is about to really accelerate nowBig gaps down on HYG and JNK, as we were expecting. Along with EMB. Risk off move is about to really accelerate now
AJB Capital
Public Post

The Contrarian Oil Trade


Everyone's been bullish oil on Iran tensions.

Strikes seemed imminent.

Risk premium was baked in.


The Reality:

RSI topped 70... and MFI over 80...


Both were OVERBOUGHT.


What Happened:

  • OILU spiked to $34 on Iran fears
  • US-Iran talks now scheduled for Turkey this week
  • Price crashed -6.93% to $30.50 today
  • Geopolitical risk premium evaporating


When everyone is bullish on a narrative (Iran strike!), check your indicators.


RSI approaching 70, MFI approaching 80 = overbought.


Small position, larger payoff. Fade the narrative when indicators flash overbought. You don't need to catch the exact top. A small short position with defined risk can pay off big when the narrative unwinds like it did today.


Indicators > Headlines.

The Contrarian Oil Trade
chrisklein
Public Post

I bought copper (march micro futures) at 5.79 scale down to cover what I sold last week at 6.30 and up

Sonny
Public Post

NQ tagged the first liquidity zone (white box) over night. Structure looks impulsive which we would expect for a C wave of an ABC correction. Currently retracing in a potential wave 2 and already in the golden pocket. 25,666 is a key resistance level which is lining up exactly with 0.5 retracement of wave 1 so we should get a rejection there. Acceptance above would be a cause for concern regarding the continuity of the correction

NQ tagged the first liquidity zone (white box) over night. Structure looks impulsive which we would expect for a C wave of an ABC correction. Curre...