Public feed

$TXG - Pretty wild to see where it was valued before when it was running on all hype, to what kind of revenue and how low it's valued now that it's actually got the AI infrastructure and narrative to push higher.

It really feels and looks like it's following the same path as AI where round 1 was the hype cycle, round 2 is where it makes ATH and actually has weight behind it. Obviously still some risk as a sector because we have to see huge discoveries come out of this but I think we are are already there.

A fun narrative to root for because we could see a change and health in humanity which is an exciting thing to be investing in. More exciting than robotics in my opinion.

1,2,3 Method again to get exposure but not get over exposed too early that no cash ready to go for a dip.

DXY daily level 3 bearish exhaustion as it hits the upper trendline of the megaphone pattern

Expect to see a sharp reversal soon. Weak data tomorrow may do the job!

Bitcoin Quarterly Update: Q4 Has Begun

Here are a couple perspectives

Difficult to say this looks like past bottoms when looking at the higher timeframes

Bulls did recover a lot of the yearly candle. But if this were to reject here, and make new lows, the yearly candle would basically be doomed and the secular bear market in my eyes would be VERY confirmed

See the Evening Star at the top of the Quarterly at the highs? That would then form on the yearly

This monthly candle stopped precisely at the close price of Q4 2025

Now we have a top in the process of confirming on USDMXN we can anchor QIM time + price. We now have 2 options for wave 2, sharp zigzag which would likely bottom before cyan on October 8th/9th. Or a flat correction bottoming towards QIM resolution around October 20th.

By October 9th we should be able to tell which one it is. I will be looking to long on a potential wave 2 bottom.

Aimtron Electronics is now 2.5x

Market cap up from 1650cr to 4150cr+ in last 9 months

D: Holding and biased

Natural Gas (NG) EW Count

• ii was smaller than i by 0.02!
• There is a reason why they refer to NG as "the widow maker."

Monday's selling took the S&P down 0.8% and the Nasdaq 0.9%. The 10-year is back to 5.24% this morning and the 30-year to 5.57%. The weekly readings are still red. The S&P is at -87 equal weight and -22 cap-weighted, with 46 names breaking out against 270 breaking down. The Russell is at -62 and -24. The Nasdaq is barely positive at +1.8.

The daily pulse turned this morning. On the S&P it's +22 equal weight and +104 cap-weighted, with 153 names breaking out on the day against 73 breaking down. That's a bounce starting. It isn't a signal yet.

What makes this one worth watching is who's buying. The five-day average of insider buying to selling is at its highest in six months, heading into quarter-end. It spiked the same way at the end of March, when the market was at its darkest. Momentum turned about a week later, and the S&P ran 12% in 13 sessions.

The equal-weight S&P (RSP) is the chart to watch. It's holding the 38.2% retracement of its run at $209, with the 200-day and the 50% level st

This is very telling and demonstrates that the paper market continues to unravel:

WEEKLY GLOBAL LIQUIDITY UPDATE

Global Liquidity increased to US$196.30 trillion in the latest data.

• The 3-month annualised growth rate picked up to 4.5%
• 12-month growth increased to 6.3%

Latest data show that headline liquidity has reached a new high of US$196.30 trillion, while underlying liquidity, measured by the Shadow Monetary Base, has fallen to US$107.71 trillion, the lowest level in 16 months. Favourable funding conditions continue to support headline liquidity growth, with the collateral multiplier rising to a new record high of 1.82.

The gap between strong headline liquidity and weak underlying liquidity has therefore widened further. We note, however, that bond market volatility, as measured by the MOVE Index, has picked up in recent days. This warrants close monitoring, as sustained higher volatility would likely increase collateral haircuts, reduce the collateral multiplier, and potentially weaken liquidity conditions.

Global Liquidity (US$ Trillions)

• Latest level: US$196.30T
  (↑

We've been talking about a ZEC short for a couple of weeks now and its looking like we may finally be able to start building a short position this week.

Here is what I am looking for and how I intend to scale into this position. If you have not watched my pinned video on position sizing and leverage, I suggest you watch that as well before this trade sets up.

ZEC has finally broken the lows of this upper range and I am now actively looking for entries on a move back up into or near the range. Its hard to say exactly where price will move to, but we can identify zones of interest and strategically place orders in those zones.

In this example - you can see how I would scale into a position. If this was a $10,000 account and I was risking $1000 total in this trade - the first entry would be $100, 2nd entry would be $300 and the final entry $600. Your average short entry price would end up near the $1540 price range if all orders get filled. You can see how laddering in like this can really h

GDX Time Cycles

• Cycles point down toward the last week of November

Today looks like the final 5th wave for USDMXN - I was a little early calling a complete impulse on Friday. But now looking good for a correction and some relief for risk assets.