Republic ResearchFeb 10, 2026Public PostTried something a little different with the data set than usual... We wanted to look today at a Cap-weight reading - something we haven't done before because of the associated math behind it. But it signals a more bearish headcount ... see more
PaulFeb 10, 2026Public PostThis nonsense about BRICS and this Unit currency persists. As was said to me very recently and directly, BRICS will continue to develop payment mechanisms and encourage the ever growing usage of national currencies. There is no BRICS currency on the horizon in any capacity whatsoever at this time. We know what is going on and why we are one of the very few channels who has accurately laid out all the plans and developments of the multipolar world for over a decade including the BRICS.
russellclarkFeb 10, 2026Public PostShould I add to the wafer trade? Its a good question. Having looked at the wafer stocks, and read various analyst reports, there is no good third party metric to look at to signal now is the time to buy. We are only left with stocks. Today, SUMCO broke to new cycle highs, while WAF GY and GlobalWafers are also looking perky. From an investing point of view, its now when silicon wafer prices rise thats important - it is when the market begins to price in a future rise that is important. And that may be happening. The big tell is if SUMCO and WAF GY can trade up on a down day in the market.
Republic ResearchFeb 09, 2026Public PostMidday Sector Check Indices are higher at midday. S&P up about 0.6%. Nasdaq leading with a 1.1% gain. Russell up 0.84% — small caps continue to catch a bid. What's working: Semis are ripping. The chip names are extending Friday's bounce hard. NVDA +3.5%, AMD +3.6%, AVGO +4.7%. SOXL is catching a bid and acting like last week's selloff was just a shakeout. Oracle upgraded to Buy and running +11%. Big tech broadly green. MSFT +2.9%, PLTR +6.9%, TSLA +2.4%, META +2.9%, GOOG +0.8%. APP continues to be a monster at +15%. Gold holding above $5,000. PBoC bought for the 15th straight month. China reportedly telling banks to diversify away from Treasuries. That's a structural bid under metals. Dollar weakness (DXY near 97.3) is adding fuel. Financials and Energy still catching rotation flows. The "Great Rotation" theme is alive. JPM, GS seeing inflows as the yield curve steepens. Energy quietly outperformed everything last quarter (+16%). What's not: Software remains under pressure. INTU -1. ... see more
SSonnyFeb 09, 2026Public PostLooks like a falling wedge on VIX. I will buy VOLX on the overthrow into the apex of the triangle
Republic ResearchFeb 09, 2026Public PostFlows aren't strong at the moment despite that Dow figure and Japan at all time highs. We're still being cautious... as a fade at the morning could arrive on concerns around Japanese bonds, U.S. treasury dumping... and other questions.
ashishgupta325Feb 09, 2026Public PostSilverM - The trade is up around 9.5-10k (more than 60% of initial credit). I have booked some quantity in this. IMO though the trade is good to hold and should yield the entire credit and can be held until expiry. Don't see silver crossing 350k on th upside or 230k on the downside.
SSonnyFeb 09, 2026Public PostSo the landslide victory for Takaichi in Japanese snap election has been interpreted as bullish due to his views on maintaing a loose fiscal policy. However, USDJPY is not really reflecting that. 1h bear div and strong rejection off the open. Still maintain that we are going to see a pretty savage move down this week for risk assets. Given the action over the last couple days for NQ and ES, it looks like they're developing a running flat for wave 2. Which suggests to me that a powerful move down in wave 3 is close. Probably push up a little more tomorrow off the back of this news and I will be looking to reposition in the VIX futures long.
FFinance UnfilteredFeb 08, 2026Public PostWe identified a couple of errors in the prior newsletter— most notably, our Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) trade was completed with full profits taken but was not marked as such, and we missed a potential Macy’s (M) trade entry . Both have been corrected, and the updated issue is attached below. BobbyDocumentfirebasestorage.googleapis.com
FFinance UnfilteredFeb 08, 2026Public PostThis week's Newsletter is out... - Bobby-Documentfirebasestorage.googleapis.com
IncomeSharksFeb 06, 2026Public Post$RUT - Small cap index with a nice day. Overall still looks like a bullish structure. I still think both can be true where defensive stocks go up for their value/stability and high beta small caps go up because they offer high upside with less risk since they move much more. You can go smaller for example versus having to go really big to benefit from 5% gains on larger marketcap stocks. You can risk small amounts and get 20 to 30% moves.
SSonnyFeb 06, 2026Public PostShorted the openBought 100%6 FebStop Loss : 31.92 $Super Micro Computer, Inc.6 FebCLOSEDSHORTInvested Capital2.4%Selling Price31.29$Buying Price31.92$ROI-2.03%
russellclarkFeb 06, 2026Public PostAm I wrong on bonds? JGBs and even German bond yields have hit highs recently...... but If I look at the performance of Staples... then seem to be implying a huge fall in bond yields ... see more
ashishgupta325Feb 06, 2026Public PostIf you are trading index options, try and observe this - If Index is going up, OTM puts will also go up, far OTM will go even more up. So, a good trade structure at that point is to buy 2-3 strikes OTM put option and sell those hefty OTM puts that gained value. The trade can be at cost or some debit or even credit depending on the distance from ATM. I traded put ratio today on this recent upmove to 25600-25650. The trade was 1 lot 25500 put long and 6 lots 25k puts short at a cost. Check attached chart of this strategy. As the index came down 25500 put went from 60 to 80 while 25k put went from 10.7 to 10. Both legs yielding money. Point 1 in attached chart is 12 PM when index was trading at highs of 25650 and point 2 is when index went back to 25550 or below - Doesn't mean I entered/exited at exactly on point 1 and 2 :) Same happens when index goes down. OTM call options rise in value while near ATM go down. If you create similar structure, it will yield intraday. Risks Involved - ... see more
ashishgupta325Feb 06, 2026Public PostMazdock - Some more upmove with vol crush will yield about 50% of the credit and will book the trade there. Targeting 7k
FFinance UnfilteredFeb 05, 2026Public PostThe QQQs have stumbled through three straight sessions—five of the last six, actually. Same for the SPY—but our recent trade recommendations kept delivering. Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) is pushing toward its third target, while Ingersoll Rand (IR) and CenterPoint Energy (CNP) hit their third targets for full profits on Wednesday. Our newest pick, Fastenal (FAST), reached all three targets within 48 hours, and our longer-term trade Target (TGT) is profitable. This performance against a weak tape underscores why active stock picking matters—when broad indices struggle, disciplined selection and targeting separate the winners from the wreckage. -Bobby-
IncomeSharksFeb 05, 2026Public Post$ETH - OBV lost support and we've lost another support. Crypto continues to be the punching bag for all markets and now we have to wait again and see where the next possible support is. My last bit of crypto exposure is a small bag of $MSTR hoping that if we can find a bit of support it would rebound faster. We've gone from fear to panic and even stocks are now into "Fear" after being in greed even just a week ago.
SSonnyFeb 05, 2026Public PostCirculating supply of USDT is plateauing, that usually marks a major cycle top
Republic ResearchFeb 05, 2026Public PostThis is where VWAP becomes so important. Understanding VWAP and Why Deviation Bands Matter VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) is one of the most important intraday indicators that institutional traders watch. Unlike a simple moving average, which treats every price equally, VWAP weights each price by the volume traded at that price. This tells you where the real money changed hands throughout the day. Think of it this way: if 10,000 shares traded at $50 and only 100 shares traded at $55, the "fair price" for the day is much closer to $50 than a simple average would suggest. VWAP captures that. Why the 1-Minute Anchored VWAP Matters When you anchor VWAP to the 1-minute opening price, you're establishing the day's baseline from the very first meaningful price action. This becomes your reference point - are buyers or sellers in control relative to where the day started? The Deviation Bands Are Where It Gets Interesting Standard deviation bands around VWAP (typically 1, 2, and 3 stand ... see more
SSonnyFeb 05, 2026Public PostTNX/BTC - a very clear indication we are in risk off. I have an alert for the white box as a signal to flip long BTC
Rajeev DesaiFeb 05, 2026Public PostDon't average any stock because it went down. Don't average any stock thinking there is no change in fundamental. Stock goes down not only when fundamental becomes bad, but also when it is valued high. If stock is not growing enough , then don't average it. I usually don't average down. I average on upside. Downside we don't know the Bottom, so how much we will buy? It will keep on going down. While upside, the trend is Up, which is very imp in stock market. Buying don't come for nothing. Better average those stock, which went up after you bought and still didn't come back to your buy price, and again started going up.... eg. South West Pinnacle Exp Ltd. We talked here at 172, went to 224 , came down to around same 170, and turn back....So it never gave paper Loss. It means, our price was correct to buy, correct price I discussed. Stock which never give you Loss is your Best Pick. Average such stocks. Don't make a mistake to sell such stocks for peanuts of profit. Don't trade to los ... see more
SSonnyFeb 05, 2026Public PostSo when BTC/BVOL loses the mid-channel it confirms the bear market. Which is exactly what is happening now. I have my alerts setup for the lower trendline of the channel, that will be the signal that BTC is putting in a major bottom. As I've said, I suspect that arrives in May. Until then it's down and shorts only.
Republic ResearchFeb 05, 2026Public PostTop 10 Things to Watch Today Thursday, February 5, 2026 1. ECB and BoE Rate Decisions Take Center Stage Both the European Central Bank and Bank of England announce policy decisions today, with rates expected to hold steady at 2.00% and 3.75%, respectively. Markets will parse Lagarde's comments on EUR strength and inflation undershooting, while Bailey faces questions amid UK political turmoil. 2. Google Doubles AI Spending, Lifts Chip Sector Despite missing cloud expectations and trading down 2.4% pre-market, Alphabet's decision to double AI capital expenditure is boosting semiconductor names, including ASML (+1.1%). This signals Big Tech remains committed to the AI buildout even as investors scrutinize returns on massive infrastructure investments. 3. US-Iran Talks Back On for Friday After a false start over venue disputes, Iran's Foreign Minister confirmed direct talks with the US will proceed in Oman on Friday. Crude benchmarks remain volatile amid this development, with Brent hov ... see more
russellclarkFeb 05, 2026Public PostSony reported good results and boosted forecast, and the stock spiked and then sold off, to end flat. I am always cautious when good results are not rewarded by the market - its means that there is something else to look at. With gaming stocks, I think it is the cost pressure of memory chip price spike. We will see.
