SonnyFeb 04, 2026Public PostSo under the Quasi Ignition Model system I anchor 0 to the beginning of the impulse and 1 to the end of wave 5. When price breaks above/below the green line (expansion gate 1.142857) that is confirmation of the new impulse. This means wave 3 is starting here on NAS100 I need to convert the master document to PDF and will post in a second
SonnyFeb 04, 2026Public PostJNUG is another primary trade that I'm looking at for the coming correction These are junior gold miners and offer more beta than the regular ones
SonnyFeb 04, 2026Public PostLooks like a potential subwave 1 and 2 for NQ. If this count is correct should see it breakdown further from here
Republic ResearchFeb 04, 2026Public Post10 THINGS INVESTORS NEED TO KNOW TODAY Wednesday, February 4, 2026 1. NVIDIA China Sales Stalled by US Security Review NVIDIA's AI chip sales to China are reportedly blocked by a US security review. Chinese customers are meanwhile not placing H200 chip orders... NQ underperforming this morning. 2. AMD Beats But NQ Still Weak Q4 EPS $1.53 vs $1.32 exp, revenue $10.3B vs $9.67B exp. Q1 guidance $9.8B vs $9.42B exp. Despite the beat, tech remains under pressure. 3. Gold Reclaims $5,000/oz Spot gold continues rebounding, breaking back above the $5K handle and peaking at $5,092/oz. Silver briefly topped $90/oz before pulling back. 4. Government Shutdown Ended Trump signed the $1.2T spending bill overnight. House passed 217-214. Labor Dept says all agencies resume normal operations today — NFP likely released next week. 5. US Shoots Down Iranian Drone US shot down an Iranian surveillance drone approaching USS Abraham Lincoln. Crude spiked to $64.16 (WTI) before retracing to $63. Trump say ... see more
IncomeSharksFeb 03, 2026Public Post$USAR - Nice double digit day. It doesn't take much to get this narrative going again and the 12 billion investment is just the start. More policy changes and incentives will help these companies grow and I still remain confident in these blue box targets hitting.
russellclarkFeb 03, 2026Public PostIts tempting to cover shorts - but I think sometimes you want to capture beta with your short book. I would hold shorts here until the VIX curve hits 5 at least. Vix curve is spot VIX - 8 mth VIX future.
PaulFeb 03, 2026Public PostWhen there are people with big reputations in the gold and silver space who clearly don't understand the difference between retail and wholesale markets then some serious questions need to be asked. Why? Because this is as basic as it gets and fundamentally underpins everything. When they state that there was a huge physical sell-off in recent days then further serious questions need to be asked. Because it is absolutely clear that is utter nonsense.
IncomeSharksFeb 03, 2026Public Post$CHZ - If I wait for an entry it might not be until it's up 2x until I get one. Strong volume and World Cup is this year which happens every 4 years. Soccer (football) fan token that looks ready for a 2x to 3x run or more during one of the stronger narratives it's had. It's found a way back into the top 100 tokens and think it could do well once X starts talking about it. Not doing a stop loss but not going too crazy yet and will consider this one multiple entry. OBV has already broken out in a big way and I've been waiting for a pullback that hasn't come and think this will create a lot of FOMO buying as it goes higher.Sold 100%3 FebAnother good one that was in profit, just have to derisk here unfortunately with the risk off environment we are in with crypto right now. Can always jump back in when that changes, just don't want to hold and risk further downside waiting. Chiliz3 FebCLOSEDLONGInvested Capital4%Buying Price0.04887$Selling Price0.04234$ROI-13.37%
SonnyFeb 03, 2026Public PostIf NAIL pops up here I will add to my short position. Today was just a short squeeze. No econ data came out to justify this move today.
Republic ResearchFeb 03, 2026Public Post10 THINGS INVESTORS NEED TO KNOW TODAY Tuesday, February 3, 2026 1. Stocks Rebounded From Monday's Selloff SPX +0.54%, DJI +1.05%, NDX +0.73%, RUT +1.02%. ISM Manufacturing returned to expansion for the first time in 12 months — highest reading since 2022. 2. US-India Trade Deal Trump cuts tariffs on India from 25% to 18% after Modi agrees to stop buying Russian oil. India commits to $500B+ in US energy, tech, and agricultural purchases. 3. RBA Hikes Rates for First Time in 2+ Years Cash rate raised 25bps to 3.85% in unanimous decision. Governor Bullock: "The pulse of inflation is too strong." 4. Jobs Report POSTPONED BLS will not release January NFP on Friday due to partial government shutdown. December JOLTS data also delayed. 5. Gold & Silver Rebounding Gold +5.5% to ~$4,921/oz, Silver +9% to ~$86.70 after Friday's historic crash. Mining stocks and precious metal ETFs rallying globally. 6. Palantir Surges 10% on Earnings Beat Q4 revenue $1.41B vs $1.33B expected. CEO Karp: "Best ... see more
ashishgupta325Feb 03, 2026Public PostBHEL - Rolled straddle from 255 to 265, put hedge from 230 to 250.
IncomeSharksFeb 03, 2026Public Post$ROSE - Definitely thought this one had more upside but glad to have closed in profit while up. Looking more like a M pattern with a double top and now at a support that if breaks takes us down to $.14. So not ready to get back into it but at the lower support I would definitely like to get back in. That would hopefully align with crypto as a whole showing some life.
SonnyFeb 02, 2026Public PostBig gaps down on HYG and JNK, as we were expecting. Along with EMB. Risk off move is about to really accelerate now
Republic ResearchFeb 02, 2026Public PostThe Contrarian Oil Trade Everyone's been bullish oil on Iran tensions. Strikes seemed imminent. Risk premium was baked in. The Reality: RSI topped 70... and MFI over 80... Both were OVERBOUGHT. What Happened: OILU spiked to $34 on Iran fears US-Iran talks now scheduled for Turkey this week Price crashed -6.93% to $30.50 today Geopolitical risk premium evaporating When everyone is bullish on a narrative (Iran strike!), check your indicators. RSI approaching 70, MFI approaching 80 = overbought. Small position, larger payoff. Fade the narrative when indicators flash overbought. You don't need to catch the exact top. A small short position with defined risk can pay off big when the narrative unwinds like it did today. Indicators > Headlines.
chriskleinFeb 02, 2026Public PostI bought copper (march micro futures) at 5.79 scale down to cover what I sold last week at 6.30 and up
SonnyFeb 02, 2026Public PostNQ tagged the first liquidity zone (white box) over night. Structure looks impulsive which we would expect for a C wave of an ABC correction. Currently retracing in a potential wave 2 and already in the golden pocket. 25,666 is a key resistance level which is lining up exactly with 0.5 retracement of wave 1 so we should get a rejection there. Acceptance above would be a cause for concern regarding the continuity of the correction
Republic ResearchFeb 02, 2026Public Post10 Things Investors Need to Know Today Monday, February 2, 2026 1. US Futures Red, Tech Leading Losses NQ futures down 0.8% with ES -0.6% and RTY -0.9% as the week begins on a defensive note. NVIDIA (-1.6%) and Oracle (-3.5%) are dragging tech lower on company-specific news. 2. NVIDIA's OpenAI Deal in Question WSJ reports NVIDIA's $100bln OpenAI investment has stalled amid internal concerns. CEO Huang's attempted clarification ("no, no, nothing like that" when asked about $100bln+) may have inadvertently confirmed the doubts. 3. Historic Precious Metals Crash Continues Gold crashed as much as 10% and silver 16% — gold's biggest intraday drop in four decades. The selloff was triggered by Kevin Warsh's nomination as Fed Chair, with Chinese investors locking in profits overnight. 4. Oil Slides on US-Iran Talks WTI broke below $62/bbl as geopolitical risk premium evaporates on reports of potential US-Iran meeting in Turkey this week. Trump confirmed Iran is "seriously talking" with Wash ... see more
ashishgupta325Feb 02, 2026Public PostInitiated this put ratio on Nifty for intraday. SL - 24960 spot level. Update - Will adjust/exit if 24750 breaks.
Rajeev DesaiFeb 02, 2026Public PostAccording to me, Budget is Good. Lots of plans and lots of funds allocation to Railways, Semiconductor, Bio Pharma, Data Centers,Medical Tourism etc etc.... I was never thinking of LTCG or STT reduction at any point of time. Why Nirmala Sitaraman will do it? Just to make FII come back? Means succumb under FII pressure? Show weakness? FII selling is not only because of LTCG. There are many reasons. Google, asking "why FII are selling in India" , and you will get various reasons.... I like the Budget. She gave exemption uptill 12 Lacs in last Budget in personal IT. She can't keep giving concession in every budget. After cutting down GST in so many items, including cars, in last Sep, how FM can give more concession again so soon....GST rate reduction was a big spike for economical growth! !
IncomeSharksFeb 02, 2026Public PostBULL THESIS FOR $USAR Almost 90% of rare earth materials are imported by the US. The biggest shock and risk for national security is the fact that we relied on China for these and they no longer export them. This creates a high risk supply chain issue and it's why the US has taken a large stake in USAR. The list is extensive below but these rare earth materials are required to build rockets, missiles, lasers, laser defense system, and hypersonic weapons like (ICBMs). It's almost a matter of national defensive and security to make sure we can produce these. Not to mention the commercial shock and retail demand which require these for smart phones, LED tvs, and things as simple as batteries. The list is quite intense but these are all elements and minerals that we now longer have access to. Rare Earth Elements (REEs) & Magnets These are indispensable for guidance systems, target acquisition, and actuators in missiles. Neodymium (Nd): Essential for Neodymium-Iron-Boron (NdFeB) magnets, ... see more
ashishgupta325Feb 01, 2026Public PostClosed Dixon for 5k+. I think we may see some more reaction on STT hike tomorrow when the FIIs resume the work. I am assessing what all trades should we further close. We should get some more opportunity for new trades tomorrow.
IncomeSharksJan 31, 2026Public PostBitcoin OBV still being the most stubborn thing. It'd almost be nice if it could just figure out a direction to be traded. The structure continues to expand and range and every breakout was short lived but every breakdown held just enough to give hope.
KemozabiJan 31, 2026Public PostCould be the similar idea playing out. 49k was resistance and ended up as support months later.... perhaps the market wants to check the 73k high before moving any higher?