Daily morning star pattern forming on US10Y suggests this is a bottom. Might well get a nasty spike in yields into the July 6th pivot
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I just started a Markets Live community chat for my members to discuss markets in real time and incentivise an open discussion. I look forward to engaging with many of you there.
IMPORTANT: The Implosion of the JPY just started
Is the rotation into the broader market over?
AI/chip stocks and most of the Magnificent 7 showed strength today, while health care also saw positive breadth.
The remaining eight sectors had either negative or flat breadth.
Notably, the S&P 500, mid-caps, and small-caps all had negative breadth.
Ethereum 3M Quarterly Three Black Crows Candlestick Pattern
Ethereum is less than 48 hours away from triggering this Three Black Crows pattern
We can expect a meaningful bounce during Q4, but it likely leads to more new lows after that. This is a bearish signal
I see this as an early sign that crypto is an a much more extended bear market
BIG NEWS: Ethena x BlackRock.
$ENA is bullish for institutional adoption!
BlackRock’s Aladdin, the investment management platform used by some of the world’s largest financial institutions, supports firms managing over $20 trillion in assets (absolutely crazy).
This integration makes it much easier for institutional asset managers already using Aladdin to gain exposure to Solana ($SOL) within their existing portfolio management and risk systems.
Congratulations to @ethena! This is an important first step that strengthens the protocol’s utility and opens the door to broader institutional adoption in the future.
DeFi: @ethena
Safety Controls & Devices Ltd : CMP : Rs 80.70 - SME
1) Sales growing, NP growing, margins growing.
2) SME Co having over 100 Cr sales- Like it.
3) Debtors days are on higher side and that is why available at 80!!
4) Commissioning of electrical transmission substations (up to 400 kV) and related infrastructure.
5) Sector Tailwinds: Operating as an EPC (Engineering, Procurement, and Construction) firm in power substations, solar infrastructure, and firefighting systems, the company sits in a high-growth sector( Power).
Do you DD. Take your call!!
Monday Open - Weekly Market Update - June 29
Another week, where bears are starting to win some battles again. Let's dive in.
Finding out what was discussed at this forum. Huge developments that as usual go under the radar. More to follow shortly:
China unveiled an extensive array of financial opening-up policies at the 2026 Lujiazui Forum in Shanghai, encompassing a comprehensive offshore finance action plan, offshore renminbi foreign exchange trading pilots, a new repo facility and a set of incremental foreign exchange liberalisation policies
Gold (GC) Cycle Price Targets
· I have been talking for several months about a cycle trough in July.
· My reading of the cycles is one more down-up sequence before a low of sorts is established in July.
The next target for the 40W cycle is shown below; GC may bounce from there, though I have another longer cycle target in the 3400-3500 area.
Summer Rally?
- July summer rallies have been a tradition.
- Will dominant NDX cycles spoil the party this year?
- According to the 3 dominant NDX cycles, July could be red for the stock market.
- Maybe a bounce in late July and early August
US Dollar Speculators vs Cycles
- Speculators are extremely bullish on USD, just as the cycles turn.
- This pattern keeps repeating. They will never learn.
- The Hurst nominal 40-week cycle (actual 35 weeks) is about to roll over.
When Nifty stagnated for 2 years, This is what happened after that
Historical data shows strong rebounds:
- 1 year returns ranged 5-50%
-3 year CAGRs 7-40% across 10+ periods
Between May 2024-26, Nifty returns ~2% CAGR
Sources Data- Edelweiss AMC
Magnificent Seven 16-Week Cycle
- $MAGS is oversold and due for a bounce
- It is in the 16W (Hurst nominal 20W) cycle trough range
- This cycle can provide about 8W +/- bounce, though under pressure from the nominal 40W cycle pointing in the opposite direction
- Then a confluence of nominal 20W and 40W cycle troughs in Oct-Nov'26 should align with a low of significance in $MAGS price
