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Top 10 Things to Watch Today


Thursday, February 5, 2026


1. ECB and BoE Rate Decisions Take Center Stage


Both the European Central Bank and Bank of England announce policy decisions today, with rates expected to hold steady at 2.00% and 3.75%, respectively. Markets will parse Lagarde's comments on EUR strength and inflation undershooting, while Bailey faces questions amid UK political turmoil.


2. Google Doubles AI Spending, Lifts Chip Sector


Despite missing cloud expectations and trading down 2.4% pre-market, Alphabet's decision to double AI capital expenditure is boosting semiconductor names, including ASML (+1.1%). This signals Big Tech remains committed to the AI buildout even as investors scrutinize returns on massive infrastructure investments.


3. US-Iran Talks Back On for Friday


After a false start over venue disputes, Iran's Foreign Minister confirmed direct talks with the US will proceed in Oman on Friday. Crude benchmarks remain volatile amid this development, with Brent hovering ne

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Sony reported good results and boosted forecast, and the stock spiked and then sold off, to end flat. I am always cautious when good results are not rewarded by the market - its means that there is something else to look at. With gaming stocks, I think it is the cost pressure of memory chip price spike. We will see.

So under the Quasi Ignition Model system I anchor 0 to the beginning of the impulse and 1 to the end of wave 5. When price breaks above/below the green line (expansion gate 1.142857) that is confirmation of the new impulse. This means wave 3 is starting here on NAS100


I need to convert the master document to PDF and will post in a second

JNUG is another primary trade that I'm looking at for the coming correction


These are junior gold miners and offer more beta than the regular ones

Looks like a potential subwave 1 and 2 for NQ. If this count is correct should see it breakdown further from here

10 THINGS INVESTORS NEED TO KNOW TODAY


Wednesday, February 4, 2026


1. NVIDIA China Sales Stalled by US Security Review NVIDIA's AI chip sales to China are reportedly blocked by a US security review. Chinese customers are meanwhile not placing H200 chip orders... NQ underperforming this morning.


2. AMD Beats But NQ Still Weak Q4 EPS $1.53 vs $1.32 exp, revenue $10.3B vs $9.67B exp. Q1 guidance $9.8B vs $9.42B exp. Despite the beat, tech remains under pressure.


3. Gold Reclaims $5,000/oz Spot gold continues rebounding, breaking back above the $5K handle and peaking at $5,092/oz. Silver briefly topped $90/oz before pulling back.


4. Government Shutdown Ended Trump signed the $1.2T spending bill overnight. House passed 217-214. Labor Dept says all agencies resume normal operations today — NFP likely released next week.


5. US Shoots Down Iranian Drone US shot down an Iranian surveillance drone approaching USS Abraham Lincoln. Crude spiked to $64.16 (WTI) before retracing to $63. Trump says "more t

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$USAR - Nice double digit day. It doesn't take much to get this narrative going again and the 12 billion investment is just the start. More policy changes and incentives will help these companies grow and I still remain confident in these blue box targets hitting.

Its tempting to cover shorts - but I think sometimes you want to capture beta with your short book. I would hold shorts here until the VIX curve hits 5 at least. Vix curve is spot VIX - 8 mth VIX future.

When there are people with big reputations in the gold and silver space who clearly don't understand the difference between retail and wholesale markets then some serious questions need to be asked.


Why?


Because this is as basic as it gets and fundamentally underpins everything. When they state that there was a huge physical sell-off in recent days then further serious questions need to be asked. Because it is absolutely clear that is utter nonsense.


$CHZ - If I wait for an entry it might not be until it's up 2x until I get one. Strong volume and World Cup is this year which happens every 4 years. Soccer (football) fan token that looks ready for a 2x to 3x run or more during one of the stronger narratives it's had.

It's found a way back into the top 100 tokens and think it could do well once X starts talking about it. Not doing a stop loss but not going too crazy yet and will consider this one multiple entry.


OBV has already broken out in a big way and I've been waiting for a pullback that hasn't come and think this will create a lot of FOMO buying as it goes higher.

Sold 100%

Another good one that was in profit, just have to derisk here unfortunately with the risk off environment we are in with crypto right now. Can always jump back in when that changes, just don't want to hold and risk further downside waiting.

Chiliz

Chiliz

3 Feb

CLOSEDLONG

Invested Capital

4%

Buying Price

0.04887$

Selling Price

0.04234$

ROI

-13.37%

If NAIL pops up here I will add to my short position. Today was just a short squeeze. No econ data came out to justify this move today.

10 THINGS INVESTORS NEED TO KNOW TODAY


Tuesday, February 3, 2026


1. Stocks Rebounded From Monday's Selloff SPX +0.54%, DJI +1.05%, NDX +0.73%, RUT +1.02%. ISM Manufacturing returned to expansion for the first time in 12 months — highest reading since 2022.


2. US-India Trade Deal Trump cuts tariffs on India from 25% to 18% after Modi agrees to stop buying Russian oil. India commits to $500B+ in US energy, tech, and agricultural purchases.


3. RBA Hikes Rates for First Time in 2+ Years Cash rate raised 25bps to 3.85% in unanimous decision. Governor Bullock: "The pulse of inflation is too strong."


4. Jobs Report POSTPONED BLS will not release January NFP on Friday due to partial government shutdown. December JOLTS data also delayed.


5. Gold & Silver Rebounding Gold +5.5% to ~$4,921/oz, Silver +9% to ~$86.70 after Friday's historic crash. Mining stocks and precious metal ETFs rallying globally.


6. Palantir Surges 10% on Earnings Beat Q4 revenue $1.41B vs $1.33B expected. CEO Karp: "Best results in

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