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IncomeSharks
Mar 31, 2026Public Post
$SPY - The S&P 500 is currently on it's 6th losing week but if it bounces it might end at only 5. If it continues and go we go into the 7th losing week that has only happened 4 times in history with the last one being in 2022. A bounce is completely normal and expected, even the 2022 fractal has us bouncing here and even coming pretty high before the next round of selling. Might use the bounce as a time to trim some stocks Since this is a pretty typical Turnaround Tuesday it makes sense to look to take advantage of the rally. In no way shape or form is there any indication that we just V shape reverse from here. Especially with $OIL and war stock still pushing up and economic data trending worse not better yet.
$SPY - The S&P 500 is currently on it's 6th losing week but if it bounces it might end at only 5. If it continues and go we go into the 7th losing week that has only happened 4 times in history with the last one being in 2022. A bounce is completely normal and expected, even the 2022 fractal has us bouncing here and even coming pretty high before the next round of selling. Might use the bounce as a time to trim some stocks Since this is a pretty typical Turnaround Tuesday it makes sense to look to take advantage of the rally. In no way shape or form is there any indication that we just V shape reverse from here. Especially with $OIL and war stock still pushing up and economic data trending worse not better yet.
TonySeverinoCMT
Mar 29, 2026Public Post
Bitcoin BTCUSD Short Setup Ugh, we didn't get a good enough bounce for me to consider the short, but it looks like it might be beginning. I don't want to jump the gun, but there is potential that this unfolds fast. If you can risk a smaller amount and get into a short, this might be the setup. It's just not the best setup to be risk-free with a stop loss But I am going to short here with a stop loss above $69,101 I don't love the risk management around this, but it is a rare moment the reward is just too big here to pass up this chance Update: Dropped $1000 as I was typing this and I am going as fast as I can. I got my short in. I am sorry I couldn't get this written fast enough after noticing the retest failure on the daily. Nothing is confirmed yet. Be flexible and I will keep looking for moments where getting in makes sense
Bitcoin BTCUSD Short Setup Ugh, we didn't get a good enough bounce for me to consider the short, but it looks like it might be beginning. I don't want to jump the gun, but there is potential that this unfolds fast. If you can risk a smaller amount and get into a short, this might be the setup. It's just not the best setup to be risk-free with a stop loss But I am going to short here with a stop loss above $69,101 I don't love the risk management around this, but it is a rare moment the reward is just too big here to pass up this chance Update: Dropped $1000 as I was typing this and I am going as fast as I can. I got my short in. I am sorry I couldn't get this written fast enough after noticing the retest failure on the daily. Nothing is confirmed yet. Be flexible and I will keep looking for moments where getting in makes senseBitcoin BTCUSD Short Setup Ugh, we didn't get a good enough bounce for me to consider the short, but it looks like it might be beginning. I don't want to jump the gun, but there is potential that this unfolds fast. If you can risk a smaller amount and get into a short, this might be the setup. It's just not the best setup to be risk-free with a stop loss But I am going to short here with a stop loss above $69,101 I don't love the risk management around this, but it is a rare moment the reward is just too big here to pass up this chance Update: Dropped $1000 as I was typing this and I am going as fast as I can. I got my short in. I am sorry I couldn't get this written fast enough after noticing the retest failure on the daily. Nothing is confirmed yet. Be flexible and I will keep looking for moments where getting in makes senseBitcoin BTCUSD Short Setup Ugh, we didn't get a good enough bounce for me to consider the short, but it looks like it might be beginning. I don't want to jump the gun, but there is potential that this unfolds fast. If you can risk a smaller amount and get into a short, this might be the setup. It's just not the best setup to be risk-free with a stop loss But I am going to short here with a stop loss above $69,101 I don't love the risk management around this, but it is a rare moment the reward is just too big here to pass up this chance Update: Dropped $1000 as I was typing this and I am going as fast as I can. I got my short in. I am sorry I couldn't get this written fast enough after noticing the retest failure on the daily. Nothing is confirmed yet. Be flexible and I will keep looking for moments where getting in makes sense
Rajeev Desai
Mar 29, 2026Public Post
My friend also went to Pune to talk with EcoBoard Ltd people on my instance. I asked him to go and talk and gave him some questions to ask... Here is some highlights - As per feedback, they are using Sulzer Technology for which they are not paying any Royalty or Technical Fees. They have got access to the technology almost a decade ago. They aren't eligible to claim carbon credit. Those who buy their products are eligible for Govt subsidy @ 15% + carbon credit. Their products are engineering product which generates biogas from agri wastes. Their plant (product) are sold @ ₹ 4 Cr per ton per day. Minimum product size is of 3 tonnes i.e value of ₹ 12 Cr. Thermax is one of their competitors. Recently they got an order from Narmada Sugar (MP based listed company). They do installation and fabrication at clients places. All procurements are delivered at client's site. Point to be noted are according to me-- Their product is in competition with Thermax, the Giant...good value. Each order ... see more
IncomeSharks
Mar 27, 2026Public Post
Looks like a 2022/2023 year coming, was hoping for a 2018/2019 year Now that we have 3 full months of data I have to start thinking instead of Trump repeating his first Midterm (price action was looking more like 2018) it's actually more likely we get a Biden type of midterm (double digit drawdown and slower bleed). The reason I've flipped back and forth every month or sometimes even weeks is because per usual we see price action that causes you to deviate one way and then events happen to pull you in another direction. Inflation was cooling, then back up. The fed was close to cutting then now probably not. Unemployment was going down now flirting back up. GDP was expanding, but now contracting. The past decade we've only had 2 red years, both midterms It's almost more annoying when history keeps repeating itself because you feel like no way with different conditions it can keep playing out. I've learned early on to not fade the Midterm Rally but what's been more difficult is trying ... see more
Looks like a 2022/2023 year coming, was hoping for a 2018/2019 year Now that we have 3 full months of data I have to start thinking instead of Trump repeating his first Midterm (price action was looking more like 2018) it's actually more likely we get a Biden type of midterm (double digit drawdown and slower bleed). The reason I've flipped back and forth every month or sometimes even weeks is because per usual we see price action that causes you to deviate one way and then events happen to pull you in another direction. Inflation was cooling, then back up. The fed was close to cutting then now probably not. Unemployment was going down now flirting back up. GDP was expanding, but now contracting. The past decade we've only had 2 red years, both midterms It's almost more annoying when history keeps repeating itself because you feel like no way with different conditions it can keep playing out. I've learned early on to not fade the Midterm Rally but what's been more difficult is trying to play the year before. The wild April Tariff "crash" would have made perfect sense in a Midterm year, pretty unusual for Year 1. So seeing that flip sentiment and seeing us V shape reverse out of that it felt like getting a 2018/2019 midterm year made more sense (a slow grind up that retraces and the S&P 500 finishes down only 4%) Why is 2022/2023 more similar? I mean in my mind Trump was president in 2018, so I assumed since he's president again he probably has similar behavior and gets similar market reactions. However, politics aside, the markets, global conflict, all that now seems to be right back to where we were in 2022/2023 back with fears of recession while having a global conflict. Russia Ukraine War versus Iran Conflict (Different yes, but the point being there's a conflict) We now have less than ideal economic data and odds of a recession have gone up (similar) Midterm Year for both, and historically mid term years are red (not always) Since it's the last few years for both presidents it's implied new change is coming which is also similar Oddly enough we are back to similar gas prices again, another similarity So until data or events happen to change the current thesis (it's important to be flexible) this is more how I plan on playing the year (see chart) We'll still get bounces, we'll still have plays that have upside, but we might add in some more shorts and hedges than originally planned. Long term holds don't really change, there will be new narratives and trends that still have their own bull markets, and just because this is what I expect there's still a chance it doesn't happen.
Sonny
Mar 27, 2026Public Post
longing ETH - risk is close to bottoming here
Sold 100%
27 Mar
Stop Loss : 1994.59 $
Ethereum

Ethereum

27 Mar

CLOSEDLONG

Invested Capital

4.5%

Buying Price

2043$

Selling Price

1995$

ROI

-2.39%

longing ETH - risk is close to bottoming here
TonySeverinoCMT
Mar 26, 2026Public Post
Bitcoin BTCUSD versus BTC CME Analysis Comparison: This Could Explain The Confusion Hey everyone – Doing my best to try to clear up how confusing Bitcoin has been. I have been slightly quiet, watching and trying to find the right signals versus forcing it. I have pointed this out recently, but there is a huge discrepancy between BTCUSD and BTC CME futures. I think this is the reason for the confusing price action that isn't quite picking a side on the BTCUSD chart. During the bull market, I would watch BTC CME futures more than I would BTCUSD. Over the last year and a half to two years, this didn't matter as much. For whatever reason, I need to watch it again, because look at how different they are. On the left we have BTC CME futures, the right BTCUSD CME has the LMACD starting to converge towards a bearish crossover. Price never made it into the cloud. BTCUSD price went into the cloud and is now falling below the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen. These are about to cross bearish. The LMAC ... see more
Bitcoin BTCUSD versus BTC CME Analysis Comparison: This Could Explain The Confusion Hey everyone – Doing my best to try to clear up how confusing Bitcoin has been. I have been slightly quiet, watching and trying to find the right signals versus forcing it. I have pointed this out recently, but there is a huge discrepancy between BTCUSD and BTC CME futures. I think this is the reason for the confusing price action that isn't quite picking a side on the BTCUSD chart. During the bull market, I would watch BTC CME futures more than I would BTCUSD. Over the last year and a half to two years, this didn't matter as much. For whatever reason, I need to watch it again, because look at how different they are. On the left we have BTC CME futures, the right BTCUSD CME has the LMACD starting to converge towards a bearish crossover. Price never made it into the cloud. BTCUSD price went into the cloud and is now falling below the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen. These are about to cross bearish. The LMACD is crossing back bearish, after crossing bearish, then immediately crossing back bullish BTC CME is more bearish than BTCUSD. At one point last week, BTCUSD Coinbase traded at a premium over BTCUSDT Binance. I saw some Coinbase volume analysis from another analyst that also suggested there was a buyer on Coinbase absorbing the selling. However, it might have been a buy wall type situation, where the wall is then pulled and price then plummets. Technicals look plenty bearish now, and they're getting to the point where the weekly swing trade is going to be nullified. Worse yet, the monthly and quarterly close in 5 days. If this falls further, it's another nasty long black down candlestick after the last one, which confirmed an evening star pattern. This could continue to look really ugly for a couple more quarters if this closes downs stronger on the quarterly. I will do some quarterly analysis next to see what that might look like. Now remember, although we started to see bullish BTC technicals formulate, the stock market's weight if it is really preparing to topple, would cause ALL assets to start to turn bearish, even if their technicals were bullish. Even energy and oil or metals should take a good hit if the stock market makes a major drop down. I cannot be certain of course, but the S&P 500 looks some of the worst I've seen it, and the move hasn't happened yet. The longer it takes, the stronger it will be. I genuinely think it is a moment to derisk wherever possible
IncomeSharks
Mar 24, 2026Public Post
My Thesis on my Investors should buy in Q1, but traders should buy in Q2 (Historically) Long story short compounding returns and dividends stock benefit from time being held over timing markets (See graphic below). Buying in January for investors outperforms over longer periods with the highest returns based on the simple fact that the US stock market trends up over time and the longer you can hold an investment the more dividends and higher returns. For traders it looks like the data points Q2 being a better month to start going risk on which makes a lot of sense with March being one of the more volatile months and May and June being some of the more profitable months (November still the most profitable month historically). March Madness doesn't just apply to basketball, it really looks like since Covid it's been a real thing The more data I study and analyze in the past the more I come to the same conclusion that March is just a wild month. Every. Single. Year. This could be becau ... see more
My Thesis on my Investors should buy in Q1, but traders should buy in Q2 (Historically) Long story short compounding returns and dividends stock benefit from time being held over timing markets (See graphic below). Buying in January for investors outperforms over longer periods with the highest returns based on the simple fact that the US stock market trends up over time and the longer you can hold an investment the more dividends and higher returns. For traders it looks like the data points Q2 being a better month to start going risk on which makes a lot of sense with March being one of the more volatile months and May and June being some of the more profitable months (November still the most profitable month historically). March Madness doesn't just apply to basketball, it really looks like since Covid it's been a real thing The more data I study and analyze in the past the more I come to the same conclusion that March is just a wild month. Every. Single. Year. This could be because of the cyclical nature since Covid and March starting it, or it could be as simple as the cyclical nature of the 4 year cycle lining up perfectly around the March Triple Witching Day. Once you start mapping out the Triple Witching Days you really start to notice those always line up with events somehow and someway We saw the market form a local bottom last June on the exact witching day. We've seen the last 2024 March witching day lead to a wild Tariff sell off right after. We've seen enough days and events to realize that around these days and weeks before and after there's just chaos. Chaos that is predictable but not avoidable and it might just have to be a golden rule to play the VIX and sit on cash when one approaches. Plenty have marked bottoms, plenty have started massive sell offs, but if there's one behavior of Witching Day patterns that is the most consistent it's that March is the most crazy of them all. Buying in January, February, and March for compounding/dividend stocks As crazy as March can be what's crazier is the long term impact of investing and compounding returns when buying earlier in the year. This is especially important when looking at dividend stocks which will always give you an edge for time being held over trying to time. Buying even when prices are higher in the early part of the year consistently still outperforms buying later in the year trying to time the dips (See data of investing $10k each month at the same time each year). Best months are November, May June This means that buying in Q1 (especially in blood) can often let you benefit from the historically bullish months of November, May, and June. This means that for traders they may do better waiting to go risk on in Q2 closer to April and taking advantage of years where March brings volatility and dips and corrections while being able to benefit from May and June.My Thesis on my Investors should buy in Q1, but traders should buy in Q2 (Historically) Long story short compounding returns and dividends stock benefit from time being held over timing markets (See graphic below). Buying in January for investors outperforms over longer periods with the highest returns based on the simple fact that the US stock market trends up over time and the longer you can hold an investment the more dividends and higher returns. For traders it looks like the data points Q2 being a better month to start going risk on which makes a lot of sense with March being one of the more volatile months and May and June being some of the more profitable months (November still the most profitable month historically). March Madness doesn't just apply to basketball, it really looks like since Covid it's been a real thing The more data I study and analyze in the past the more I come to the same conclusion that March is just a wild month. Every. Single. Year. This could be because of the cyclical nature since Covid and March starting it, or it could be as simple as the cyclical nature of the 4 year cycle lining up perfectly around the March Triple Witching Day. Once you start mapping out the Triple Witching Days you really start to notice those always line up with events somehow and someway We saw the market form a local bottom last June on the exact witching day. We've seen the last 2024 March witching day lead to a wild Tariff sell off right after. We've seen enough days and events to realize that around these days and weeks before and after there's just chaos. Chaos that is predictable but not avoidable and it might just have to be a golden rule to play the VIX and sit on cash when one approaches. Plenty have marked bottoms, plenty have started massive sell offs, but if there's one behavior of Witching Day patterns that is the most consistent it's that March is the most crazy of them all. Buying in January, February, and March for compounding/dividend stocks As crazy as March can be what's crazier is the long term impact of investing and compounding returns when buying earlier in the year. This is especially important when looking at dividend stocks which will always give you an edge for time being held over trying to time. Buying even when prices are higher in the early part of the year consistently still outperforms buying later in the year trying to time the dips (See data of investing $10k each month at the same time each year). Best months are November, May June This means that buying in Q1 (especially in blood) can often let you benefit from the historically bullish months of November, May, and June. This means that for traders they may do better waiting to go risk on in Q2 closer to April and taking advantage of years where March brings volatility and dips and corrections while being able to benefit from May and June.My Thesis on my Investors should buy in Q1, but traders should buy in Q2 (Historically) Long story short compounding returns and dividends stock benefit from time being held over timing markets (See graphic below). Buying in January for investors outperforms over longer periods with the highest returns based on the simple fact that the US stock market trends up over time and the longer you can hold an investment the more dividends and higher returns. For traders it looks like the data points Q2 being a better month to start going risk on which makes a lot of sense with March being one of the more volatile months and May and June being some of the more profitable months (November still the most profitable month historically). March Madness doesn't just apply to basketball, it really looks like since Covid it's been a real thing The more data I study and analyze in the past the more I come to the same conclusion that March is just a wild month. Every. Single. Year. This could be because of the cyclical nature since Covid and March starting it, or it could be as simple as the cyclical nature of the 4 year cycle lining up perfectly around the March Triple Witching Day. Once you start mapping out the Triple Witching Days you really start to notice those always line up with events somehow and someway We saw the market form a local bottom last June on the exact witching day. We've seen the last 2024 March witching day lead to a wild Tariff sell off right after. We've seen enough days and events to realize that around these days and weeks before and after there's just chaos. Chaos that is predictable but not avoidable and it might just have to be a golden rule to play the VIX and sit on cash when one approaches. Plenty have marked bottoms, plenty have started massive sell offs, but if there's one behavior of Witching Day patterns that is the most consistent it's that March is the most crazy of them all. Buying in January, February, and March for compounding/dividend stocks As crazy as March can be what's crazier is the long term impact of investing and compounding returns when buying earlier in the year. This is especially important when looking at dividend stocks which will always give you an edge for time being held over trying to time. Buying even when prices are higher in the early part of the year consistently still outperforms buying later in the year trying to time the dips (See data of investing $10k each month at the same time each year). Best months are November, May June This means that buying in Q1 (especially in blood) can often let you benefit from the historically bullish months of November, May, and June. This means that for traders they may do better waiting to go risk on in Q2 closer to April and taking advantage of years where March brings volatility and dips and corrections while being able to benefit from May and June.
Stacking Surfer
Mar 24, 2026Public Post
Adding this ETF vs individual ETFs to reduce risk during this time of volatility. I still see a path to much higher silver prices towards the fall and into next spring.
Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF

Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF

24 Mar

OPENLONG

Invested Capital

1.7%

Buying Price

27.59$

Current Price

30.49$

ROI

10.49%

Stacking Surfer
Aug 07, 2025Public Post
I will bring analysis on each of the mining stocks after hours once I get Trading VIew working this week. For now, I just need to get these in the system so you can see the mining stocks I am positioned in. I keep missing the trading window to enter these in as I am slammed daily before market close each day. I am an investor and not a trader and look for long term holds in these stocks. I will share when I am buying, selling, and why.
Sold 100%
24 Mar

Consolidating my holdings to 5 miners.

Endeavour Silver Corp.

Endeavour Silver Corp.

24 Mar

CLOSEDLONG

Invested Capital

1%

Buying Price

5.390$

Selling Price

8.770$

ROI

62.71%

Stacking Surfer
Aug 07, 2025Public Post
I will bring analysis on each of the mining stocks after hours once I get Trading VIew working this week. For now, I just need to get these in the system so you can see the mining stocks I am positioned in. I keep missing the trading window to enter these in as I am slammed daily before market close each day. I am an investor and not a trader and look for long term holds in these stocks. I will share when I am buying, selling, and why.
Sold 100%
24 Mar

Consolidating my holdings to 5 miners.

Coeur Mining, Inc.

Coeur Mining, Inc.

24 Mar

CLOSEDLONG

Invested Capital

0.3%

Buying Price

11.29$

Selling Price

18.10$

ROI

60.32%