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Here's a visualization of how much money has flown into the safe haven/debasement trades. You can see how the biggest change has been over the past year as people are either worried about the economy, the US dollar, inflation, etc.

This includes Gold, Silver, Bitcoin, and Money Markets which are typically places people park money when they are worried about the economy, dollar, or markets.

It will be interesting to see if we see people pile onto this trade in 2026, or 2026 we see money go back into the markets and take more risk on.

PGEL - Brought both wings 10 points down after this initial vol crush.

$DELL - Possible bearish H & S setup. Might be able to offer a pretty decent short term put play depending on what tomorrow looks like. Will keep an eye on this.

This week's Newsletter is out. Happy New Year, all!!!

Short Analysis on an EMS company: Aimtron ltd (looking good for short term and long term)

Mkt cap: 1650cr | TTM PE: 48.2x | Promoter holding: 71.44% | ROE: 24.8%

Product & Service Offerings

• Aimtron operates as a one-stop ESDM and ODM player, offering PCBA, box build assembly, and end-to-end product realization services
• Capabilities span PCB design, embedded systems, firmware, mechanical design, prototyping, validation and mass manufacturing
• Strong expertise in high reliability and precision engineering for aerospace, defence, medical, automotive, IoT and telecom sectors
• Integrated manufacturing backed by global certifications enables turnkey solutions from concept to lifecycle support

Market Opportunity

• India’s ESDM industry is poised for exponential growth, targeting USD 500 billion output by 2030 with strong policy backing
• Rising demand from EVs, defence, aerospace, AI, IoT, telecom, and medical electronics expands Aimtron’s addressable market
• Government incentives such as PLI, DLI, semi

$FLNC - Nice bullish channel started. $18 been acting as a nice key level. Looks like we got a good break and re-test and price hopefully works on a move towards $30 in Q1 of 2026.

SUMIT KAPOOR -CEO @ Zapata Quantum | Hypergrowth Leader | Scaled 50x to $1BN+ Revenue | Quantum, AI, Finance, Energy | Harvard MBA | Harvard College Mathematics | Morgan Stanley Structured Finance / IB

San Francisco, California, United States.

Proven leader with broad experience scaling complex businesses from startup through $1B+ in revenue across technology, finance, and energy. Hands-on operator with a strong track record of co-creating compelling visions and building high-performing teams to realize them. Deep expertise in raising capital, driving product development, executing M&A, strengthening governance, and managing investor and board relationships.

Sumit Kapur is a seasoned technology and finance executive with a track record of scaling complex businesses across startups, growth-stage companies, and mature enterprises. Before joining Zapata, Sumit held C-Suite roles and senior leadership roles, including at 3Degrees, Morgan Stanley, and Tulip AI.

$ZPTA was quoting at $0.005 on 1s

$HRL - Still like the trade, have alerts set if we come back down to $23.50 that I will plan on closing in profit there if we pull back otherwise I still like the target and think fundamentally it's moving nice and still fairly undervalued relatively. Also a good staple stock play to hold.

$OIL - Seeing it continue to climb back up. Might be an interesting sign that inflation isn't cooling as much as the data is showing (also a lot of data was missing because of the shutdown). And historically $GOLD making all time highs also tends to lead to a larger correction.

But then you have crypto that already started a correction which is not as typical but could be a warning sign. I know in six months all of this action will be so obvious in hindsight for what kind of year we get for 2026 but right now I think it's totally understandable to be scratching your head a bit and seeing multiple scenarios playing out.

The biggest takeaway is to not be overly aggressive or all in in these conditions. Majority of the bull market moves are over, even if there is more upside the more it creeps up the more risk gets added.

This isn’t optimism. It’s mechanics.

Bonuses get deployed, underweight managers chase benchmarks, and dealers lean into suppressed volatility. The historical edge exists because positioning resets, not because fundamentals magically improve. Watch liquidity conditions.

Seasonality works until rates, funding, or credit surprise late. When it fails, it fails violently.

The Bank of China will print some more too...

This is a tailwind, not a thesis.