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The latest update on U.S. investors having more exposure to equity markets compared to real estate could be problematic. If foreign capital starts to withdraw from the U.S. due to higher yield elsewhere, it could set off valuation compression.


Watch the FNGD for clues.

$ETH - Reclaiming the failed diagonal. OBV still held support. If that was a bear trap it was an awfully good one. Crypto is incredible at looking like death but never dying so I'm glad to still be holding some. But once again too early to celebrate and we've seen how this plays out. Will consider adding some crypto exposure today if some charts offer some really tight risk to reward opportunities.

Hedging my shorts with a RAY long. Looks like a complete first wave impulse, should see a bounce here

Sold 100%
Stop Loss : 0.849815 $
Raydium

Raydium

19 Dec 2025

CLOSEDLONG

Invested Capital

1.9%

Buying Price

0.8728$

Selling Price

0.8498$

ROI

-2.63%

$SPY - This would be worst case scenario and is not likely but it's always a possibility and it's important to have plans for situations like this. I don't know how prepared a lot would be for a 20% drawdown like we got last time so it's always a good thought process as to how you would plan for this or what it would look like.

It is a little concerning seeing the same 4 red day candle sell off after we hit a double top resistance area. Different conditions and situations though. I think we have a lot of undervalued stocks too so the downside seems less likely but we do have a lot of overvalue in the market right now that's concentrated in the top.

We saw this play out with crypto where a lot were caught off sides and off guard not preparing or having a plan for such a large drawdown. Stocks are better positioned to not be as affected by this but still is a possibility.

Silver at $66 per oz and wti at 55/56 per barrel is just an aberration. Historically this has occurred twice (Covid and 1980 when the Hunt brothers tried to corner the silver market). It hasn’t lasted very long…

Oh and it’s not that silver is too expensive. All the contrary!

$BTC - It went from Ethereum looking stronger to now Bitcoin looking stronger on the OBV and with price (it's green today and Ethereum is red).


Bitcoin OBV still making a structure and will still interested in seeing which direction it decides. Should be an interesting move regardless with the end of month and end of year volatility we have coming.

Interestingly the hurst cycle low for ZEC lines up perfectly with ETHBTC hurst cycle low


Adds greater confidence that we see the crypto bottom around Xmas time!

Bitcoin dominance forming a daily morning star pattern, looks ready to push higher. Some levels to watch. At least get 50% of October wick fill imho

Bitcoin Daily Bollinger Band Compression: What The Signal Suggests


Technically, BTCUSD's daily Bollinger Bands are tightening, highlighting diminished volatility. This tends to precede a switch to volatility and confirmation versus ranging and uncertainty.


Simply put. When the calm breaks, a big (daily timeframe) move comes


Based on where the market is, there is a higher probability the market moves up in the short term. This is due to the psychology at play – and its a ripe setup for a bull trap


BTCUSD momentum is already aimed towards fear and panic, not hope and optimism. The problem is that the market hasn't yet accepted this change


The last big move down that got us to this current range was nasty, but not quite enough to get everyone to believe it is a bear market - this means the trend is lacking acceptance


Because there is a lack of acceptance, bulls will easily believe their biases were correct and confirmed when price moves back up. Their complacency makes them an easy target for t

... see more

SILVER APPLICATIONS


Silver is widely used across industrial applications because of its exceptional electrical and thermal conductivity, reflectivity, and antimicrobial properties. The main areas of industrial utilisation include:


Electronics & Electrical Applications

a.       Contacts and switches – ensures low resistance and reliability

b.       Printed circuit boards (PCBs) – silver inks and pastes for conductive pathways

c.       Semiconductor packaging – die attach, bonding wires, and conductive adhesives

d.       RFID, 5G, and high-frequency electronics – minimizes signal loss


Energy & Power

e.       Solar panels (photovoltaics) – silver paste in solar cells to collect and transport electrons

f.         Electric vehicles (EVs) – used in power electronics, battery management systems, and charging infrastructure

g.        Power grids – silver-coated conductors and contacts for high-load switching


Chemical & Industrial Processing

h.       Catalysts – essential in producing ethylene oxide and fo

... see more

$NFLX - Trade idea for two possible trades if we can get to $80 or $70 buy zones. If wondering about prices they did do a stock split. But I think $80 could offer a good swing trade opportunity, $70 a better long term trade.

$BTC - Looking like we are favoring more of the ORANGE squiggly line scenario. Would be great if stocks and the market comes out strong on Monday and that this is simply some selling on a Sunday price action. These are not going to be easy conditions and making predictions especially are going to get tougher.

I will continue to share some trades and opportunities but sometimes the best trades are just enjoying out the rest of the month and coming in with fresh eyes with a new year.

I don't think it's as bearish as people are making it out to be but it's becoming pretty clear that if you are patient you'll be able to get some entries on Bitcoin lower so more importantly is not having FOMO and we'll keep playing this week by week.