Market update
today was a bond-market day wearing an equity-market costume. The 10-year spiked to its highest since 2002 in the morning and took everything down with it — the S&P fell 0.7% at the lows before a strong $39B auction brought yields back down and stocks clawed back to finish nearly flat, with the S&P closing at 7,801.77, down just 0.22%. But don't let the flat close fool you: small caps fell 1.3%, the average stock equal-weight lost 0.8%, and it was narrow megacap leadership doing all the work. The 2pm Fed minutes leaned hawkish — most officials see another hike as likely this year — so the ceiling on rallies stays in place until yields cooperate. After the close, $APLD printed a monster revenue beat $341.9M vs ~$116-135M expected with base rent stepping up on schedule, which is a second straight counterpoint to the deployment-pushout fears and gives AI infrastructure a positive backdrop into tomorrow. Watch the 10-year around 5.30%: below it the relief trade continues, back toward the highs and the pain comes back. $PENG sold with 34% profit and $NBIS added at $234.80 is only trading today, $AMZN $GOOG $AAPL looks strong today, $INTC $AVGO $CRWV still holding nicely, $VST if you have added with me it’s 24% up now.
I will catch up in morning with levels