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Lesson – Cycle Price Projection Method Using FLDs

Today, using Bitcoin as an example, I will explain the cycle-based price projection method. In cycle literature, the method is referred to as price projections using the forward line of demarcation (FLD).

Definitions:

-          Cycle period = time distance between cycle troughs;

-          Forward line of demarcation (FLD) = Price shifted by half the cycle period;

-          Cyan line = median of the price bar;

-          TD = trading day;

-          CD = calendar day;

In this example, the FLD band is constructed by offsetting the median price by TD=7 and TD=8 TDs, which correspond to CD=9 and CD=10 CDs for the nominal 20D cycle that is presumed to vary between 19 and 20 CDs.

H1 is the vertical distance between the last low before the median price intersects with the left FLD band boundary and the intersection point.

H2 is the vertical distance between the last low before the median price intersects with the right FLD band boundary and the inter

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US Dollar Sentiment


The USD sentiment was extremely bearish at the Jan'26 low. I called the bottom, not just based on the sentiment, but using my EW and cycle analysis.


It's solidly bullish now, but there's still room for even more optimism.


Stay tuned for more on USD.



Terrible Market Breadth Today

  • Decliners outnumber advancers 3:1 across all sectors except Energy, which is benefiting from a geopolitical pop in oil.
  • Even Technology is showing poor breadth, despite a bounce in Semis.


🚨 BREAKING NEWS: $ONDO Expands the Utility of Tokenized Stocks

Tokenized stocks are no longer just assets for spot trading.


Starting today, @OndoFinance has officially enabled tokenized stocks as margin collateral on @OndoPerps for equity perpetual trading.

Why is this important for $ONDO?


Tokenized stocks can now serve as productive collateral, rather than simply providing passive exposure. This also opens access to 24/7 global equity derivatives markets, bringing crypto one step closer to traditional financial infrastructure.


This has the potential to deliver liquidity comparable to traditional derivatives markets.


The RWA (Real World Assets) narrative continues to gain momentum, and $ONDO is further strengthening its position as one of the leading projects in the tokenization of real-world assets.


We're coming in lower, and it's broader than it's been all week.

Earlier this week the selling was just the AI names. The chips got hit, but money rotated into everything else and the market held up fine. Overnight, that changed. This morning it's most of the board. The average stock is lower, and about the only green left is energy, with oil up on the Iran headlines, plus a few defensive names.


The bigger trend still hasn't broken, though. The longer-term picture on the S&P and small caps is pointed up, and the Nasdaq's roughly flat. What rolled over is the short-term momentum, and it rolled hard. So this is a real pullback inside an uptrend that's still standing. Not a breakdown, at least not yet.


Small caps are holding up best this morning, so this isn't a full run for the exits. It's the crowded winners, the AI trade, getting sold the hardest.


Today is the test. For two weeks, every dip got bought. Either that happens again once we open, or it doesn't and the selling starts eating into

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Opportunity!!!


PS: Ceasefire between US-Iran called off.

Keep cash ready as Geopolitics + Q1FY27 results shall open entry opportunities in multiple Gems



Update: $NEAR


$NEAR has returned to its previous support zone. This is a key level that must hold if $NEAR wants to maintain its bullish market structure.


Check out the analysis in the post below: 👇🏻

ECB President Lagarde says the RMB is 15-16% undervalued.


In reality it should be around 3 to the dollar or even lower.


Of course China hugely manipulates the price against the dollar to keep the Yuan weaker.


As ever this is not investment advice because I am not allowed to provide it but I recently bought Yuan currency at 6.81. That is not a subtle hint either. I am just diversifying some FIAT out of Euros and Pounds. If I could I would buy Rubles too but whilst that is possible via Kazakhstan it would place me in the crosshairs of being sanctioned which would be a nightmare.

The short-term oil setup is becoming more and more favourable for a sharp upward move, with the risk that the upcoming EIA report will throw gasoline on it

Two Shark Indicators Video Walk Through

Video going through both indicators. Please do not hesitate to ask questions, even if it sounds like a dumb question. The more feedback and information I can get the more polished of a guide I can make.


Sharks Stock Trader

This one has been doing really well for individual stocks. It's actually even done a better job the past few days than the SPY trader just because of the dynamic price targets. Right now TSLA seems to be the best stock to use it on as it's 8/8 on signals with no confusion and clear price entries and exits. Makes me confident that it could actually be used for agentic trading but I'd love to get some data on some bad days to make it better but so far haven't seen it yet.

Sharks Slice SPY 30

I will be adding the OR targets with a dotted line as well as putting the dotted lines on the charts when the signal fires. This way you know where the Shark and Whale targets are hiding (or maybe you want them disabled so you don't know but you c

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🚨 BREAKING: Bullish News for $ONDO


What’s interesting isn’t just the $ONDO token, but the rapid growth of @OndoFinance as a leading Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization platform.


Latest data shows:

• Tokenized assets have reached $3.64B.
• Holders are up nearly 25% over the past 30 days.
• Stablecoin market cap within the Ondo ecosystem has grown by 16% in the same period.

This suggests adoption continues to accelerate, even though $ONDO’s price may not yet fully reflect its underlying fundamentals.


Why is $ONDO interesting?

Traditional finance (TradFi) needs:
• Faster settlement.
• 24/7 markets.
• Regulatory-compliant infrastructure.


If the tokenization trend continues to expand,

several catalysts could drive Ondo’s ecosystem:

• More stocks and ETFs moving on-chain.
• Deeper on-chain liquidity through new integrations.
• Increasing institutional adoption of tokenized assets.


If the RWA narrative remains one of this cycle’s strongest themes, @OndoFinance is well-positioned to become one of the leading

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Markets and strategist want to get bearish on AI trade... bit hard to do when DRAM prices are still rising.