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US economic data, official data so treat with a healthy scepticism:


US Key Economic Indicators (Mid-2026)

Indicator

Latest Value

Period

Notes / Trend

Nominal GDP

~$30.8 trillion

Q1/Q2 2026

World's largest economy

Real GDP Growth (Annual)

+2.7%

Recent quarter

Solid but moderating

Real GDP Growth Forecast 2026

+2.0% – +2.2%

Full year 2026

Moderate growth expected

Unemployment Rate

4.2%

June 2026

Low, but slowly rising

Inflation (CPI, year-over-year)

4.2%

May 2026

Elevated due to energy and tariffs

Core Inflation

~3.5–3.8%

Recent

Sticky services inflation

PCE Inflation (Fed preferred)

~2.7–3.8%

Recent

Moving toward 2% target long-term

Federal Funds Rate

~3.4% (projected end-2026)

Current policy

Fed in easing cycle

10-Year Treasury Yield

~4.1–4.3%

Recent

Moderate borrowing costs

Non-Farm Payroll Growth

+57k

Recent month

Hiring slowing

Budget Deficit (% of GDP)

~5.5% (projected)

FY 2026

Elevated

Federal Debt-to-GDP

~120–130%

Recent

High and rising

Consumer Spending Growth

Moderate

Recent

Supported by wages, but cautious

Manufacturing PMI

Mixed (~50

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Here are 8 altcoins that I think deserve a spot on your watchlist this week.


1. $HYPE
A $30.9M token unlock took place on July 6. Watch for a potential pullback if the price revisits the $60 area. (Neutral)


2. $ONDO
On July 3, BlackRock officially launched the tokenized IVV (S&P 500 ETF). The Real World Assets (RWA) narrative remains strong and could continue to act as a major catalyst for $ONDO. (Bullish)


3. $XPL
The public sale vesting is scheduled for July 28. Monitor potential accumulation ahead of the unlock, along with the latest ecosystem developments and announcements. (Neutral)


4. $LIT
A $796M cliff unlock is scheduled for July 11, making it one of the largest unlocks this month. A release of this size could create significant short-term selling pressure. (Short-term Bearish)


5. $PUMP
A $135.5M token unlock is coming on July 12. Large unlocks often create temporary selling pressure, so keep a close eye on the market’s reaction. (Neutral)


6. $CAKE
Watch how the market reacts following the

... see more

BREAKING NEWS:


Ethena’s Coinbase High Yield Vault has surpassed $200 million in deposits within just one month of launch.


This milestone highlights the strong demand for yield-bearing stablecoin products and reinforces the growing adoption of the Ethena ecosystem.


Bullish for $ENA ?


Memecoin Gem: $PEPE 🐸


If you’ve been paying attention, even as $BTC dropped to around $58K, most large-cap altcoins and memecoins have only declined by a few percent.


Take $PEPE as an example.

On the 1W timeframe, $PEPE is approaching a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) while also forming a falling wedge pattern.


If $PEPE reaches its lower support around the same time that $BTC and $ETH establish their bottoms, it could become an ideal area for a strong bounce or even a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.


Patience. The best entries usually come when sentiment is at its worst.


Sold 100%

I sold 100% of my $PEPE position and used $USDT to buy the other dip.

Pepe

Pepe

7 Jul

CLOSEDLONG

Invested Capital

1%

Buying Price

0.000002320$

Selling Price

0.000002690$

ROI

15.95%

Why am I bullish on $RAY right now? 👇


The Community Allocation holds 70% of the total supply, but only 8.6% has been unlocked so far. Around 74% of the total supply is still scheduled to unlock gradually over the coming years. Over the last 30 days, 1.4 million $RAY has been bought back, equivalent to nearly 1% of the circulating supply.


In total, the team has bought back approximately 89 million $RAY, representing 61.7% of all tokens that have entered circulation.


The Founder/Team allocation is almost fully vested (90.9% unlocked), while the Community Allocation is still in its very early stages (8.6% unlocked).


The key takeaway:


There is significant long-term unlock pressure from the Community Allocation. However, so far, a large portion of that pressure has been offset by Raydium’s aggressive buyback program.


In simple terms: Short-term, I’m very bullish on $RAY.

Sold 100%
Take Profit : 0.740632 $
Raydium

Raydium

6 Jul

CLOSEDLONG

Invested Capital

1.8%

Buying Price

0.6306$

Selling Price

0.7406$

ROI

17.45%

Bullish Sentiment for $MORPHO


@Morpho ($MORPHO) has seen its Total Value Locked (TVL) grow by +313% over the past year.


According to @DefiLlama, Morpho’s TVL has now reached $7.0B, more than 3x higher than it was a year ago.


What’s even more impressive:

• $MORPHO is now the 3rd largest DeFi protocol by TVL.

• It’s also closing the gap with @aave ($AAVE), the world’s largest lending protocol.


Steady TVL growth signals that more capital continues to flow into the Morpho ecosystem, making it one of the most promising DeFi projects to watch this cycle.


Altcoin Gem: $MORPHO

BREAKIN: Bullish for $ENA !!


@ethena’s USDe has officially been added to @LidoFinance EarnUSD.


USDe is now part of a curated vault offering USD-based yield strategies, expanding its utility and strengthening its integration across the DeFi ecosystem.


Another strong adoption milestone for Ethena.


SOXX/NDQ breakdown


I still see a lot of cope from people that think this is still going to make new highs. But when we put this chart in the context of the broader risk off environment developing, I think things are about to get quite ugly.


The daily rate of change of the SOXX is well below the 0 line - its literally impossible for it to make new highs if it stays below

What’s happening in the crypto market this July? It’s worth paying close attention. 👀


One reason $SUI didn’t make a significant move on July 1 was its scheduled $9M token unlock (0.34% of the circulating supply).


The unlock was relatively small and had already been priced in by the market. Now that it’s behind us, that short-term supply overhang is gone.

Meanwhile, several crypto projects are aggressively buying back their own tokens.


Examples:

• $MET - 71% buyback vs. +13% supply growth.
• $GMX - 21% buyback vs. +1% supply growth.
• $HYPE - $283M in buybacks, one of the largest programs in the industry.


When buybacks match or exceed circulating supply growth, it generally creates a more bullish long-term fundamental by reducing sell-side pressure.

Key catalysts to watch throughout July:

• July 24 - $WLD unlock rate reduced by 43%.
• July 30 - Federal Reserve interest rate decision.
• Throughout July - Big Tech earnings (Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Google, Amazon, and others), which could influence ov

... see more