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Guys, just a quick reminder: this is speculation, not investment advice.

Then again… crypto is mostly a game of probabilities.

Here’s what I’m watching:

$TAIKO pumped over 17x, but before continuing higher, it dropped around 35% to shake out weak hands.

That price action looks very similar to what happened with $MANTA.

After rallying more than 150%, $MANTA crashed back to its key support. In my view, that move likely flushed out late buyers and trapped longs exactly the kind of reset market makers often look for.

What if $MANTA follows a similar path to $TAIKO? (Pure speculation.)

If that happens, we could see $MANTA revisit the levels it traded at before the crash, around $1.00-$1.23.

Because of that, I’ve opened a small spot position in $MANTA and shared it on @SliceApp. Now I’ll simply wait and see whether this idea plays out.

If you want to follow this trade, keep your position small and manage your risk. This is a speculative setup, not a certainty writing.

If you want, I can also make it

Update on the OBV lesson

A good example of how the bearish OBV divergence played out. Obviously you don't know how long the line is going to be but you could see how it chugged along higher while the OBV started grinding lower. When OBV is a leading indicator (volume based) you start to notice that people were taking profits and volume started coming down as price pushed up higher.

Divergences are usually better for taking profits than shorting because of the timing

The hardest part about shorts is how exact the timing has to be but when you notice a divergence you can start having a sense of where to take some profits. As you can see sometimes the length of them are longer but eventually price likes to catch up with OBV. Now we also get to see what happens when OBV is starting to show a breakdown while price hasn't quite down that yet. It can snap back into the range but it's a good chart to watch for lessons rather than try to actually take.

Ascending Triangle on the S&P 500

Possible bullish thrust upwards toward 8000.

This could ignite bullish crypto sentiment

I am really starting to wonder when the stock market runs out of momentum

S&P 500 Heatmap

• Revealing that semiconductor stocks are slapping the NDX
• The rest of the SPX and broader market look good/green
• I was warning in May, and later, about the SOX; now you can see the results

USDJPY EW Count Update

• Nice triangle within a triangle
• Wave e is a triangle, which you do not see very often; maximal tension between shorts and longs
• This is telling us two things: 1) 5 waves to new high is the final thrust from wave (iv) for the minuette degree, and 2) fairly safe to take a short position after 5 waves to new highs

This is unsustainable and the bubbles with burst and the capital destructive will be immense:

Update: $ONDO naik 20% hari ini !!

Yang profit ? bisa Tp modal atau Tp semua yah.

$ONDO remains one of the leading projects in the RWA sector.

TVL has reached a new ATH above $3.5B, while Ondo Perps has surpassed $1B in cumulative trading volume despite still being in Public Beta.

The key question is: when will protocol growth start being reflected in the token price?

So far, protocol revenue continues to grow, but there is still no buyback mechanism or direct value distribution to token holders.

That said, if $ONDO eventually succeeds in linking business growth with token value accrual, the potential valuation re-rating could be significant.

- Entry: $0.29 - $0.27
- Invalidation: $0.23
- TP: $0.35 - $0.40

RWA is no longer a future narrative. RWA is happening now, and $ONDO remains one of the most compelling long-term bets for DCA.

⚠️ Always manage your risk accordingly.

NQ Update

I could count 5 down now

UBER Cycles

• UBER may offer a trading opportunity for 2027
• Though, it looks still lower before a swing trade opportunity

Altcoin Gems: +30–34% Gain 💎

$PENDLE has reached the short-term target and is up 30–34%.

My target remains around 1.6-2.0, where a potential double top could form.

If the market pulls back or $BTC makes a new low, don’t panic.

That’s when I’ll be looking to DCA into $PENDLE again.

If you’re already holding from lower levels, it may be a good time to start taking partial profits.

Altcoin Gem: $ENA is now up +18% from the bottom. 💎

$ENA has officially confirmed a 1D breakout.

After the breakout, price retested the level and continued moving higher. The current 1D structure is turning bullish, with the potential to form a Higher High (HH) and Higher Low (HL).

The next key target for $ENA is $0.10.

Why am I still bullish?

Whales are still holding their $ENA positions, and I even spotted fresh whale accumulation yesterday.

I’ll share the whale accumulation details in my next post.

Portofolio sub x masih hold.