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ETHBTC with a strong 2h bull div, we're about to go risk on
Tagging POC on Monday would be a massive warning signal to flip risk off
$HYDR HTF Idea
With all the recent buzz and movement in energy plays, hydrogen seems to be gearing up for a larger move still to come. We can see that it has recently shifted market structure and is now above previous quarter high and also previous year high, but it is coming up into some potential resistance.
If we see HYDR cool off a bit and head back towards the channel median and PQH, I will be paying attention for an opportunity to get long exposed.
I've been sharing quite a few altcoin charts and setups but I just want to make it crystal clear that these setups require BTC to play ball and behave.
They don't require BTC to be ripping to the upside 24/7 but they will require a general "up and to the right" motion or at the very least just consolidating sideways within the range.
If BTC begins to roll over, these setups become VERY risky and likely will be invalidated. So just keep that in mind and be willing to pivot if we get poor conditions.
This is the altcoin game.
Bitcoin Monthly Morning Star Pattern: Bullish Reversal Pattern, But Beware
As you know, I don't believe the bottom is in for the bear market. But bullish signals are building.
The Morning Star on the monthly is VERY significant especially with it forming at a former resistance possibly turned support
The problem here is that Bitcoin found resistance at the April 2025 low currently, something that didn't exist in 2022
In 2022, the Morning Star was part of a range deviation and reclaim. IMO, it was very obvious
This bottom is less obvious but that might mean anything
However, what does mean something is that these patterns PERFORM best when they arrive at the bottom of a downtrend, or during a bull market to continue an uptrend. The second chart shows this in the teal boxes
There was also a Morning Star on the monthly right before the COVID collapse
If we are potentially looking at another global economic event, this would make sense
I've long been expecting an X wave as part of a double zig zag
long CIFR retesting the breakout
Sold 100%
Cipher Mining Inc.
23 Apr
LONGInvested Capital
4.5%
Buying Price
17.49$
Selling Price
19.43$
ROI
11.04%
Something worth noting about how the market is trading earnings this week.
Tesla beat last night and the stock is down 4%. IBM beat, down over 9%. ServiceNow beat and raised, down 17%. Three clean beats, three selloffs.
80% of the S&P 500 is beating estimates this season. When everyone beats, a beat isn't really a signal anymore. It's the baseline. Analysts keep moving the bar lower until everyone can walk over it. So the market is pricing the forward story now, not what you just earned.
Tesla is the cleanest example. Margins improved; FSD is scaling to 1.3 million paid customers; Optimus is ramping; and the AI5 chip is coming from a new Gigafactory Texas fab. That's the dream part.
Then Musk said capex is going substantially above $25 billion and free cash flow will be negative for the rest of the year. And buried in the call was the real bombshell. Tesla admitted HW3.0 vehicles do not have the capability for full self-driving. Every customer who bought a Tesla on the promise of that olde
Everyone on CT is trying to convince people that altseason is here while completely ignoring the BTC.D chart.
It has bottomed on the HTF point of control and looks set to breakout. This will be the final collapse before they inject the system with obscene liquidity in order to alleviate the coming disaster. Once they do that, speculation returns and we will likely see a strong altseason into 2027
TSLA Weekly Chart Cycles
- Two dominant cycles on the weekly chart
- Given the cycle constellation, TSLA may show further weakness into the late 2026.
European air travel begins to feel the pain:
Lufthansa has cancelled 20000 short-haul flight through to October across all six hubs which includes, Frankfurt, Rome, Munich, Zurich, Vienna and Brussels, saving 40000 tons of jet fuel.
RTY Cycles
- The two dominant charts on the daily chart indicate an upside bias until the early July.
Careful out there. We highlighted this spot on the VIX last week as the level to keep an eye on. The next level to watch is the 8-day on the FNGD. Above that, and trouble is returning.
Example #5768 of why you NEVER NEVER NEVER short a highly shorted stock. Fare well short sellers of AVIS budget group.
ONDO Update: Possible Wave Count and Final Leg Down
ONDO is struggling with the current level, but looks like there is some cyclical reason for a bounce here. The downtrend could be top strong, not allowing the smaller cycle amplitude provide enough push to the upside.
This looks like the ideal path for a scenario where there is upside. If we roll over early, then I expect a longer, more drawn out bottom but less of a plunge.
If we bounce, we get the plunge at the end. If it continues down, it could go as deep as the 2.618 at 10 cents
A financial and economic crisis is brewing due to the Iran War:
Executives from Barclays, HSBC, Lloyds banking group, Natwest group and Santander uk have been asked to attend meeting with Reeves the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer (equivalent to Bessent in the US) this week.