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Two Names to Keep on Your Radar

If you follow AI or semis, you already know ASML. They’re the quiet monopoly sitting in the middle of the whole thing.

Most of the names people talk about, Nvidia, TSM, Intel, the hyperscalers, they all rely on ASML’s machines. There isn’t a real substitute. If you want cutting-edge chips, you go through them.

Those EUV machines are massive, complicated, and priced close to half a billion dollars each. A big fab can need eight or ten, sometimes more, so the order sizes get stupid fast. That’s why ASML has the leverage it does, especially with the U.S. leaning on them not to ship the top end gear to China.

What I like to watch next is the stuff that trades around ASML.

Photronics (PLAB) is a critical piece of the supply chain. Different business, but the tape tends to rhyme. When ASML runs, PLAB usually follows. When ASML gaps and PLAB lags, that spread often closes.

The other one is VAT Group (VACNY). They make ultra-specialized valves used in this equipment.

And here we go guys!

Natgas

Never been a huge fan of silver - its a relatively illiquid market, making it prone to sharp rallies and sharp falls. But the good thing about its rally this year is that it makes gold look reasonable value again. I would be a bigger fan of silver if I knew central banks were buying it instead of US treasuries - but I do not "know" that is the case.

Short analysis on DSM Fresh Foods - Zappfresh

The company is into Online Meat delivery catering primarily in Delhi NCR, Mumbai, Bangalore at the moment.

Meat market in India is 90% unorganized

Details in the image

PS: No Buy/Sell recommendation

Everything this year is going to be about critical minerals and the nationalisation of supply chains and infrastructure

Hey everyone. Quick intro since we just started here on Slice and I haven't introduced myself yet.

I'm Scott Dunn. I'm an analyst here at Republic Research. I've worked with Garrett for about five years now, and known him a lot longer than that.

My background is mostly tech. I come out of the semiconductor trading world and I own an independent board-level components distribution business, so I've spent years around chips, hardware, and how the tech market actually works. I also help behind the scenes with some of our systems and technical analysis.

I'm excited we're here on Slice. This is basically our inner circle now, where you'll see the ideas I'm usually bugging Garrett about over text messages. I don't really share this stuff anywhere else outside of my personal networks and this is the only platform where I'll put my name directly on ideas like this.

Questions, feel free to reach out. We're going to have fun with this and hopefully pick up some really nice winners along the way.

I wa

Short strangle on Nifty intraday.

SPY with an ugly move down today, looks set to close below key level of 680

If the 2007 fractal rhymes then we can expect a local bottom sometime in the second week of February

The 3-minute chart on a day like today will be vital... providing some clues into algo activity and occasional squeezes that traders must follow. I highly encourage you to keep the 24 minute (red line 8-ema) and 60-minute (orange line 20-ema) adjusted lines open. Watch how they behave on a day like today where markets are looking for direction. Sometimes, we round trip and people start guessing direction. But this could offer some clues on policy and expectations on the next few days while vol picks up and concerns grow about the state of Greenland and Japan.