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AJB Capital
Public Post

Something worth noting about how the market is trading earnings this week.


Tesla beat last night and the stock is down 4%. IBM beat, down over 9%. ServiceNow beat and raised, down 17%. Three clean beats, three selloffs.


80% of the S&P 500 is beating estimates this season. When everyone beats, a beat isn't really a signal anymore. It's the baseline. Analysts keep moving the bar lower until everyone can walk over it. So the market is pricing the forward story now, not what you just earned.


Tesla is the cleanest example. Margins improved; FSD is scaling to 1.3 million paid customers; Optimus is ramping; and the AI5 chip is coming from a new Gigafactory Texas fab. That's the dream part.


Then Musk said capex is going substantially above $25 billion and free cash flow will be negative for the rest of the year. And buried in the call was the real bombshell. Tesla admitted HW3.0 vehicles do not have the capability for full self-driving. Every customer who bought a Tesla on the promise of that olde

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Sonny
Public Post

Everyone on CT is trying to convince people that altseason is here while completely ignoring the BTC.D chart.


It has bottomed on the HTF point of control and looks set to breakout. This will be the final collapse before they inject the system with obscene liquidity in order to alleviate the coming disaster. Once they do that, speculation returns and we will likely see a strong altseason into 2027

Everyone on CT is trying to convince people that altseason is here while completely ignoring the BTC.D chart.
BraVoCycles
Public Post

TSLA Weekly Chart Cycles

  • Two dominant cycles on the weekly chart
  • Given the cycle constellation, TSLA may show further weakness into the late 2026.


TSLA Weekly Chart Cycles
The Sirius Report
Public Post

European air travel begins to feel the pain:


Lufthansa has cancelled 20000 short-haul flight through to October across all six hubs which includes, Frankfurt, Rome, Munich, Zurich, Vienna and Brussels, saving 40000 tons of jet fuel.

BraVoCycles
Public Post

RTY Cycles

  • The two dominant charts on the daily chart indicate an upside bias until the early July.


RTY Cycles
AJB Capital
Public Post

Careful out there. We highlighted this spot on the VIX last week as the level to keep an eye on. The next level to watch is the 8-day on the FNGD. Above that, and trouble is returning.

Careful out there. We highlighted this spot on the VIX last week as the level to keep an eye on. The next level to watch is the 8-day on the FNGD....Careful out there. We highlighted this spot on the VIX last week as the level to keep an eye on. The next level to watch is the 8-day on the FNGD....
russellclark
Public Post

Example #5768 of why you NEVER NEVER NEVER short a highly shorted stock. Fare well short sellers of AVIS budget group.

Example #5768 of why you NEVER NEVER NEVER short a highly shorted stock. Fare well short sellers of AVIS budget group.
TonyTheBullSeverino
Public Post

ONDO Update: Possible Wave Count and Final Leg Down


ONDO is struggling with the current level, but looks like there is some cyclical reason for a bounce here. The downtrend could be top strong, not allowing the smaller cycle amplitude provide enough push to the upside.


This looks like the ideal path for a scenario where there is upside. If we roll over early, then I expect a longer, more drawn out bottom but less of a plunge.


If we bounce, we get the plunge at the end. If it continues down, it could go as deep as the 2.618 at 10 cents

ONDO Update: Possible Wave Count and Final Leg Down
The Sirius Report
Public Post

A financial and economic crisis is brewing due to the Iran War:


Executives from Barclays, HSBC, Lloyds banking group, Natwest group and Santander uk have been asked to attend meeting with Reeves the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer (equivalent to Bessent in the US) this week.

IncomeSharks
Public Post

Sunday Slice Report

  • Wild week for stocks which saw a massive 2 week long rally continue with stock market all time highs for the S&P 500
  • NASDAQ went up 6.5% and the S&P 500 up 4.5% making it now up on the year
  • Geopolitical tensions took a break and the Strait of Hormuz was opened Friday which saw $OIL go lower and the markets push up (now during the weekend it's closed again)
  • Crypto saw some life again, but once again was the punching bag for news as a lot of the gains erased or pushed back
  • Futures opening up red but hard to know what it will be like until the stock market actually opens

Planned Events

Pretty boring week for economic data and planned events. A jobless claims (April 23rd) and some data like pending home sales and US retail sales. Then a Consumer Sentiment comes out. So while the markets probably won't be boring or slow there's nothing really happening in "planned" stuff.


Earnings Week

We are now back into earnings season again so we are going to see some more volatility as the

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BraVoCycles
Public Post

USDJPY Cycle Price Target

·         USDJPY satisfied the 20W upside target that extends to 162.7 and has an outstanding 18M cycle target shown below.

·         On the weekly chart, this 18M target is narrower, 162.3-163.2.


USDJPY Cycle Price Target
bitsofwealth
Public Post

$AGLD Long Idea based on a 3-month HTF reversal setup.

Q1 of this year swept the low of Q4 of last year BUT then closed back within the Q4 range.

Potential trade here is that Q1 low is protected and we see a displacement towards the highs of Q4 range.

Although I am starting a position here - there might be the opportunity to either wait for lower prices to open a position or to add to existing and bring down average cost.

A sweep of previous week lows (PWL) around .223 would have me paying attention.

Sold 100%

Closing out this $AGLD trade here - I'm not liking the way its coming down off this last pump, especially if we suspect BTC could be going down for a bit.

I will revisit this after we get some clarity from BTC.

Adventure Gold

Adventure Gold

19 Apr

CLOSEDLONG

Invested Capital

0.1%

Buying Price

0.2433$

Selling Price

0.2675$

ROI

9.91%

$AGLD Long Idea based on a 3-month HTF reversal setup. Q1 of this year swept the low of Q4 of last year BUT then closed back within the Q4 range. P...$AGLD Long Idea based on a 3-month HTF reversal setup. Q1 of this year swept the low of Q4 of last year BUT then closed back within the Q4 range. P...$AGLD Long Idea based on a 3-month HTF reversal setup. Q1 of this year swept the low of Q4 of last year BUT then closed back within the Q4 range. P...
Rajeev Desai
Public Post
Shafiuddin

7 hours ago

Sir can you explain in detail, if their is no promoters holding is 1 or 2% only. Then who will run that types of company's. I am confused. Please guide us sir ji.


My Reply--

I always explain in DETAIL. I now feel , you don't read any of my POST or REPLIES, otherwise you should have not asked me to explain in DETAIL!!

If you read my all post everyday and replies everyday, you should have not asked me to explain in DETAIL. I feel bad, when I write in such details, explain in detail , discuss in detail, and someone ask me to explain in detail.....You don't have to ask. It is my trade mark, my replies and post have clarity, I think none have with no confusion.

Promoters holding has nothing to do with price movement, because someone else is holding that shares and when stock is moving, how can we argue that?

In US market, almost 100% Cos have Promo stake of 5 to 10%....and US market is the largest market in the world.

Now if you feel, you are not comfortable with low promoter

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PratikBagadia
Public Post

It was nice meeting the Ridham Desai, MD Morgan Stanley India over Dinner last night.


We discussed at length over multiple topics including the current psychology of FII's towards India. During the discussion he shared 5 Mega trends coming where an investor and trader can make huge returns over the next 10 years.


Will share those trends in the coming post


It was nice meeting the Ridham Desai, MD Morgan Stanley India over Dinner last night.