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Republic Research
May 18, 2026Public Post
Let me catch you up on where things stand heading into the week. Last week was rough for the broader market. Hot CPI, hot PPI, bond yields ripping higher, and our momentum readings were showing real deterioration underneath the surface. The mega caps were holding things together but the average stock was getting sold pretty hard. The Russell was cracking. It felt like the air was coming out. This morning is a different story. Our readings flipped from negative in the pre-market to positive at the open. The buying is broad. The number of names in breakdown territory dropped from over half the index on Friday to a handful this morning. The longer-term readings on small caps haven't fully healed. But the daily pressure has reversed hard and if this holds through the afternoon we go into tomorrow with a much better setup than we had going into today. Now, the stuff we've been flagging hasn't gone away. The 30-year is still above 5.1%. The 10-year hit 4.6% last week. Bitcoin dropped from ... see more
Let me catch you up on where things stand heading into the week. Last week was rough for the broader market. Hot CPI, hot PPI, bond yields ripping higher, and our momentum readings were showing real deterioration underneath the surface. The mega caps were holding things together but the average stock was getting sold pretty hard. The Russell was cracking. It felt like the air was coming out. This morning is a different story. Our readings flipped from negative in the pre-market to positive at the open. The buying is broad. The number of names in breakdown territory dropped from over half the index on Friday to a handful this morning. The longer-term readings on small caps haven't fully healed. But the daily pressure has reversed hard and if this holds through the afternoon we go into tomorrow with a much better setup than we had going into today. Now, the stuff we've been flagging hasn't gone away. The 30-year is still above 5.1%. The 10-year hit 4.6% last week. Bitcoin dropped from 82,000 to 77,500. Gold is at a six-week low. The dollar ripped 1.5% higher on the week. When bonds, crypto, and metals all sell at the same time while the dollar runs, that's not people rotating between asset classes. That's leverage coming out. And the Fed has been quietly pulling back its reserve management purchases over the last several weeks. From 40 billion down to 25, now down to 10. That's real support that's no longer there. Think of liquidity like lift under an aircraft. When it's flowing, everything is smooth. You get comfortable. Maybe a little drowsy. Let your positions ride higher. But when it thins out, the air gets choppy. Pockets open up underneath you. Everybody on board tightens up. The pilot turns on the seat belt light. That's kind of where we are. The support that was keeping the ride smooth is being pulled back, and the question is whether the turbulence stays manageable or someone on board is in a seat they shouldn't be in. NVIDIA reports after the close tomorrow. June is stacking up with OPEC, the G7, Warsh's first FOMC meeting, and triple witching all landing in the same window. This morning looks encouraging. But the backdrop is different than it was a month ago.Let me catch you up on where things stand heading into the week. Last week was rough for the broader market. Hot CPI, hot PPI, bond yields ripping higher, and our momentum readings were showing real deterioration underneath the surface. The mega caps were holding things together but the average stock was getting sold pretty hard. The Russell was cracking. It felt like the air was coming out. This morning is a different story. Our readings flipped from negative in the pre-market to positive at the open. The buying is broad. The number of names in breakdown territory dropped from over half the index on Friday to a handful this morning. The longer-term readings on small caps haven't fully healed. But the daily pressure has reversed hard and if this holds through the afternoon we go into tomorrow with a much better setup than we had going into today. Now, the stuff we've been flagging hasn't gone away. The 30-year is still above 5.1%. The 10-year hit 4.6% last week. Bitcoin dropped from 82,000 to 77,500. Gold is at a six-week low. The dollar ripped 1.5% higher on the week. When bonds, crypto, and metals all sell at the same time while the dollar runs, that's not people rotating between asset classes. That's leverage coming out. And the Fed has been quietly pulling back its reserve management purchases over the last several weeks. From 40 billion down to 25, now down to 10. That's real support that's no longer there. Think of liquidity like lift under an aircraft. When it's flowing, everything is smooth. You get comfortable. Maybe a little drowsy. Let your positions ride higher. But when it thins out, the air gets choppy. Pockets open up underneath you. Everybody on board tightens up. The pilot turns on the seat belt light. That's kind of where we are. The support that was keeping the ride smooth is being pulled back, and the question is whether the turbulence stays manageable or someone on board is in a seat they shouldn't be in. NVIDIA reports after the close tomorrow. June is stacking up with OPEC, the G7, Warsh's first FOMC meeting, and triple witching all landing in the same window. This morning looks encouraging. But the backdrop is different than it was a month ago.
CryptoJelleNL
May 17, 2026Public Post
Merck & Co., Inc.

Merck & Co., Inc.

17 May

OPENLONG

Invested Capital

0.9%

Buying Price

86.40$

Current Price

143.9$

ROI

66.59%

Sonny
May 15, 2026Public Post
Long SOL - bouncing on golden pocket
Sold 100%
15 May

busted

Solana

Solana

15 May

CLOSEDLONG

Invested Capital

4.6%

Buying Price

88.30$

Selling Price

89.79$

ROI

1.69%

Long SOL - bouncing on golden pocket
Sonny
May 15, 2026Public Post
long BTC, simple trade.
Sold 100%
15 May

TREND LOST

Bitcoin

Bitcoin

15 May

CLOSEDLONG

Invested Capital

9.3%

Buying Price

70702$

Selling Price

79461$

ROI

12.39%

long BTC, simple trade.
Sonny
May 15, 2026Public Post
SHORT SILVER, clean ABC right into the expansion gate where B waves terminate usually
Bought 100%
15 May

TP hit

SI

Silver Futures

15 May

CLOSEDSHORT

Invested Capital

4.8%

Selling Price

89.83$

Buying Price

78.00$

ROI

13.17%

SHORT SILVER, clean ABC right into the expansion gate where B waves terminate usually
Paul
May 15, 2026Public Post
Putin is not visiting Beijing to meet Xi to discuss what was said between Trump and Xi. That is already well understood. As ever when it comes to all matters, China and Russia are joined at the hip. Particularly when it comes to foreign policy. People appear to have forgotten that Lavrov visited China in mid April. That is the purpose of the visit by Putin. There are huge developments going on between the two nations. People have also forgotten that Araghchi visited both China and Russia recently. There is nothing for Xi and Putin to discuss with respect to both Iran and also Taiwan. In terms of bilateral trade between the US and China, Russia has no need to show any interest in that.
TonySeverinoCMT
May 14, 2026Public Post
Chainlink Retest: Target $13.13 It looks like a low timeframe retest in Chainlink has completed and the weekly candlestick is looking nice at the moment. If this moves further the upside, with a larger white candle body, leaving that wick behind, it will be a rather bullish candlestick setup. Especially coming out of last week's candle being so large I think this ends up touching the upper Bollinger Band at minimum' I am keeping my LINK trade open as a result of this development
Chainlink Retest: Target $13.13 It looks like a low timeframe retest in Chainlink has completed and the weekly candlestick is looking nice at the moment. If this moves further the upside, with a larger white candle body, leaving that wick behind, it will be a rather bullish candlestick setup. Especially coming out of last week's candle being so large I think this ends up touching the upper Bollinger Band at minimum' I am keeping my LINK trade open as a result of this development
bitsofwealth
May 13, 2026Public Post
$INJ Long Idea Another chart with some HTF potential for upside. IMO we prob need a week or two for TP1 to hit but these things are pretty hard to predict and time. I am taking a position here for now and will be adding to it, given the opportunity. Planning on taking 70% off at TP1 and moving stop to nearly break even.
Sold 100%
13 May

Closing out the rest of this long here.

Injective analysis
Injective

Injective

13 May

CLOSEDLONG

Invested Capital

0.1%

Buying Price

3.400$

Selling Price

5.268$

ROI

54.94%

$INJ Long Idea Another chart with some HTF potential for upside. IMO we prob need a week or two for TP1 to hit but these things are pretty hard to predict and time. I am taking a position here for now and will be adding to it, given the opportunity. Planning on taking 70% off at TP1 and moving stop to nearly break even.$INJ Long Idea Another chart with some HTF potential for upside. IMO we prob need a week or two for TP1 to hit but these things are pretty hard to predict and time. I am taking a position here for now and will be adding to it, given the opportunity. Planning on taking 70% off at TP1 and moving stop to nearly break even.
Republic Research
May 13, 2026Public Post
Back-to-back hot inflation prints. CPI at 3.8% yesterday. PPI this morning at 1.4% month over month, nearly triple what the Street was expecting. That's the biggest single-month jump in producer prices since March 2022. Year over year at 6%. Energy up almost 8% on the month. Gasoline up 16%. Every stage of the pipeline just printed multi-year highs. The reaction this morning has been telling. The broad market is selling hard. Over 60% of S&P 500 names are on the wrong side of the daily trend right now. The equal-weight readings on our system, which track what the average stock is doing, just broke their weekly trend for the first time in this run. Small caps are barely clinging on. The broader market is cracking under these numbers. But the mega caps are fine. They sold off briefly this morning and bought right back. The largest names in the S&P and Nasdaq are holding up while everything underneath them deteriorates. The gap between what the biggest stocks are doing and what the ave ... see more
Back-to-back hot inflation prints. CPI at 3.8% yesterday. PPI this morning at 1.4% month over month, nearly triple what the Street was expecting. That's the biggest single-month jump in producer prices since March 2022. Year over year at 6%. Energy up almost 8% on the month. Gasoline up 16%. Every stage of the pipeline just printed multi-year highs. The reaction this morning has been telling. The broad market is selling hard. Over 60% of S&P 500 names are on the wrong side of the daily trend ...Back-to-back hot inflation prints. CPI at 3.8% yesterday. PPI this morning at 1.4% month over month, nearly triple what the Street was expecting. That's the biggest single-month jump in producer prices since March 2022. Year over year at 6%. Energy up almost 8% on the month. Gasoline up 16%. Every stage of the pipeline just printed multi-year highs. The reaction this morning has been telling. The broad market is selling hard. Over 60% of S&P 500 names are on the wrong side of the daily trend ...
bitsofwealth
May 12, 2026Public Post
This is more of a fun observation than anything serious, but it’s still a pretty interesting chart. This is the weekly chart of Bitcoin - illustrating what happened to price in the past, following either a new Fed Chair appointment or re-appointment. Latest Status (as of May 12, 2026): The Senate confirmed Warsh to a 14-year term on the Fed's Board of Governors (51-45 vote). This was the key first step. The Senate is expected to vote on (and likely confirm) his separate four-year term as Chair as soon as tomorrow (May 13). Jerome Powell's term as Chair officially ends May 15, 2026. Warsh is poised to succeed him shortly thereafter (likely sworn in soon after confirmation). Most analysts and reports anticipate Warsh will officially take over on or right around May 15, in time for a smooth transition (he could even lead the next FOMC meeting in mid-June). This aligns with the historical pattern you’ve been tracking on the BTC chart. Keep an eye on news today/tomorrow for the exact swe ... see more
This is more of a fun observation than anything serious, but it’s still a pretty interesting chart. This is the weekly chart of Bitcoin - illustrating what happened to price in the past, following either a new Fed Chair appointment or re-appointment. Latest Status (as of May 12, 2026): The Senate confirmed Warsh to a 14-year term on the Fed's Board of Governors (51-45 vote). This was the key first step. The Senate is expected to vote on (and likely confirm) his separate four-year term as Chair as soon as tomorrow (May 13). Jerome Powell's term as Chair officially ends May 15, 2026. Warsh is poised to succeed him shortly thereafter (likely sworn in soon after confirmation). Most analysts and reports anticipate Warsh will officially take over on or right around May 15, in time for a smooth transition (he could even lead the next FOMC meeting in mid-June). This aligns with the historical pattern you’ve been tracking on the BTC chart. Keep an eye on news today/tomorrow for the exact swearing-in moment. Shoutout to @Bones_Trader777 on X for bringing this to attention.
Sonny
May 12, 2026Public Post
Long CL
Sold 100%
12 May

local top

CL

Crude Oil

12 May

CLOSEDLONG

Invested Capital

4.6%

Buying Price

94.49$

Selling Price

101.5$

ROI

7.45%

Long CL
Paul
May 12, 2026Public Post
Pakistan is set to launch its first-ever Panda Bond issuance, raising up to $250 million in yuan-denominated debt in China's onshore market. This initiative, part of a broader $1 billion programme, aims to diversify funding sources, lower borrowing costs, and strengthen foreign reserves. The bonds will be guaranteed by the Asian Development Bank and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank. After their financial crisis in 2023, Pakistan is utilising this and in part to replace a $3.5bn debt facility from the UAE. This represents a major shift in Pakistan's sovereign debt strategy towards strengthening ties with Chinese capital markets.