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Kind reminder: Next Live Stream Will Be Monday 27th at 10 am CET (4 am EST)

Bitcoin Expanded Flat Idea: Extra Look & Wave Count


I know, I know. I keep saying I am going to move on from this and look at alternative counts. But I saw this count and compared it to COVID and its just so similar.


Take a look at these latest counts and comparisons


If we hit the X target at around $88K and the move to the $34,500 Y target, look at the percentages in the second chart.


They are exact Fib ratios. I didn't plan that. I didn't see that ahead of time. I measured today and noticed that my targets appeared to have perfect Fib ratios


This sort of stuff has been happening a lot lately to me. I'm not claiming to have some superpower, but for whatever reason, something in the chart is actively bringing me to areas of interest visually, that later end up being an area of interest


I can't backtest it or turn it into a tradable strategy because its intuition. But that doesn't mean it can't be valuable


I am purposely going to avoid looking for similar things and let this all play out. If t

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I talked about Aerpace Ind Ltd in morning saying it still looks good at even now at 37.

If you see what I said when I discussed for the first time, then 37 is nothing.

I said, it can be 5x and 10x from here, means from 22.20, means 110 or 220..

Now this is what we are expecting from Aerpace Ind Ltd then what is the problem

buying at 37?

Ofcourse these are probabilities.....but in MicroCap,it is always probabilities ..

We have to take a bet.


S&P 500 and VIX

Seeing that post Triple Witching action continue to play out which at the time doesn't seem likely. Still hard to get a full read on the market which loves changing on a dime but there's still something to note with the OBV that we never made a higher OBV even though price went up so much higher. I haven't seen that before with the markets and the lockout rally and massive retail surge was quite impressive in hindsight. With less liquidity and volume they were able to push the markets up substantially higher with narratives like AI, memory, etc.


VIX starting to flit with going back above 20

After a pretty slow few weeks as far as volatility and VIX we are starting to see a little more action pushing it up. It can chop back and forth for a while but you can kind of feel the enthusiasm of the market getting drained a bit. A big reason is seeing that high beta stocks (RUT) is down now after it had a nice day a few days back which gets everyone excited again.


SPXU hedge up, not

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Momentum has turned negative. The S&P and Nasdaq downtrends are clear, lower highs and lower lows, and the Russell is fading right along with them. Time to start playing defense.


Last night's earnings didn't help. Alphabet beat on revenue with cloud growing 82%, then told everyone capex could reach $205 billion this year, and the stock got sold 4% anyway. Tesla put up record revenue and still missed, with costs up 47% and margins collapsing to 1.4% from 4%. Both reactions say the same thing. The market has stopped rewarding the spending. It wants proof it pays off.


Under the surface, the selling is concentrated in the biggest names while the average stock actually improved overnight. Energy is up almost 5% on the week, and utilities, materials, and real estate are pulling in money. Every group with more stocks breaking out than breaking down right now is defensive or rate-sensitive. That's where capital is hiding.


Oil is driving this. Brent is pushing toward $100 after the Houthis hit two

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BREAKING NEWS:


Whale Alert: @BlackRock Accumulates Another $163M in $BTC 💎


BlackRock has accumulated another 2,469.25 $BTC, worth approximately $163.1 million, through its IBIT Bitcoin ETF wallet.


The entire amount was transferred from @coinbase Prime to the BlackRock IBIT Bitcoin ETF wallet.


The accumulation was executed through multiple transactions:

• 8 transfers of 300 $BTC each
• 1 transfer of 69.25 $BTC


What’s interesting?

BlackRock continues to steadily increase its $BTC holdings through its Bitcoin ETF. As long as major institutions keep accumulating, it signals that demand for $BTC remains exceptionally strong.


Smart money is still buying $BTC. 💎


I was working on a similar article as a follow-up to what I wrote already one year ago on my blog, but my friend Ed Zitron (fyi he is one of the members here among you) already did an incredible job, and there is no point for me to repeat something that is already out there (not my style)

I suggest you read this article (this is also free access) if you are interested in knowing more about the details of what continues to go on in the AI and Datacenters space: https://www.wheresyoured.at/the-subprime-data-center-crisis/#ai-data-centers-are-the-ai-bubble%E2%80%99s-subprime-mortgages

TSLA: 24-Week Cycle

  • This dominant cycle should bottom in the second half of August, in a bout a month


NQ Sub-Micro Update

  • Perfect nano-a = nano-c for minuscule B
  • The last chance for B
  • Below the green trendline, the leading diagonal becomes unlikely