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Can $SOX Defy the Cycle Gravity?


Data Centre solution provider: Unified Data Tech solutions is Silently up 40% in ~3 months

Market cap up from 580cr to 810cr+

What is the message from Dr. Copper?


Cycles did not lie.


Copper rolled over on cycle schedule.

Is Rotation Over?

  • Strong rebound in Semis and Magnificent 7 stocks led the index gains today, not surprising after last week's sharp losses.
  • MAGS cycles were indicating a bounce.
  • However, 8 out of 11 sectors showed negative breadth; 2nd day in a row while headline indices showed nice gains!
  • Didn't someone mention yesterday that rotation into the broader market might be running out of fuel?


New Custom DayTrading Indicator
First goal was to build out a day trading indicator that uses the 30 minute range. Next goal will be to automate via AI agents and be able to connect to Robinhood for completely hands off trading.


Next Step: OBV related Swing trade Indicator

The next thing I'll be playing with is adding on top of the OBV indicator and combining SuperTrend and a 20 day MA to give higher confidence swing trade signals on the 4h and 1 day charts. Higher time frames won't be as important for automating the system but I'd like to also connect it to a bunch of alerts and be able to wait for BUY signals to fire off on the watchlist to get more eyes on charts.

Day Trading 30 Indicator

It's meant to be used on the 5 minute chart. The more consecutive dots, the more confidence in the signal. Dollar signs being printed are when 1x, 1.5x, or 2x the implied volatility range gets hit. It's a signal that can be taken as soon as printed. Invalidation can come when the dots stop showing up.


It

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The AfD continues to make the right noises. But can they realistically get elected in a meaningful way in upcoming elections?


AfD leader Alice Weidel has called for an end to the boycott of Russian oil and gas, framing a restoration of German-Russian ties as essential to saving the country's failing economy.

NQ EW Count

  • Also followed the script
  • All targets satisfied
  • If my count is wrong and it makes a new high, it is largely irrelevant for practical purposes, because the probability of much higher is minimal
  • NDX still needs a bit higher to close the gap

The OILU still has to reclaim 35 before this is worth anything. That level keeps sliding lower each day as it sells off, so chasing a fixed price is pointless right now.


We'd normally look for the oversold entry on the hourly. But the hourly keeps lagging lower every morning. That's exactly what we're trying to avoid. With a geopolitical event this size driving it, we're leaning on the daily. We want a real, blown-off oversold reading there before we act.


This is where anchored VWAP does the work. Drop the anchor on the last big oversold low on the hourly chart. That line becomes your trigger.


While price is below it, you stay out. When price pushes back above it, check the MACD. You want the MACD line crossing up through its signal line, with the histogram bars growing to the upside. That's how you know momentum is building and it's not just a dead-cat bounce.


Price back above the anchored line, plus that MACD cross, is the green light. We're not there yet. So we sit and watch.


The OILU is

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Daily morning star pattern forming on US10Y suggests this is a bottom. Might well get a nasty spike in yields into the July 6th pivot

I just started a Markets Live community chat for my members to discuss markets in real time and incentivise an open discussion. I look forward to engaging with many of you there.

Is the rotation into the broader market over?

AI/chip stocks and most of the Magnificent 7 showed strength today, while health care also saw positive breadth.

The remaining eight sectors had either negative or flat breadth.

Notably, the S&P 500, mid-caps, and small-caps all had negative breadth.



Ethereum 3M Quarterly Three Black Crows Candlestick Pattern


Ethereum is less than 48 hours away from triggering this Three Black Crows pattern


We can expect a meaningful bounce during Q4, but it likely leads to more new lows after that. This is a bearish signal


I see this as an early sign that crypto is an a much more extended bear market