MOVE index breaking out suggests volatility in the bond market is coming, never usually a good thing for risk assets...
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GME is cracking - In nice profit now on my shorts from yesterday
Closed my vix long position fir a very small loss, looks like i might get my original target of 17.1 after all
Cardano ADAUSD Analysis by Request
Cardano’s ADX is above 20 and rising, suggesting a trend is strengthening but slowly.
Last month’s candle was a bullish engulfing and price is holding above the Bollinger Bands expand basis line.
A close above $1 and the upper BB should send ADA into a bullish impulse.
If anyone wants a layup short I would look at TNA here - 3x IWM
This is such an easy short - just place the stop a little above 0.854 level - good R:R imho
watch for the equity put/call ratio to spike up towards 90 as a buy signal in the coming days
If i forget about it someone remind me lol
If anyone missed the short opportunity this morning, wait for this next bounce on LTF and look to build shorts into lower highs across any risk/speculative asset
HYG looks ready for a short term bounce with a 5m bull div - underside bearish retest of 80.20 would be the cue to add to shorts or build them
Built my GME short here as the 3m chart looks to roll over. Potential complete ABC for wave 2 - should get a strong move down over the coming days in confluence with HYG.
Tight stop at 22.90 - if i get stopped out I will just reload the short higher at 22.98
22.82 is a huge level so looks like a potential bearish retest
Bought 100%
5 Aug 2025
GameStop Corp.
5 Aug 2025
SHORTInvested Capital
5%
Selling Price
22.76$
Buying Price
22.93$
ROI
-0.75%
GME
going to leave my day trade on over night and see if we can get the final push up and setup for the short
HYG starting to roll over - this is where we can expect some weakness to start showing across altcoins and speculative assets broadly speaking
MARA chart request
I don't think it has much downside left to be honest probably just retest the lows at 15.16
HYG
Setting up nicely for the bearish retest
If shorting is your thing - this will be the trigger to put the short on speculative assets like GME or Crypto
VOXEL is another one I'm considering but I have less conviction in this one compared to PENGU and CFX so I will go with much smaller size
PENGU
Watchout for a potential fakeout and bull trap tomorrow!
It is still a way off of the golden pocket for this wave 2 retracement. Whilst it doesn't have to go there, it's the most logical place to see a reversal.
If we get this move down to 0.023, I will be loading the truck because I think it has 100X potential over the coming months.
In 1.5hrs this current 4hr candle will have a chance to close a higher high, giving 4hr buy on a higher low .... while Elliott wave says sell the 0.382, the trend would say buy the pullback..... trend is more important than any trading system
Ethereum Bullish August Closing Price Target
If Ether can close August above $3,800, it will trigger the a buy signal with a close above the upper Bollinger Band on the two-month timeframe.
This will be the first buy signal since January 2021.
The buy signal will also fire as the Bollinger Bands expand after the tightest squeeze and lowest BBW (Bollinger Bands Width) reading ever.
My primary count for bitcoin has been really bugging me recently. It just doesn't make sense.
If the move off the June lows was impulsive, it would be wave 3 of 3 in an extended macro 5th wave. In other words it's the most powerful, vertical move of the entire cycle!!!
Instead we've seen this really weak and limp grind up. Even though you can potentially count the subwave impulses, logically it's very weird!
I have a bad feeling that market makers have set us up for the ultimate shake-out... meaning, this move since June was corrective and we haven't even see the real impulse yet, setting up for a crazy running flat to wrong foot everyone.
We've never seen BTC break above ATH so pathetically like this before. Considering I expect a final drop mid-week, I think this EW count makes most sense.
Subwave 3 target based on subwave 1 from April (1.618 ext) is $175k
Let me know if you have any questions or observations.
195m (half day) level 3 bullish exhaustion signal on CLSK
Also daily level 1 bullish exhaustion signal on CRCL
Take note on previous lows that were made and how current one is similar. .... watch for a potential swing failure of the low.
A 1 hour higher high close may give entry to tell you things have shifted.
Initial leg down tagged a 0.382 retrace of the impulse and now price is hovering at the 50%. This is usually where you find the wave 4 lows.
Just need a change in trend that may happen when NY session closes or starts winding down in the next hour or 2.
Also, that would be a prime opportunity to short squeeze next week when CME futures open if a low is made and 119k is traded
This blowoff top in Tradfi has way more steam left in it according to USDJPY
Things are going to get really crazy from here on out as institutions triple down on carry trades
I've doubled down on long positions this morning across crypto and CLSK and CRCL
Key dates to watch will be August 12th and August 22nd - I suspect I will build the hedge in VIX around August 22nd but let's see how it unfolds
QQQ Daily update
The market gets nasty from here. Be prepared. I'm underwater TZA and SQQQ but no way in h*ll I give up those positions.
FARTCOIN suggests that altcoins haven't bottomed yet - we should see a bounce over the coming days before the final capitulation
This token continues to provide very clean chart analysis of the broader trend in altcoins
After Trump declared his Tariff for India of 25% + Penalty = 35%.
Market I thought will tank 2000+ point and maybe not close less then 1200 points down.
But market after initial down, and closed just only 300 points down, is showing that,
market believe 35% tariff is non event for India.
Market is the barometer of economy. So if market is not much perturbed with Trump Tariff,
means, we also need to take the clue and shouldn't try to see things to the extent of becoming Scared!! No Overthinking Please!!
I have some times back written , here or at X or both, that India is a domestic Consumption economy and hence India is not much bothered by USA tariffs.. and if market is ignoring tariff, why we should?
I read that this tariff is for goods and not services. So outsource IT services, Clinical trials, R&D in Pharma for US MNC, etc do not come in tariff bracket. So if we take out services amt, from total of $120 Bn export to USA every year, what will remain? And hence market is not taking any neg
CVX with a really strong bounce off the VAH
It looks like the only altcoins that will run hard from here are the leaders like CRV,CVX and SUI
ETH
What gives me confidence in my TOTAL 3 idea is that ETH is very clearly corrective. A correction next week would be max pain for crypto holders imho...
Market makers love to play games to flush everyone out of their positions, before the real move so this projection makes the most sense to me and it also lines up with the macro (HYG) which gives me even more confidence
