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For those invested in the Bitcoin miners, this is the blueprint for the blowoff top


Key dates and price levels noted here

Reacti9n from a 45 min orderblock ... 1st attempt long. If this fails I will look to 116,800

Sold 100%
29 Jul 2025
Stop Loss : 117370 $
Bitcoin

Bitcoin

29 Jul 2025

CLOSEDLONG

Invested Capital

1.5%

Buying Price

117606$

Selling Price

117370$

ROI

-0.20%

June 24th: We issued a recommendation to buy the opening the following day in the Silver ETF PSLV. Since then, it has rallied as much as 10.55%.


June 22nd: We recommended placing a buy stop in MASTERCARD INC (MA) at $538.35 to position for a potential breakout. Since then, it has rallied as much as 6.4%.


July 6th: We recommended buying PepsiCo (PEP) on a pullback to $133.50. Since then, it has rallied as much as 10.12%.


On July 13th, we recommended buying CLEVELAND CLIFFS (CLF) on a pullback to $8.90. Since then, it has rallied as much as 34.4%.



Still learning to develop the patience necessary for that perfect entry. I've started adding significantly to CLSK here now that it has completed the wave 2

Bitcoin Elliot Wave Count


This is my read on BTC over the next couple weeks


Looking for a local top into full moon on August 9th

PENGU update


It's important to really push our winners so I will look to add to PENGU for the final time next week


I think this is going to have an insane move in August as the market reaches peak euphoria!

Have a great weekend all:

Public post so will drop the youtube live from this morning:


https://www.youtube.com/live/Fx7Oq_wNmII

There is a misconception that one should do what one like.
This is a misplaced line of thinking.
How many can afford to do what they like?
When someone gets successful, on back of doing what he liked , all the hell broke out.
All experts , analyst will come out and say, see , that is what you should do too!!
But how many life went for a toss no one tells, nor will someone try to find out what happened to those who tried to do what they want to and what happened to them. 1000's of life went for a Toss.
We talk only of successful stories. Those successful stories are one in a lac or few lacs or in few Crores!!
So don't go by these experts. They have a habit to make others life becoming average.
No one talk of stories which get aborted and those academicians life become miserable.
We only read success stories.
See, he did what he was interested in and he become a millioner or billioner, in dollar terms.
Ye kar do, vo kar do, jo tumko achha lage vo karo, kuch nahi.....Those who did, was in compulsion

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VIX breaking below RSI support with daily BB volatility squeeze!


What I'm looking for to start building my blended hedge strategy:


- VIX gap fills 13 + 14 and starts bottoming around 12

- VVIX/VIX hits 6.92

- put/call ratio pushes down below 0.5


If all these triggers hit, it almost certainly indicates a top in the market. This will also be our cue to start exiting crypto positions in anticipation for the August correction and the beginning of the yen/peso carry trade unwind


Let me know if you have any questions!


Silver Is Making a Major Breakout


Only three times in the past 60 years has Silver generated a buy signal above the upper Bollinger Bands


Each time, Silver went on a multi-year monster rally


This time, I think Silver moves faster, but not quite as long


The current YEARLY candlestick is a large huge candlestick well above the upper Bollinger Band and above any other candle body in Silver's history


There is almost no resistance above, with Silver about to enter price discovery after Over 40 years of accumulation


I sense that this is going to absolutely shock people with up to a 10x

Notice the drops are maintaining a 15 minute uptrend?

....for now at least

Interesting how the closes can focus you

Silver is continuing its move north. The GSR continues to fall. I still see Gold and Silver as majorly undervalued with silver still a much better buy than gold even though the GSR keeps falling. I will reassess the situation when the GSR breaks below 70. The other factor to keep in mind is what is gold doing. If gold starts moving up in price again, it can bring the GSR back up while silver continues to move up in price.


The GSR is just one indicator to determine which is a better buy at any given moment, but it’s an important one when you have the context in hand as well. Without knowing the gold and silver‘s momentum, you are flying blind.


Right now the GSR is moving down because Silver is increasing in price faster than Gold is. Happy to answer any questions about the GSR.

ETH looks close to topping here with a complete 5 wave impulse - $3900 is a huge level and highly unlikely to smash straight through. Gunna take time to work through the supply here, especially after such a big move.


We should start to see rotation out of large caps now, moving downstream into lower cap altcoins. ETH consolidation here is very healthy and allows altcoins to rally!


ETHBTC has also hit my target - HTF point of control - indicating BTC outperformance is likely now in the short term. I don't think this is bearish for altcoins to be clear. Stable consolidation at these levels this week is exactly what altcoins need as the rotation kicks in.


The next time to load up on altcoins will be around August 9th imho

$SQNS..
After touching to $5.44 , SQNS is back to $2.70 in just a week.
That is the beauty of US stock market.
The shorter never let any stock to go up. They are ready hammer anything that goes up.
And they sell in millions, and in a Gr and hence if there is no support, that stock is done.
Only on Monday last week , SQNS made a high of $5.44 and on Friday it is $2.70!!
The reason it went up, is now not a reason to go up!!
It happens in all stocks which are below $10 or below $20.
Just one negative and that stock is hammered so badly, you lose everything in a week.
Quantum Computing stock went up till Dec, and one negative statement by Jensen Huang, CEO of Nvidia and it became a field day for Bears. They are always on prowl.
Negative news aya nahi, short karna chalu , and that too in huge quantity.
They are no less then our bear cartel, which prevailed before Harshad Mehta who doomed them to Zero!!
Kuch upper gaya nahi , usko short kiya nahi....
and penny stock, they keep hammering like normal thin

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Options Mastery with Hans: A Deep Dive into Real Trading Edge


Hi everyone, I’m Hans—and for the past 30 years, I’ve lived and breathed options trading.


I started on the floor as a professional options market maker, where there were no salaries—just profits or losses. For 15 years, I got paid only if I made money. No profit? No check. That’s how you learn to respect every dollar—and every basis point of edge. Guess what, I made $16.5 million in profits and loved every minute of it.


I later went on to manage over $750 million in options-based income strategies across global ETF portfolios. I’ve traded through every kind of market regime: dot-com chaos, volatility crushes, credit crises, meme stock madness, aggressive rate hikes, and tech-fueled super cycles (we're in one now by the way). I even managed 2 Black Swan downside protect funds - so offense and defense, that's what wins the race over time.


Ivy League Master degree, Oxford AI, led a suite of Big Data and AI funds as portfolio mana

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BTC LTF update


Sub Wave 4 looks complete imho. There is a lot of Fib confluence around $124-127k so it could be a sticky area where we see the next correction and consolidation

PUMP.FUN Elliott Wave Count


PUMP.FUN just launched their native token, and while it probably is garbage like most cash-grab alts, it does have potential to produce profits


For whatever reason, it is giving me a gut feeling like PEPE did when it first launched. PEPE did a 7,000% gain from debut to ATH – I don't think it is too unreasonable to expect around half of that from PUMP unless the company behind it all botches it


Data is limited because it just launched, but low timeframe EW analysis appears to suggest we are already hitting an impulsive wave 3


We may see some near-term corrective behavior still if the minuette degree wave (ii) isn't completed. But I still think we are heading into a wave (iii) of 3 of (3) which should be some of the most impulsive behavior we'll see


IMO, for me it was worth punting some cash into that I am already considering as "lost". This is how I cope with riskier bets.

Rithish also pulled out Youtube Video of Green Sharks Podcast with Promoter , Nirmal Bhogilal , of BatliBoi Ltd.....

Here is the link, watch in full....

In the end , when asked about the sales and Np, he just says, profitability will go up drastically after Merger...

Now my looking...Authum Ins and Infra , stake at 118, in Pref to dilute stake before merger, as per SEBI Guidelines, the promo stake went down from 74% to 62%, check it, and will be back after merger of BEEL to 72-73%.

But Authum Inv and Infra stake is a trigger for me. They don't invest for nothing.




VIX signals and hedging strategy checklist



Stage 1: Compression (Bluff Active)

  • VIX: Grinding lower, near recent lows.
  • VVIX/VIX: Rising toward 6.9 but not yet breaking out.
  • VIX 9D/3M Ratio: Creeping higher from a low base, but not accelerating yet.
  • RSP/IWM: Rolling over; breadth weakening, but not collapsing.

🪶 Action: Observe. Do not hedge yet. Bluff is still unfolding. Watch for VVIX acceleration + 9D/3M flattening.


⚡️ Stage 2: Flush Completion (Trigger Window)

  • VIX: Attempts a marginal new low or makes a shallow wick—fails to break down cleanly.
  • VVIX/VIX: Hits or overshoots 6.9, starts showing sharp upward slope.
  • VIX 9D/3M Ratio: Accelerates upward rapidly, front-end vol being bid hard.
  • Breadth: Sudden deterioration; Mag7 begins to look heavy or unstable intraday.

🧠 Action: Begin scaling into the blended hedge strategy. This is your inflection zone. Be early, not late.


🔥 Stage 3: Vol Ignition (Feedback Loop Engaged)

  • VIX: Spikes decisively, confirming regime change.
  • VVIX/VIX: Pulls back slightly afte
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IWM 15 min update
Entering Friday, July 18 expiry $222 PUTS here at $1.85 per contract.

VVIX/VIX retesting the daily breakout on RSI, meaning volatility is coming to the VIX soon. I expect that volatility to be to the downside to completely flush sentiment and force bears to capitulate.


This will be a key trigger for a market top and for me to begin my hedging strategy once it moves towards 6.92