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Bitcoin Gann Fan

This is one that’s more for fun and fascination. It fits the price action so well

If accurate, we are losing the 1/1 line

NASDAQ 100 (NDX) - 16-Week Cycle

16-week = 80 trading days cycle is among most prominent among various stocks and stock market indexes.

For NDX, its estimated peak was a week ago (similar for SOX). The next trough is estimated in early August.

Remember, it is not just one cycle that drives the price; a superposition of multiple cycles also matters.

Incredible, a new all-time high on HYPE today.

Funny to see it pull the exact H&S bait move we discussed - but I honestly expected it to take a bit longer.

Good news though, it's clear at this point that HYPE is going up on WAY more than just the IPO craze. Very glad to have a spot bag, not touching it anytime soon.

If you want to "speculate" in quantum... hard to go past these companies that got funding via the CHIPS Act... as we have seen with Palantir - government connections help

A week ago this market was falling apart. Now, with the Iran strikes called off and oil coming down, it's about as strong as we've seen it in a while.

For most of the year, this rally was just a handful of big tech names carrying everything. Now the whole market's moving together. Small caps and the average stock were already leading the way back, and over the last day the big tech names have come along too, so there's really nothing left sitting out. Look under the hood and you've got breakouts just about everywhere and almost nothing breaking down.

Tech is back out front, and right behind it are materials and the cyclical names. Metals especially are having a great run, and a lot of that is the dollar coming down as the market starts to bet the Fed can ease now that the inflation pressure is fading. The only thing lower is energy, and that's exactly what you want to see, just oil coming back down as the war winds down.

The one thing I'd keep in the back of my mind is that the Fed and th

Everything is going to plan.

Bitcoin just formed a weekly RSI higher low, after tagging the oversold area not too long ago.

This is one of my DCA triggers - which means I just executed my first BTC net buying transaction in years.

Starting slow, and will accelerate the buying as we come closer to October, or if prices drop lower, as discussed in recent articles.

No idea if the bottom is in, and I don't care. Systematic approach, above all.

SPX Cycles Continued

·         The next two charts show another view of how cycles interact and affect price moves.

·         The first chart shows the three dominant long cycles: 15W, 24W, and 37W cycles.

·         You could see that when they are aligned, stronger directional SPX moves occur, like in the recent powerful April-May rally; otherwise, the price action becomes less directional.

·         The bottom ribbon describes the strength of the cycle influence.

·         Although the trend due to these three dominant cycles is generally down into October, it may not be a straight line.

·         The relatively strong 77td cycle bottoms in July and peaks near the end of August, and may provide some sort of summer rally that I mentioned a couple of times.

·         The second chart shows the three dominant short cycles: 10td, 17td, and 30td cycles.

·         Notice how in early June they were all aligned in the downside direction, along with the 77td cycle discussed above, which resulted in

State of Financial Markets – It’s Cycle O’clock Time

• What is the cycle message from SPX, VIX, DX, and TNX?
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S&P 500 (SPX) - It is Cycles O'clock Time

Elliott Wave + Fibonacci Template for Very Active Traders

• The chart represents a trading framework for very active traders
• Fibonacci relations are most typical, where wave 3 is 1.618 times longer than wave 1
• Two other typical Fibonacci ratios between waves 3 and 1, are 1.382 and 2.0

Note: I am not advocating this approach. This is for very nimble, aggressive traders. Most traders could do very well, and maybe better, on balance, by buying 1-2 setups to catch waves 3-4-5