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Long SOL - bouncing on golden pocket

long BTC, simple trade.

SHORT SILVER, clean ABC right into the expansion gate where B waves terminate usually

Chainlink Retest: Target $13.13

It looks like a low timeframe retest in Chainlink has completed and the weekly candlestick is looking nice at the moment.

If this moves further the upside, with a larger white candle body, leaving that wick behind, it will be a rather bullish candlestick setup. Especially coming out of last week's candle being so large

I think this ends up touching the upper Bollinger Band at minimum'

I am keeping my LINK trade open as a result of this development

NASDAQ new lows have been rising over the last 3 weeks

S&P 500 vs McClellan Indicators - Red Flag

SPX is riding above on top of the upper Keltner channel.

At the same time, the swing trend indicator, McClellan Summation Index, is positioned for a change of trend.

McClellan Oscillator says there is something not right with this SPX move. Where is the breadth?

30-Year Treasury Yield exceeded 5% - Highest in nearly 20 years.

Are they going higher?

My analysis indicates they should peak in the resistance region and head lower toward 2029-2030.

$INJ Long Idea

Another chart with some HTF potential for upside. IMO we prob need a week or two for TP1 to hit but these things are pretty hard to predict and time.

I am taking a position here for now and will be adding to it, given the opportunity.

Planning on taking 70% off at TP1 and moving stop to nearly break even.

Back-to-back hot inflation prints. CPI at 3.8% yesterday. PPI this morning at 1.4% month over month, nearly triple what the Street was expecting. That's the biggest single-month jump in producer prices since March 2022. Year over year at 6%. Energy up almost 8% on the month. Gasoline up 16%. Every stage of the pipeline just printed multi-year highs.

The reaction this morning has been telling. The broad market is selling hard. Over 60% of S&P 500 names are on the wrong side of the daily trend right now. The equal-weight readings on our system, which track what the average stock is doing, just broke their weekly trend for the first time in this run. Small caps are barely clinging on. The broader market is cracking under these numbers.

But the mega caps are fine. They sold off briefly this morning and bought right back. The largest names in the S&P and Nasdaq are holding up while everything underneath them deteriorates. The gap between what the biggest stocks are doing and what the average

The SVF where most of the value of Softbank lies these days has a concentrated profile. In SVF2 - Paypay is the biggest position, mainly due to its recent successful IPO. Much of the rest of the portfolio is loss making. The big uplift is from still private companies. Coupang, the biggest public holding in SVF1 has been crushed in last month or so... Or in essence, most of the value of Softbank is now in non-public companies.

AAPL Cycles

• Both long and short cycles curled down, indicating that AAPL is topping
• All upside targets are satisfied, using my FLD method.
• However, technical indicators are still strong after the recent powerful move up.

This is more of a fun observation than anything serious, but it’s still a pretty interesting chart. This is the weekly chart of Bitcoin - illustrating what happened to price in the past, following either a new Fed Chair appointment or re-appointment.

Latest Status (as of May 12, 2026):

• The Senate confirmed Warsh to a 14-year term on the Fed's Board of Governors (51-45 vote). This was the key first step.
  
• The Senate is expected to vote on (and likely confirm) his separate four-year term as Chair as soon as tomorrow (May 13).
  
• Jerome Powell's term as Chair officially ends May 15, 2026. Warsh is poised to succeed him shortly thereafter (likely sworn in soon after confirmation).
  

Most analysts and reports anticipate Warsh will officially take over on or right around May 15, in time for a smooth transition (he could even lead the next FOMC meeting in mid-June).

This aligns with the historical pattern you’ve been tracking on the BTC chart. Keep an eye on news today/tomorrow for the exact swearing-in

Long CL

$ONDO Long Idea Update

As you can see, we did get another move toward the lows, just as anticipated. We did not see a deep sweep but it gave enough to entertain a trade.