Put/Call Ratio
Total CBOE Put/Call Ratio bounced after reaching about 4.5-year low
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S&P 500 vs McClellan Indicators
- McClellan Summation Index, the swing trend indicator, and McClellan Oscillator curled down again, forming notable negative divergences wrt SPX
- This is not good for SPX
SPX - 10D Cycle Target
- The next target is about 7,500
- 20D FLD is in that range, so it may try to find support there
- Convincingly below 7500 will likely generate a 20D target in about 7370+/- area
- That will likely confirm the top, although the ultimate confirmation would be below 7333.68
NQ - Elliott Wave Count
- Could my best effort count be correct?
- So far, it looks good.
SOX: Looking at the 1-minute chart, it still needs one more minor high. 😂
The smartest money on Wall Street is trapped.
Prime brokerage leverage just hit 322.7%, a five-year high, with long-short books in the 99th percentile, all crowded into the same tech names and dead short energy.
And with all that firepower, they still lost to the index in May, gaining 3.35% against the market's 4.55%. That is a chase, not a lead, and it is the setup for a violent rotation.
Here is the urgent part...
Protection is cheap and Friday's jobs report drops into a market with no insurance.
The line on S&P is 7,500, that tells you the selling has started.
$ORCL - Looks to have put in a bottom, formed support, breakout and re-test, and then pushing through higher here. Strong earnings and revenue forecasts which are helping with the recovery.
Sold 100%
Oracle Corporation
3 Jun
LONGInvested Capital
5%
Buying Price
191.8$
Selling Price
230.8$
ROI
20.36%
ETH 20W Cycle Target
- ETH is still heading toward it 20W target.
Bitcoin - 20W Cycle Target
- BTC satisfied the 80D target.
- It also generated and satisfied the 20W target shown below, which extends to a new low.
$IOVA made after going to 5.63, is now at 4.10....which is again more the double.
Those who are holding should sell 50% , take the money out and keep rest for more return!!
2. Oil Is a Coiled Spring
Wall Street agrees almost unanimously that oil inventories sit at record lows while the Strait of Hormuz stays shut, and that governments will rush to refill their reserves the moment it reopens.
The real tell hides in the futures curve, because near-term Brent has jumped toward $98 while the longer-dated contracts still sit near $85.
That means traders assume this whole crisis blows over quickly.
If it does not resolve, the squeeze runs hard and fast in the other direction.
We’re looking at Cheniere Energy (LNG)... as a major play in the growing demand for U.S. gas.
Plus, I’ll walk you through what’s happening with the MicroSectors Oil & Gas Exploration & Production 3X Leveraged ETNs (OILU), which acts as our key signal for energy movement.
Poverty in Germany has reached its highest level since comparable records began in 2020
13.34 million people, 16.1% of the population, were living in poverty in 2025, up from 15.5% the previous year.
The number of people in poverty is described as “crisis-like.”
Single parents, people living alone, young adults aged 18 to 25 and those over 65 were identified as the groups most affected.
WEEKLY LIQUIDITY UPDATE
Overview
Global Liquidity rose to US$193.3 trillion last week, according to the latest data.
- The 3‑month annualised growth rate held at 8.7%
- 12‑month growth increased to 7.9%
While headline liquidity is rising, the expansion remains narrowly driven by US Fed and Treasury policy, with underlying liquidity conditions still fragile. In particular, the Shadow Monetary Base (SMB) is held in check by weakening PBoC liquidity and ongoing Bank of Japan, ECB and Bank of England QT, highlighting a divergence between surface‑level strength and core liquidity dynamics. US dollar strength is a further headwind.
Global Liquidity (US$ Trillions)
- Latest level: US$193.29T
(↑ from US$193.16T last week; ↑ from US$192.43T two weeks ago) - 12‑month growth: 7.9%
(↑ from 7.5% last week; ↑ from 7.0% two weeks ago) - 3‑month annualised growth: 8.7%
(unchanged from 8.7% last week; ↑ from 7.8% two weeks ago)
Interpretation
Headline liquidity remains on an upward trajectory, with levels and annual growth co
CL inverted h+s 30m cloud flipping red. The bottom is in. Big breakout here and risk assets collapse
Monday Open - Weekly Market Update - June 2
A day late this week, had an all-day event at the golf course with OKX - celebrating the retirement of Pep Guardiola. Not what I expected to be doing when I first got into crypto, but I'll take it! :) It'll be a lighter…
