The latest public Slice posts, articles and creator updates.
Do you know what Trade Ownership is?
Yes, you can save a lot of time and money by following great market analysts, avoid the hype!
But as a trader, you must take personal responsibility for every position you enter, no excuses, no second-guessing, and no blaming external factors (news, market makers, analysts, etc.).
Why? Because every trader and investor has a different risk profile, and no analyst can accommodate all these diverse risk tolerances.
10-Year Treasury Yields Index (TNX)
Long-term yields are again heading higher.
The three dominant cycles from the daily TNX chart indicate higher toward mid-July or so.
Wishing Eid-al-fitr to members here...
Friday Bi Weekly Active Position Update
Thoughts on all current positions. Depending on the week we have tomorrow might look to derisk and clean up some position next week. I still like $USAR $HOOD and a few others long term. Crypto plays up and might take profits on one of them if we get a little bounce. They both are pretty bottomed and if Bitcoin can make a push towards $80k and we get some stock market resolution next week they could run to the TPs pretty quick.
Will be nice when we can get back to conditions where spot and chill is a thing and targets can be much higher. Again never a bad position to sit in cash and wait for easier conditions even if missing some upside or being late.
As stated before I'm still going to continue to find trades and share opportunities. Doesn't mean you have to take them all but I didn't want to just join and say to sit on cash for 6 months. We are still able to snag some plays like $CRCL even in these conditions and $FET and $XRP were a day away from
Bad to worse... A squeeze Monday would make sense now...
Whether it was Netanyahu at the press conference or AI, Netanyahu stated that there was a need to have ground forces to join the war.
This is insane and if the US agrees then they have no control over an aspect of the prosecution of the war.
Sometimes, the CME Bitcoin chart ends up giving us a better signal. I am going to get back into the habit of checking there more often again. I look at weekly and monthly closes and opens for gaps, but the daily hasn't been significantly different in almost two years.
Today, I am noticing that there's a strong difference in these charts. Note immediately that the LMACD is much lower on the CME chart. There's also a lack of a close above the upper Bollinger Band on the CME chart. This is the real kicker. I think that the BTCUSD chart we got a couple false signals, whereas the CME chart shows us the buy signals didn't happen yet.
Holding above the basis line the way price has, is a strong, positive development. Price is also above the 50 day MA, the LMACD is diverging up, and price is just about back into the cloud.
We'll know more by about 1030AM tomorrow how the day might go. Markets open at 930AM ET, and by 1030!M we've seen the bigges
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1h BB expansion on Crude has begun, also has 6h BB squeeze behind it. Insane move incoming
In a similar vein - Gold v S&P 500 have come back to levels where it looks interesting as well.
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Sticky Price CPI Inflation Expectation
The dominant 64-month cycle of the Sticky Price CPI suggests higher inflation heading into 2028, followed by a decline toward 2030.
Interestingly, my cycle analysis of the S&P 500 points to a market low of sorts in 2020.
Note: The Sticky Price Consumer Price Index (CPI) is calculated from a subset of goods and services included in the CPI that change price relatively infrequently. Because these goods and services change price relatively infrequently, they are thought to incorporate expectations about future inflation to a greater degree than prices that change on a more frequent basis. One possible explanation for sticky prices could be the costs firms incur when changing price.
Update: McClellan Summation Index ($NYSI)
Did you pay attention back on March 5th? Since then, $NYSI, the swing trend indicator, has collapsed, pulling the stock market down with it.
The Fed didn't surprise today!.
- No rate cuts this meeting, again.
- Now only ONE cut planned for 2026, and another for 2027.
- Inflation forecast for 2026 bumped up to 2.7%.
- Middle East risks? The Fed calls them "uncertain."
- 11-1 vote. Governor Miran stands alone in dissent.
Will the FED do more than one rate cut in 2026?
miners setting up to rip
65m bull div
