Public feed

Momentum is red across all three major indices. This is a day for building cash, making watchlists, and waiting for the panic to create buying opportunities. SPY 692.50 is your line in the sand.

1. Trump to Announce Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair Pick The biggest story moving markets. Warsh is viewed as more hawkish than alternatives, having broken with Bernanke over QE and long criticized balance sheet expansion. His odds jumped to 94% from 34% pre-report. The tension between his hawkish reputation and Trump's desire for lower rates will be worth watching.

2. Risk-Off Across Asset Classes Everything is selling. ES futures down 0.8%, NQ down 0.9%, RTY down 1.2%. Bitcoin crashed to $81,200. Gold lost the $5,000 handle briefly. This synchronized selling suggests liquidity stress rather than sentiment-driven moves.

3. Dollar Strength Pressuring Commodities DXY bid on Warsh speculation, creating a wrecking ball effect across metals. Gold dropped from its ATH down to $4,941 before bouncing. Silver w

Dixon - Will look to book around 4-4.5k which should happen on some vol crush from here. This will further help reduce exposure ahead of budget and go light in budget.

Going through a bunch of REITs again but focusing on skilled nursing, retirement homes, and other ones that will benefit long term from an aging population. What's been called the "silver tsunami" is a trend that is starting to emerge as the baby boomers retire and get older going into retirement homes, special housing, etc.

A lot of the charts have been trending up really aggressively the past few years and I imagine this continues for a while.

On top of this narrative is a bigger narrative, one that probably is 10 to 20 years away but it's the biggest wealth transfer. If you look at all the billionaires the average age is over 60. There is so much of our wealth concentrated in a massive iceberg of money that's frozen because they don't need to take risks. Money markets, gold, silver, and real-estate.

This is what keeps me an optimist for the next 10 to 20 years. People might feel like they can't afford homes, or that the boomers had it so easy but through inheritance, retirement, gifts

If your aim is to make serious money in 2026, you are in the right space. Commodities will be the thing!

Gold approaching $5,600/oz - Spot gold nearly hit $5,600, with silver also posting a new all-time high at $120.43/oz. The move came post-FOMC on dollar weakness.

Copper breaks out to $14,120/t - 3M LME copper smashed through its prior ATH on AI infrastructure demand and pre-Lunar New Year positioning.

Trump considering Iran strike - CNN sources say Trump is weighing a large-scale military strike on Iran over stalled nuclear talks. Brent crude hit four-month highs above $69/bbl on the news.

Meta posts record sales, guides higher - Q4 EPS $8.88 vs $8.19 expected. Q1 revenue guide of $53.5-56.5B crushed the $51.3B estimate. Stock up 7.5% pre-market

Microsoft drops on cloud concerns - Despite beating on EPS ($5.16 vs $3.92), Azure growth disappointed and AI spending spooked investors. Down 6.4% pre-market.

SAP drags European tech - Cloud backlog metrics disappointed badly. Stock down 14%, pulling the DAX down 1.2%.

Fed holds, removes employment risk language - Rates unchanged at 3.50-3.75%. Mira

Just 1 trading session left before Budget 2026

If anything positive on taxation front then market can reverse (at least temporary)

Shoot your questions if any

Pondy Oxide Ltd has come out with excellent results.

Sales up from 502 Cr to 776 Cr.

Np up from 15 Cr to 37.60 Cr.

Eps up from 5.39 to 12.31

I gave a call of Pondy Oxide Ltd at X at only 250.

That was before Bonus of 1:1 and Split from FV 10 to FV5.

So adjusted price after 1:1 Bonus and FV5 split is, 250/2 = 125 for Bonus

and 125/2 = 62.50 on FV5 split. Because when I discussed, the FV was 10 and now FV is 5, so 100 shares become 200 and Bonus 1:1 , so 200 shares became 400....

So 250/4 = 62.50

Price is at Rs 1267, after ATH of 1578....means 25x in 4-5 yrs.....

I bought at 250, sold at 265 seeing the margins are not going up, sales is also not up much...

And it is 25X...

My point here is, after all reasoning, we think, ye nahi chalega, and it became a multibagger!! And that too 25X...

I have many 25X like that, but ask someone, who made 25X in his life?

Double nahi hota with many...

That is why, I don't discuss what you should SELL/BUY/HOLD. Which stock will move and how much, we never know....

That

China’s household disposable income is not stagnating, it grew 5% in 2025.

China’s household consumption is not stagnating, it grew 4.4% in 2025.

Exports are not driving growth. Trade surplus accounts for ~20% of 2025 growth. Domestic consumption and investment drove ~80% of the growth.

Enough said. West is clueless.