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Unemployment rate still on the rise it seems. Going from 4.3% to 4.4%.


Now we have $OIL taking off which if it sustains prices up here will probably drive up inflation higher. This once again puts the fed in another sticky spot where if inflation is back up they don't want to cut rates but if unemployment keeps getting worse they'll need to.


This kind of makes me continue to want to hedge and not be too aggressive but also don't want to be overly bearish because of how overcrowded that trade is becoming. Still sticking with more value/defensive plays seems to be the move while having some exposure to some growth stocks/energy stocks/crypto plays just in case we do get a lot more upside sooner than people are thinking.

OVX has now spiked to over 103 😱

I have sold my WTI futures down to the bear minimum

US Dollar Index (DXY) - Bullish & Bearish EW counts


As I mentioned earlier, it is prudent to be aware of the bearish red count below. Both counts should targets the same range, about $101.

I'm also going to take a speculative GME position next week during the crisis alongside the XME names within the portfolio.


I've got a sneaky suspicion that the coming crisis will reignite the kind of euphoric rebellion against the system that fueled the last 'sneeze' on GME in 2021.


It will be a small position because it is a speculative play. But it could really pay off potentially if I'm right. Having said it's "speculative" is actually kind of silly from a fundamental perspective. I done a fair bit of research on GME 6 months back and their fundamentals are phenomenal. So I think it could be a great long term play anyway.

Setting up a stream to go... we'll look to add some content starting Monday. As you know, things are a little in flux right now, but we're going to focus on INVESTING and equity moves.


I was on Josh Brown today... that's what ate up my morning. I'll send over the video this evening. Thanks all.

Howdy! I'm known as bitsofwealth or "bits" for short and I'm excited to be joining this great community here on Slice. Its actually a bit intimidating joining the legends that are already building and sharing here - but I know that it will only help me grow and improve myself in the process.

I am primarily a crypto focused analyst and trader, but I do also dabble in the US stock market.

I come from a process engineering background and began to study the financial markets around 2014, when I discovered FOREX and options trading. I purchased my first BTC in early summer of 2017 and became absolutely hooked on crypto and trading.

I am very passionate about personal development and continued learning. I live by the "learn, do, teach" framework, as it helped me excel in my professional career and now as an analyst and trader ("kid analyst" and "pajama trader", of course).

I love to live stream market review sessions and take live chart requests or questions. Looking forward to doing quite a bit

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USDMXN ABC is suggesting that dollar weakness is coming, which would be good news on the war front most likely. Not going to do anything with this trade. Happy with the entry

Palladium is clearly the weakest out of the PMs. probably should have shorted this one over Silver in hingsight.


The move up in December looks corrective. So i think its likely that around 1400 gets retested


Also has 3D level 2 bearish exhaustion signal


stop loss at 1980

Bought 100%

just realised this never had a stop loss, got stopped out ages ago

PA

Palladium

5 Mar

CLOSEDSHORT

Invested Capital

2.1%

Selling Price

1896$

Buying Price

1651$

ROI

12.90%

Also short term VIX fear is outpacing long term fear. Massive warning signal

El Nino effect could re-rate in the water sector once again


Some of the Water, Environment & Sustainability Theme

1. Water Treatment & Purification
Jal Jeevan Mission and industrial effluent treatment mandates boost water tech demand.
- Key stocks to benefit: VA Tech Wabag, Ion Exchange, Thermax, IVRCL

2. Municipal Water Infrastructure

Smart city and piped water projects create large-scale municipal water investment.
- Key stocks to benefit: Kirloskar Brothers, KSB India, Pumpenbau (Flowserve), Xylem India

3. Effluent & Sewage Treatment
Environmental compliance norms and NAMAMI Gange drive sewage treatment capacity.
- Key stocks to benefit: VA Tech Wabag, Enviro Control Associates, Praj Industries, Suez India

4. Air Pollution Control
Industrial pollution norms and urban air quality mandates drive control system demand.
- Key stocks to benefit: Thermax, Forbes Marshall, CECO Environmental India, GEA India

5. Waste Management & Recycling
Extended Producer Responsibility and circular economy push waste

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This looks like the top on SBET. 45m level 2 bearish exhaustion into resistance. I'm now fully allocated to the short. Average entry around 8.11