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Copper is ripping. Traders are front-running Trump's pending decision on tariffs for refined copper imports. Everybody wants their metal inside the country before a tariff hits. So copper is pouring into the US at the fastest pace in at least 12 years. More than 200,000 tons landed at US ports in July. That's the biggest monthly haul on record going back to 2014. Prices are up near $14,000 a ton, a two-month high.

The way we'd play this isn't a miner. It's Mueller Industries (MLI). Mueller makes copper tube, fittings, and line sets for HVAC, refrigeration, and construction. That puts it levered directly to copper demand.

What separates it from a miner is the balance sheet. Mueller is debt-free and cash-rich. Its sales grew about 19% last quarter. And it just agreed to buy another copper-tube maker. So you get the copper exposure without the baggage the mining names carry.

It also tracks the metal about as tightly as anything out there. Look at Mueller against copper futures and Southern C

Altcoin Gems: target 20-30% 💎

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Update: $XPL saya menambah 2% $XPL di portofolio slice, di sini (entry 1: $XPL).

Tar bisa cek di komentar yah.

ES generated a target to exactly June high, will check other cycle targets later

The AI bubble is looking like it is top heavy:

BREAKING: $VIRTUAL Semakin Kokoh sebagai AI Agent Layer Terbesar di Base & Robinhood Chain.

Ekosistem Virtuals Protocol: @virtuals_io terus mencatat pertumbuhan yang sangat agresif.

Dan ini beberapa pencapaian terbarunya:

18.000+ AI Agents telah diluncurkan di Base. $479 Juta Agentic GDP tercipta di ekosistem @base

$200 Juta volume transaksi AI Agents di Robinhood Chain. 5.600+ AI Agents telah dibuat di: @RobinhoodApp. $2,7 Juta berhasil dihimpun untuk para builder.

$VIRTUAL juga meluncurkan Hyperboost, sistem insentif baru yang memberikan reward harian bagi trader dan kreator yang mempromosikan token selama 14 hari setelah lulus. "graduation"

Di sisi ekosistem, puluhan proyek AI terus bermunculan dengan inovasi baru, mulai dari:

• Copy trading AI.

• AI wallet lintas chain.

• AI trading automation.

• Infrastruktur RWA.

• DeFi Agents.

• Video AI & Behavioral Analytics.

@virtuals_io tidak lagi sekadar proyek AI, tetapi sedang membangun fondasi ekonomi AI on-chain yang sesungguhnya.

Jika tren bullish

One friend send me this --

As he knows I write about Luck....

I write , Luck is a must to create wealth...

Do waqt ki roti khani hai.....we don't need Luck, that even the majoor will get at the end of the day.

I also say, there is no relationship between Hard work and Luck. We use to say, jo mahenat karta hai, usko naseb maddad karta hai....Those who work hard, luck helps them too....

If that is the equation, then all Laborer need to have atleast a concrete house, atleast 2 bedroom to live in and have meals too for whole family.

But that is not what we see. Instead we see , a woman and her husband both are working and their child is in a Zoli of mother , and there is a tent beside where they work, dirty clothes, even after finishing working, khadda khodte hai....

And meal? Bajre ki roti aur Onion and salt....Common guys.....be grateful that you have spare money to invest in stock market...

Their only crime was, they took birth at poor parents....and that was also not their decision...

Don't t

TRADE IDEA - UPDATE

• USDJPY at 155.4 at the moment
• To those who followed the JPY trade idea I shared on the 23rd of June, I suggest taking profit now

Retail Tech Selling

Retail tech fund outflows were shockingly huge from Monday to Wednesday this week, nothing like this has been recorded in the past seven years.

Is it margin calls, or is retail turning bearish?

Yen, USD, and Yen Carry Trade

Has the era of the Yen carry trade come to an end following recent interventions by the US and Japan?

For decades, investors have capitalized on low Japanese interest rates by borrowing Yen and investing in higher-yielding assets abroad. This strategy, known as the Yen carry trade, has been a cornerstone of global financial flows.

With significant central bank interventions, the dynamics may be shifting.

The image below clearly illustrates how the Yen carry trade operates.

Do you believe these interventions signal a permanent shift, or is the carry trade simply taking a temporary pause?

Market breadth was weak on Friday.

8 out of 11 sectors had negative breadth.

While SPY was up 0.72%, its equal-weight counterpart, RSP, was down 0.17%.

SPX was mainly up due to strength in select Magnificent 7 stocks and industrials, but that may not last much longer.

Russell 2000 vs S&P 500

IWM to SPY Ratio – Cycle Analysis

Cycles suggest that RUT is likely to underperform SPX until Oct '26.

If you're overweight small-cap stocks, it's not too late to trim your positions.

Rotation, Rotation, ..., How much Longer

SPX Cap-Weighted vs Equal-Weight – Cycle Analysis

The cycles of the SPY / RSP ratio have done a great job forecasting the relative performance of SPY versus RSP, which led me to suggest 2+ months ago a rotation from momentum big-cap stocks into the broader market.

Over the past couple of months, SPY has underperformed due to weakness in semis/AI, while the broader market remained relatively strong.

According to cycle analysis, RSP (and the broader market) is now expected to underperform until around Oct '26.