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TLT - Nearly there

Dmart Adjustment - Here, better update in opstra to avoid confusion.

Today's Gold, silver & Forex trade ideas with stop loss & targets

First clean impulse on CRCL, these are the levels to watch before a larger wave 2 correction early next week imho

Trent - At the lower end of the range and taking support with decent vols (nothing great). Initiated a slight bullish vol short trade here.

QQQ Daily update
"Double" negative RSI divergence as less and less stocks participate in this terminal move. Since we *did not* get that healthy pullback this summer, this has been turned into a monster bubble of a much much much higher degree. I do think April 2025 lows can be challenged. I never would have said that earlier this summer if we had simply made a normal and to be expected pullback. Nothing is normal about this market right now.

I will hedge short on WULF if it breaks below 12.25

Needs to see follow through higher today for continuation

Nifty Long Ratio Trade - Closed it for about 14.4k for two sets per 20L as suggested.

We are in a zone where any fast upside move may not result in positive PnL. There are a few adjustments which one can consider if willing to hold. One possible adjustment is -

1. Exit the 24800 call which is about 70 delta now

2. Buy the 25100 call which is 50 delta

3. Buy 25700 call hedge to convert it to a risk defined 1:2:1 call butterfly.

There is net credit of about 155-160 in this adjustment which makes the trade from 130 debit to a net credit.

I have inclination towards closing the trade here and will watch the price action until expiry tomorrow before initiating new trade in nifty on the long side. Also, I have Bharti/Hero on the long side as well.

Bitcoin Bulls Must Follow Through Next Week

Bitcoin made a strong recovery back towards all time highs. Things are looking good currently. But next week bulls must follow through.

I did want to warn of a few things to consider:

It’s October 4. That’s only 4 days into the monthly candle and quarterly candle. It would be somewhat unusual to see such a tiny amount of lower wick and we take off higher at the start of the candle.

On the weekly, we didn’t get a buy signal on the Bollinger Bands. There’s also a lack of breakout volume. The Bollinger Bands are starting to expand, signaling that volatility is back. This could lead to a head fake situation where we dump back to the lower band. Note: I am referencing the BTC CME chart. We could still get a buy signal on spot exchanges.

If we do get volume next week and break out higher, it should be one of the steepest climbs and a move towards a grand finale for Bitcoin.

Video recording of QnA session done on 04th Oct 2025

15m level 2 bullish exhaustion

Market is on the brink of an insane parabolic move. So I think I have to bid this here, given the potential R:R

Now the shenanigans step up a level...

you're going to see this pattern a lot from here on out - aggressive running flats - aiming to wreck the breakout buyers

You always know its a running flat when it prints this kind of hidden bull div on RSI, that's how to confirm them just FYI

XVG/PENGU 3D

Given how bullish i am on PENGU, just imagine what XVG is going to do if it outperforms...

XVG wave 1 done 45% in 24hours... these impulse waves only get bigger from here!

This is my initial read on the BTC EW count

might get a sharp pullback here, suck in shorts, then smoke'em tomorrow

PENGU/ETH 3D BB squeeze and the RSI is compressing into a triangle

This breakout will be biblical

SilverM - Taking a trade here with neutral to mild bullish bias but without downside risk. The trade structure is 145k/153k 2:5 call ratio which comes at a credit of 10k+. With a required margin of 4-4.5L, it gives a 2%+ yield on margin in a month with little positive deltas to start with and no downside risk. Just a word of caution - one should not take too much exposure in commodities with small account size.

VOXEL trade setup

Looking for retest of lows at 0.041 to go long

closed 10% of the short, will let the rest run into the golden pocket

Inverted head and shoulders for a potential bottom on SLNH

I added the final buy this morning

Initiated a call ratio in Nifty 50 Oct expiry allocating about 15% capital (basis margin) on the trade. We are at the lower end of the range and can expect support here.

Debit is roughly 130 points on the trade which remains the downside risk. On the upside - gap up is the only risk which may happen due to some tariff news.

ETH daily level 2 bullish exhaustion signal