Republic Research7 days agoPublic PostGold and silver are breaking down, and the miners are where you can see it clearly. GDXU, the leveraged miner fund, has broken under its key moving averages. That's the tell. When the leveraged vehicle goes first, it isn't the metal being repriced. It's the leverage coming out. Gold has seen a large speculative buildup over the past few weeks. Negative momentum flushes that out, and it's flushing now. The paper is unwinding, and it can move a lot further and faster than anyone expects, because leveraged positions don't get sold gradually. None of that breaks the thesis. Central banks are still buying. The debt is still $40 trillion. Every road out of this still runs through more money getting created. The case for owning gold over the next few years hasn't changed at all this week. What changed is that gold is trading as a momentum position right now instead of a monetary one, and momentum is going the wrong way. The levels worth writing down are $4,000 on gold and $60 on silver. Th ... see more
Rajeev Desai7 days agoPublic PostI talked about Vilas Transcore Ltd below at 352. It is still there ... But I just visited AI Concall summary and am delighted to know they have expanded capacity by 3x and also started new products. --Go through the AI Summary at Screener...read it...Want to buy or not....read it... Apart from that what catch my eye was in point 2. and part C, they say , C) HV Bushings – new entity (noteworthy strategic move) Announced incorporation of a new entity to manufacture HV bushings 12 kV to 400 kV . Vilas Transcore will hold 25% initially; rationale: It is “ strategically… a R&D project ” and management did not want early-stage R&D losses to “ impact on the balance sheet for the 1 or 2-year .” Separate entity also enables potential JV/technology transfer : “ we are discussing with two or three companies for the joint venture or technology transfer .” Near-term plan/capex: OIP bushing up to 145 kV targeted first. Capex ~INR10 crores in FY27 for R&D/test labs; using a “ readymade building ” ... see more
Dr Brana Vojciclast weekPublic PostStock Market Breadth is Deteriorating NYSE Advance-Decline Line (Common Stocks) has been declining since mid-August and broke convincingly below the 50D MA today. The next target is the 200D MA, which provides support for bigger corrections.
Dario Capodicilast weekPublic PostThings keep developing as I expected heading into Labor Day long weekend
WWes Pikelast weekPublic PostXRP Weekly update Time to add some crypto! This might not be the higher low bottom in XRP minute ii against the summer low, but I think it's very close and the time to add.XRP31 AugOPENLONGInvested Capital7%Buying Price1.370$Current Price1.390$ROI1.46%
TonySeverinoCMTlast weekPublic PostReduce Hedge Short By 50% The way this daily LMACD looks tends to suggest we get one more move up at minimum I think today closes here or lower due to the monthly , but then the rest of the week we get the last move of this rally. The top of this short could be the biggest short trade of my career. Will continue to monitor. I just closed 50% of my hedge short for most meager profits. The profit will cover any loss I incur if the rest of the position gets stopped out it will allow me to lose no money and take the short higher if we get there. Leaving it, yet having the cost covered lets me not care about if it gets stopped or not/ These are some of the way I manage my positions to reduce my own stress levels or avoid losses
SSonnylast weekPublic PostSPY + QQQ — Key Dealer Gamma Levels The options structure is worth watching closely here because SPY and QQQ are currently sitting in slightly different regimes. These levels are model-derived estimates of dealer positioning rather than exchange-published positions. SPY 770 — Call Wall This is the major near-term upside gamma concentration. It can act as a magnet or resistance/pinning zone. Importantly, it is sitting almost directly alongside the gamma-neutral area, making 770–772 particularly important. 771–772 — Gamma Flip / Neutral Zone This is the approximate point where dealer positioning changes regime. Above this area → dealers move into positive gamma , where hedging generally suppresses volatility and dampens market moves. Below this area → dealers remain negative gamma , where hedging can amplify moves in either direction. SPY is currently below this level and therefore remains in a negative-gamma regime . 765 — First Put Wall This is the first major downside options conce ... see more
Paullast weekPublic PostGlobal South — alternative financial systems BRICS cross-border payments — the move toward interoperable payment arrangements and bilateral local-currency settlement rather than routing every transaction through dollar infrastructure. China's CIPS expansion — CIPS is becoming an increasingly important RMB-based alternative for cross-border payments, particularly across China's trade relationships with sanctioned and emerging economies. PAPSS in Africa — the Pan-African Payment and Settlement System is creating an African payments layer allowing intra-African trade to settle in local currencies rather than defaulting to dollars. India's UPI becoming an international payments network — India's domestic instant-payment infrastructure is increasingly being connected with foreign payment systems, creating a potential Global South payments bridge. India's local-currency settlement architecture — New Delhi is building mechanisms allowing more bilateral trade to be invoiced and settled dire ... see more
Dr Brana Vojciclast weekPublic PostMagnificent 7 (equal-weight) bottom has a date. Watch to find out. https://youtube.com/shorts/9iKsqwXhelw
Dr Brana Vojciclast weekPublic PostRUT Cycle Targets · RUT has a 24td downside target of about 2950 +/-. · If it gets there next week, it will generate a 59td cycle downside target and possibly also one for the 79td cycle.
Dr Brana Vojciclast weekPublic PostSPX Technical Analysis 101 1. The August peak was accompanied by notable divergences in the McClellan Summation Index ($NYSI) and RSI. 2. SPX reversed from outside the Keltner Channel and bounced off the middle Keltner line and June's high technical support. 3. The bounce was likely completed on Friday, with RSI curling down from the 60 range, which is typical for bounces. 4. SPX should retest the support mentioned in point 2 above. 5. If it breaks support, the next targets are the lower Keltner line and the 50-day moving average. 6. $NYSI, the swing trend indicator, is pointing downward.
Paul Bullaslast weekPublic PostCongrats to all Weekend Chart Club subscribers who played Visa with me. Entry: $337 Target #1: $385 - HIT! ~20 active setups. Everything defined in advance. - Entries - Targets - Stops
Domba ETHlast weekPublic PostUPDATE: altcoin gems target 20-80% 💎 ------------ ------------ ------------ $TWT Nahh baru juga 2 hari yang lalu di share Saya jelaskan secara sederhana ya guys !! Trading itu ? sebenernya sangat sederhana sekali jika kalian bisa baca on-chain ? bisa baca pergerakan whales dan bisa baca atensi market ? maka trading kalian akan profit. Simple saja, $TWT sudah breakout !! Ada atensi dari @cz_binance pompom @TrustWallet + ada whales akumulasi juga !! ada di postingan sebelumnya. Karena $TWT sudah breakout ? saya menambahkan jadi 1.000 token $TWT saat ini. Bisa beli kalo ada rites sedikit atau saat ini nambah lagi dikit aja (DCA). Semoga $TWT segera hits target Tp kita. Note: $TWT masuk portofolio sub x (@TrustWallet)
TonySeverinoCMT2 weeks agoPublic PostBitcoin Monthly Tenkan-sen Analysis I've isolated the Tenkan-sen in the Ichimoku to show off how critical of a decision point we are at However, as you can also see, it is too early for this We will find out next month if we are in a bull market or still a bear market IMO
SSonny2 weeks agoPublic PostI am going to long silver into the close if it gets towards the 0.618 retracement
Paul2 weeks agoPublic PostGovernment bonds are becoming the new systemic collateral problem. For decades, government bonds were treated as risk-free assets. Increasingly they are now see as risk-free credit, but not necessarily risk-free collateral. If yields jump violently, the value of collateral falls. Leveraged investors then receive margin calls and have to sell. Then collateral values fall further which is creating the basis for a new fiscal-financial stability crisis
Domba ETH2 weeks agoPublic PostUPDATE: WHALE ACCUMULATES !! Satu wallet dengan total portofolio sekitar $1.50M (27 Miliar IDR) : terlihat mengakumulasi 100K $UNI senilai sekitar $463K. Pembelian dilakukan bertahap dalam beberapa transaksi dengan ukuran 10K-20K $UNI, melalui Rizzolver dari: @wintermute_t Saat ini wallet tersebut masih menyimpan sekitar 1.042M $USDT dan sementara 100K $UNI menjadi aset terbesar berikutnya dengan nilai sekitar $463K. Posisi portofolio wallet ini: • Portfolio: $1.50M • $UNI: 100K ($463K) • $USDT: 1.042M ($1.04M) • Harga AVG $UNI: $4.63 Menarik untuk melihat apakah wallet ini akan terus menambah posisi $UNI kedepannya. Holder $UNI wajib pantau yah !! cek walletnya disini: 👇🏻 https://arkm.com/explorer/address/0x3d4a5d448Cc875955A2775FC6e0DFAe5c33D1103
TonySeverinoCMT2 weeks agoPublic PostAnother Perspective On This Bitcoin Bearish Retest (If It Is One) Because I keep sensing we are looking at some sort of macro correction coming that brings down Bitcoin and the best example of that is COVID, I went back to some of my old COVD charts to see how I approached things back then. Here I have included some comparisons of the bearish retest. I have also shown of a weekly RSI downtrend line interesting lace for this downtrend line to be. It very well could be broken I have to admit, the current price action cluster is looking rather bullish and impulsive. Again, hard to tell at this very moment. the second chart is just using that same bear test of trend line to justify part of my COVID analysis the last chart is the same as the first one, just a daily look to show you that its kind of mixed. an impulse def happened. but it isn't clear if we are going to get a few in a row, or outright fail the daily RSI chart looks like we will sort of have more of a rolling top, meaning we ... see more
Domba ETH2 weeks agoPublic PostUPDATE: altcoin gems buat longtem 💎 ------------- ------------- ------------- $ONDO Saya update $ONDO ya guys 👌🏻 sebenernya $ONDO adalah "Top Altcoin" yang pernah saya share awal-awal ada Sub. Jika kalian masuk $ONDO di awal ? kalian bahkan dapat beli sata area akumulasi bottomnya. Tapi gpp, karena sudah mau jalan bear ke bull matket. Coba kalian lihat grafik $ONDO di TF (1W). Sudah tidak ada jalan lagi selain naik !! jadi besok? saya berencana mau menambahkan $ONDO di portofolio sub yah. Note: $ONDO tidak ada unlock token sampai januari 2027, jadi tidak usah hawatir tentang token unlock. Besok pagi aku masukan ke portofolio sub, sekalian aku buatkan $ONDO versi chart TG kecil beserta area entrynya.
SSonny2 weeks agoPublic PostHACK with an extremely bullish setup. CRWD earnings last night were phenomenal and they are showing that AI is creating a feedback loop between exposing more cyber security problems which is giving them more revenue ironically with more problems to solve. Everyone though it would be the opposite. Technically there is a big hidden bulllish divergence with price making higher lows while RSI makes lower lows. It bounce on the impulse gate in blue which is also bullish, failing to even retrace towards the golden pocket as we would normally expect. With that in mind it looks like wave 3 has now started and considering this is a macro wave 5 it could be really powerful. I will be looking at going long PANW tomorrow on a pullback. They have earnings on September 1st and if they are anything like CRWD they should be great. I ma looking for a retracement towards 366 at 0.618 retracement of this wave 1. I will be looking to close my short there also.
SSonny2 weeks agoPublic PostBUYING FNGD Same analysis as SQQQ below - additional colour is the potential for the yen carry trade to unwind into the OPEX window. We already saw a major signal last week that this is now beginning in earnest. And the idea that authorities can prevent this is frankly laughable. So the fact they are openly recognising it is a massive tell imho. People also mistook the monster move up last week as bullish when it was merely a function of negative options gamma regime. Those reflexive buyers are now exhausted and have left the underlying positioning bery unstable, a break below the PUT wall of QQQ at 700 and the volatility will be to the downisde for risk.Sold 100%27 Augrisk on potentially tomorrowMicroSectors FANG+ Index -3X Inverse Leveraged ETN27 AugCLOSEDLONGInvested Capital9%Buying Price27.05$Selling Price26.73$ROI-1.15%
