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$FRPT - Earnings is on Monday and it's just not worth the risk to getting downside, even if they do well and we get a pump. The markets especially after the news today could be very interesting over the weekend so I'm not going to complain locking in almost 30% profits on a great runner during much more difficult conditions.

UVXY on the verge of collapsing

Big morning. A lot just happened at once, so let me catch everyone up.

GDP and PCE dropped simultaneously. These reports were delayed from the government shutdown, so we got them all at once today. GDP came in at 1.4% annualized for Q4. That's a big miss... consensus was around 2.5-3%. The shutdown clearly dragged on the number. Personal consumption slowed to 2.4% from 3.5% the quarter before.

The headline looks ugly, but the underlying demand picture is still intact. Final sales to private domestic purchasers rose 2.4%. The economy didn't fall off a cliff. The shutdown just made it look that way.

The problem is inflation. Core PCE, the Fed's preferred gauge, came in at 0.4% month over month. Biggest monthly jump in nearly a year. Year over year it's now at 3%. Goods up 0.4%, services up 0.3%. Broad-based. Not what the Fed wanted to see.

So you've got weaker growth and hotter inflation in the same print. That's the stagflation mix nobody wants. Art Hogan at B. Riley called it a "messy mess

Initiated Muthoot Long - SL close below today's low.

Part of my strategy is Japanese bank consolidation. Constructive news today. I won Toho Bank which has a stake in a bank based in a neighbouring city...

I think this is likely what we are looking at for USDJPY which would fit my, Anantomy of a Market Crisis perfectly.

Wave 3 next week marks the end of cognitive dissonance. Then wave 4 will be where everyone mispositions by buying risk, expecting the worst to be over. Then we have the wave 5 climax in May that enforces reality and everyone gets liquidated

DXY is acting like they will rule against tariffs

Daily looking really strong and I think this is going to be the catalyst for the big move up in risk. This doesn't change anything tbh - regardless of the decision tomorrow, I will use it as an opportunity to position myself in SBET and Silver shorts / USDMXN + VIX longs because I highly doubt that will be the end of it and everyone lives happily ever after lol

looks like a really aggresive LTF running flat on silver with the hidden bullish divergence as it retests expansion gate anchored from the first imulse. This suggests a strong wave 3 is coming soon

This is a C wave of B so I expect it to have impulsive structure

XRP has a nice range with swing failure ...backtest today and liquidity above the range

DXY - Starting to look like this structure was corrective ABC - doesnt change anything

Quick heads-up: we’re breaking our usual Sunday schedule to flag a timely PayPal setup that may trigger today:

Paypal Holdings (PYPL) – Potential Double Bottom long – BUY ON stop-in at $42.35

- ENTRY PRICE: - BUY ON pullback to $42.35

- 1^ST TARGET PRICE: $44.08 – 2^nd Target –$44.95 – 3^rd target $45.82 – Extended Target – $52.33

- STOP LOSS: close below - $39.92 or an intraday trade below $39.43
Important note: If you enter the trade at or near the buy price and PayPal does not finish the day (close) above that level, exit the position the same day for a small loss. If you can’t be around for the close, and PayPal ends the session below our entry price, you can exit the next morning. If it does close above the buy price, the trade is active, and you stay with it.

Waaree - Still decent vols considering 4 trading sessions in current expiry. Gap fill at 2850 and expect it to take support there so in the range of 2850-2900.

Initiated OTM put calendar - 2900 strike.