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BraVoCycles
Public Post

Benner Cycles: When to Buy & Sell Stocks – 1875 Prediction - Will Benner Cycle be Accurate Again in 2026?

2026 is in the set of “Years of Good Times. High Prices and the time to sell Stocks and values of all kinds.”

Samuel Benner, a bankrupt industrialist-turned-farmer in Ohio, articulated his cycle theory in a book titled “Business Prophecies of the Future Ups and Downs in Prices” in 1975.

The 'B' phase (Good Times) corresponds to high prices and the period for unloading (see the original chart below). “Years of Good Times” are separated in an 8-9-10-year repetitive pattern.

Panic years follow a 16-18-20-year repetitive pattern.

Apparently, the diagram was initially compiled by Tritch (1872), but it was not attributed to him.

How Did Benner’s Cycles Work in the Last 50 Years?
Benner’s Peaks (time to sell):
1972 1980 1989 1999 2007 2016 2026
Actual:
1972 1980 1990 2000 2007 2015 ???
Benner’s Panic Years:
1981 1999 2019 2035
Actual:
1981 2000 2020 ???

Rigid application is not perfect, but allowing ±1

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Benner Cycles: When to Buy & Sell Stocks – 1875 Prediction - Will Benner Cycle be Accurate Again in 2026? 2026 is in the set of “Years of Good Time...
BraVoCycles
Public Post

NDX Long-Term Elliott Wave Count on Log Scale

Here's the same count I posted earlier, but zoomed in on a log scale to show the ending diagonal more clearly. I've also included an alternate count (blue) that allows for another higher high.


NDX Long-Term Elliott Wave Count on Log Scale Here's the same count I posted earlier, but zoomed in on a log scale to show the ending diagonal more...
BraVoCycles
Public Post

S&P 500 Cycles Update

Fear is running high. My cycle analysis suggests a reversal is coming soon.

A "dead cat" bounce could last a couple of months, followed by another move down into October 2026.


S&P 500 Cycles Update Fear is running high. My cycle analysis suggests a reversal is coming soon. A "dead cat" bounce could last a couple of months...
BraVoCycles
Public Post

Fear is thick.


Long-only funds dumped a record -$9.6B in US stocks Thursday morning, a rare 5-sigma event.


Every sector saw selling, led by Tech, Consumer Discretionary, and Industrials.


Sentiment is extremely bearish.

Fear is thick.
BraVoCycles
Public Post

Fear & Greed


Fear is intensifying.

The Fear & Greed Index is showing Extreme Fear, and the put/call ratio is elevated.

I'd like to see an even bigger spike in fear next week before a bounce. Will we get it?

Fear & Greed
BraVoCycles
Public Post

Do you know what Trade Ownership is?

Yes, you can save a lot of time and money by following great market analysts, avoid the hype!

But as a trader, you must take personal responsibility for every position you enter, no excuses, no second-guessing, and no blaming external factors (news, market makers, analysts, etc.).

Why? Because every trader and investor has a different risk profile, and no analyst can accommodate all these diverse risk tolerances.



BraVoCycles
Public Post

10-Year Treasury Yields Index (TNX)


Long-term yields are again heading higher.


The three dominant cycles from the daily TNX chart indicate higher toward mid-July or so.

10-Year Treasury Yields Index (TNX)
IncomeSharks
Public Post

Friday Bi Weekly Active Position Update
Thoughts on all current positions. Depending on the week we have tomorrow might look to derisk and clean up some position next week. I still like $USAR $HOOD and a few others long term. Crypto plays up and might take profits on one of them if we get a little bounce. They both are pretty bottomed and if Bitcoin can make a push towards $80k and we get some stock market resolution next week they could run to the TPs pretty quick.


Will be nice when we can get back to conditions where spot and chill is a thing and targets can be much higher. Again never a bad position to sit in cash and wait for easier conditions even if missing some upside or being late.

As stated before I'm still going to continue to find trades and share opportunities. Doesn't mean you have to take them all but I didn't want to just join and say to sit on cash for 6 months. We are still able to snag some plays like $CRCL even in these conditions and $FET and $XRP were a day away from

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The Sirius Report
Public Post

Whether it was Netanyahu at the press conference or AI, Netanyahu stated that there was a need to have ground forces to join the war.


This is insane and if the US agrees then they have no control over an aspect of the prosecution of the war.

TonyTheBullSeverino
Public Post

Bitcoin BTCUSD / BTC CME Futures Comparison Analysis


Sometimes, the CME Bitcoin chart ends up giving us a better signal. I am going to get back into the habit of checking there more often again. I look at weekly and monthly closes and opens for gaps, but the daily hasn't been significantly different in almost two years.


Today, I am noticing that there's a strong difference in these charts. Note immediately that the LMACD is much lower on the CME chart. There's also a lack of a close above the upper Bollinger Band on the CME chart. This is the real kicker. I think that the BTCUSD chart we got a couple false signals, whereas the CME chart shows us the buy signals didn't happen yet.


Holding above the basis line the way price has, is a strong, positive development. Price is also above the 50 day MA, the LMACD is diverging up, and price is just about back into the cloud.


We'll know more by about 1030AM tomorrow how the day might go. Markets open at 930AM ET, and by 1030!M we've seen the bigges

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Bitcoin BTCUSD / BTC CME Futures Comparison Analysis
Sonny
Public Post

1h BB expansion on Crude has begun, also has 6h BB squeeze behind it. Insane move incoming

1h BB expansion on Crude has begun, also has 6h BB squeeze behind it. Insane move incoming1h BB expansion on Crude has begun, also has 6h BB squeeze behind it. Insane move incoming