Post
Post

The latest FX Weekly Signals point to a more selective backdrop. DM remains modestly positive (+0.05) , while EM has slipped back to roughly flat (-0.01) . In G10, GBP (+0.50) and EUR (+0.40) continue to lead. GBP is being supported mainly by fair value and carry , while EUR is driven by fair value and regime , with carry still a drag. SEK (+0.38) also stands out as a broad-based positive. On the other side, AUD (-0.47) is now the weakest developed-market signal, with trend and fair value the main headwinds, while JPY (-0.27) remains soft and CAD is essentially neutral. In EM, INR (+0.64) remains the clearest positive signal, with strength across almost all components, and ZAR (+0.35) is also constructive. CNY (-0.46) and BRL (-0.39) remain the weakest signals, while KRW (-0.26) has also turned more negative as poor carry and liquidity outweigh better regime and valuation inputs.

Published Apr 30, 2026Updated Apr 30, 20262 min read
The latest FX Weekly Signals point to a more selective backdrop. DM remains modestly positive (+0.05) , while EM has slipped back to roughly flat (-0.01) . In G10, GBP (+0.50) and EUR (+0.40) continue to lead. GBP is being supported mainly by fair value and carry , while EUR is driven by fair value and regime , with carry still a drag. SEK (+0.38) also stands out as a broad-based positive. On the other side, AUD (-0.47) is now the weakest developed-market signal, with trend and fair value the main headwinds, while JPY (-0.27) remains soft and CAD is essentially neutral. In EM, INR (+0.64) remains the clearest positive signal, with strength across almost all components, and ZAR (+0.35) is also constructive. CNY (-0.46) and BRL (-0.39) remain the weakest signals, while KRW (-0.26) has also turned more negative as poor carry and liquidity outweigh better regime and valuation inputs.
Article image 1