Garrett Baldwin and Scott Dunn explore alternative investment strategies, value and momentum strategies, tail-risk analysis, and behavioral finance. We take a highly quantitative approach to trading and investing and blend it with macroeconomic analysis and deep research. We also highly emphasis risk management practices. Long call/put, spread trading, value reversion, RSI/MFI reversions.
Joined on 16th December 2025
Baltimore, Maryland
This isn’t optimism. It’s mechanics.
Bonuses get deployed, underweight managers chase benchmarks, and dealers lean into suppressed volatility. The historical edge exists because positioning resets, not because fundamentals magically improve. Watch liquidity conditions.
Seasonality works until rates, funding, or credit surprise late. When it fails, it fails violently.
The Bank of China will print some more too...
This is a tailwind, not a thesis.
The latest update on U.S. investors having more exposure to equity markets compared to real estate could be problematic. If foreign capital starts to withdraw from the U.S. due to higher yield elsewhere, it could set off valuation compression.
Watch the FNGD for clues.
