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Have been told by a reliable source that some sort of preliminary agreement is to be announced between the US and Iran. However they did also say there were concerns that this could still derail. The US is divided on this matter and the IRGC are reluctant also. We shall see soon enough. I would give this a 50% chance of success.

Published May 21, 2026Updated May 21, 20262 min read
Have been told by a reliable source that some sort of preliminary agreement is to be announced between the US and Iran. However they did also say there were concerns that this could still derail. The US is divided on this matter and the IRGC are reluctant also. We shall see soon enough. I would give this a 50% chance of success.