Sonny
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Full time trader and investor specializing in Elliot Wave Theory, market psychology and macro cycles.
MARKET REVIEW
I got the EURUSD EW count slightly wrong which was why i made a few mistakes late last week with positioning. Good news is that now I'm very confident in my read on this which is super important considering it is driving the entire market. This wave 5 ended up having an extended 5th wave which was why the market was so risk off late last week. Usually extended 5th get a strong retracement afterwards which is exactly what I'm expecting tomorrow with a nice risk on rally and potential short squeeze.
Likely get a pull back into FOMC so I will be looking to hedge my longs a little late tomorrow in preparation for that as I would like to hold the positions into the top on Friday. Once EURUSD reaches around 1.16695 that will be the time to execute the strategy for the coming disaster because the final wave 5 down for EURUSD will cause the EM carry trades to unwind aggressively.
All of this should line up perfectly with Crude as they're both moving in lockstep. So i will be looki