IncomeSharks
Nov 18, 2025Private Post
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IncomeSharks
Crypto and stock trader focused on fundamental analysis, trend analysis, and swing trading.
922Posts
1.7kComments
101%Best ROI
Joined on 13th October 2025
$SPY - This is the major trendline we want to see holding. We still have time to close it above or make it look a little better but this is where it starts to get more concerning for stocks. We have $NVDA earnings on Wednesday and if that isn't a big win or green day that could just be another catalyst that gets people to derisk and sell.
I think this is a good time to start finding some levels that you would want to buy stock at and wait to see if those hit. I won't be adding anymore unless we see a momentum swing back into the channel or if we can get a $NVDA rally that raises the markets again.
Weekly Crypto Recap and Friday Thoughts
Bullish case:
$BTC has seen over $5.3 billion in net inflows
Post halving 4 year cycle still is in play for Q1 of 2026
Money supply is up, still a good hedge against the dollar
$BTC holding above the 200 day EMA
Fear and Greed near all time lows
Bear case:
Fear of historical drawdowns of 70% (although many argue ETFs and liquidity make that less likely)
Decrease chance of December fed rate cuts, down to 53%
Fear of 2026 recession causing some to derisk
Lack of catalysts
News:
Crypto has seen over 1 trillion erased from the total crypto market. It was up 2 trillion since the April lows.
Price broke $100k going as low as $96,000
XRP ETF went live November 13th
96 of the top 100 coins today are red today
US Government is back open
EU regulatory push to centralize crypto oversight
Japan eases up on regulations such as allowing leveraged products for crypto