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Altcoin Gems: Target 20-120% 💎

A whale (or insider) accumulated $ARB before the breakout and still hasn’t sold.

Instead, the tokens were moved to a cold wallet, which suggests this may be a long-term accumulation rather than a quick trade. I believe there’s a good chance they continue accumulating $ARB.

Now, we just need to wait for a healthy pullback and find a good re-entry zone.

On the 1D and 3D timeframes, $ARB has already confirmed a significant breakout.

Accumulation Range: $0.090-0.080
Invalidation: If price forms a new lower low (breaks market structure).

NDX 20D Cycle Target

• NDX satisfied 20D cycle targets on intraday charts
• On the daily chart, NDX will invalidate today the 20D downside target and generate and satisfy 20D upside target, as shown in the second chart (lower rectangle is closing basis, higher rectangle is intraday hi/lo basis)
• No higher targets at this time
• Very different from ES, raises ???
• Will check SPX and NQ soon

Update: $EIGEN

I almost forgot to post my $EIGEN update I think someone asked about it in my last update.

I shared it with subscribers, and $EIGEN has now bounced perfectly from the $0.19 support, which previously acted as resistance.

If momentum continues, my next take-profit zone for July is around $0.25–$0.30.

BREAKING NEWS:

Watchlist of the Week:

The Robinhood Chain (L2)

🐋 Whale Alert: $ARB (@arbitrum).

A wallet has withdrawn another 7.736M $ARB (worth ~$656K) from @binance to a private wallet.

Here’s what’s interesting:

This wallet started accumulating $ARB about one month ago. The position is now up +11.64%, with holdings worth ~$672K.

Despite already being in profit, the wallet bought another 7.736M $ARB just 6 hours ago.

When whales keep adding to winning positions, it often suggests they expect more upside ahead.

With the @RobinhoodApp L2 narrative gaining attention, we’re also seeing strength in $LDO and $PENDLE.

My takeaway:

I believe capital could start rotating into the Ethereum ecosystem, especially DeFi and Ethereum Layer 2 projects.

👀 Keep an eye on your favorite DeFi and L2 altcoins.

Track the wallet here: 👇🏻

https://arkm.com/explorer/address/0x2671bC452f32d8B547Ef9E662E8857dF3944a45D

Altcoin Gem: 20-50% Potential 💎

$EIGEN is already up 28% from the bottom during the recent $BTC correction, and 18% from our entry shared in the subscription and on @SliceApp.

Targets remain unchanged:
🎯 $0.29 → $0.32 → $0.45

Is it enough to take profits now?

If you bought $EIGEN, you could take your initial capital off the table or even fully take profit if that fits your strategy.

As for me, I’m still holding until my targets are reached.

A little secret for current subscribers:

Watch altcoins that have already pumped…

Then wait for them to pull back to a key support level before they bounce again.

If you find one, drop it in the comments on my post. Let’s analyze, trade, and make profits together.

And remember:

If you’re confident in your analysis, take the opportunity.

Oil shorts have been fighting INCREASING their short positions

Altcoin Gem: +5% in 12 Hours

$PYTH bounced perfectly from the buy zone I highlighted yesterday, delivering a 5% gain in just 12 hours.

Did anyone here buy $PYTH?

Lesson: How to Use Cycle Price Targets

There are two main ways to use cycle price targets:

1.      When a cycle target is reached, look for a trend reversal; and

2.      When a cycle target is generated, consider adding to your position and plan a possible trade exit point.

We will use the Ethereum weekly chart below to explain the uses of cycle price targets.

The bluish band represents the so-called forward line of demarcation (FLD) for the 40-week (40W) cycle. Read more about the FLD construction in Lesson Price Projection Method 2.

The green rectangles represent 40W upside cycle targets, the red rectangle is the 40W downside cycle target, and the gray rectangle is the 40W downside cycle target that is not fully reached/satisfied.

Trend Reversals When the Price Reaches the Target

§  The price usually reverses/retraces when a target is achieved.

§  This is generally true for all cycles but especially for the longer ones, and especially when the target is the last one in a particular direction.

Lesson – Cycle Price Projection Method Using FLDs

Today, using Bitcoin as an example, I will explain the cycle-based price projection method. In cycle literature, the method is referred to as price projections using the forward line of demarcation (FLD).

Definitions:

-          Cycle period = time distance between cycle troughs;

-          Forward line of demarcation (FLD) = Price shifted by half the cycle period;

-          Cyan line = median of the price bar;

-          TD = trading day;

-          CD = calendar day;

In this example, the FLD band is constructed by offsetting the median price by TD=7 and TD=8 TDs, which correspond to CD=9 and CD=10 CDs for the nominal 20D cycle that is presumed to vary between 19 and 20 CDs.

H1 is the vertical distance between the last low before the median price intersects with the left FLD band boundary and the intersection point.

H2 is the vertical distance between the last low before the median price intersects with the right FLD band boundary and the inter

US Dollar Sentiment

The USD sentiment was extremely bearish at the Jan'26 low. I called the bottom, not just based on the sentiment, but using my EW and cycle analysis.

It's solidly bullish now, but there's still room for even more optimism.

Stay tuned for more on USD.

Terrible Market Breadth Today

• Decliners outnumber advancers 3:1 across all sectors except Energy, which is benefiting from a geopolitical pop in oil.
• Even Technology is showing poor breadth, despite a bounce in Semis.

🚨 BREAKING NEWS: $ONDO Expands the Utility of Tokenized Stocks

Tokenized stocks are no longer just assets for spot trading.

Starting today, @OndoFinance has officially enabled tokenized stocks as margin collateral on @OndoPerps for equity perpetual trading.

Why is this important for $ONDO?

Tokenized stocks can now serve as productive collateral, rather than simply providing passive exposure. This also opens access to 24/7 global equity derivatives markets, bringing crypto one step closer to traditional financial infrastructure.

This has the potential to deliver liquidity comparable to traditional derivatives markets.

The RWA (Real World Assets) narrative continues to gain momentum, and $ONDO is further strengthening its position as one of the leading projects in the tokenization of real-world assets.

Is rotation from Semis over?

We're coming in lower, and it's broader than it's been all week.

Earlier this week the selling was just the AI names. The chips got hit, but money rotated into everything else and the market held up fine. Overnight, that changed. This morning it's most of the board. The average stock is lower, and about the only green left is energy, with oil up on the Iran headlines, plus a few defensive names.

The bigger trend still hasn't broken, though. The longer-term picture on the S&P and small caps is pointed up, and the Nasdaq's roughly flat. What rolled over is the short-term momentum, and it rolled hard. So this is a real pullback inside an uptrend that's still standing. Not a breakdown, at least not yet.

Small caps are holding up best this morning, so this isn't a full run for the exits. It's the crowded winners, the AI trade, getting sold the hardest.

Today is the test. For two weeks, every dip got bought. Either that happens again once we open, or it doesn't and the selling starts eating into