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Self-Similar Crude Oil Patterns

·         The chart below shows three analogs with high correlation.

·         Based on the cycle constellation, I would rule out the green one.

·         So far, the 1990 analog looks most promising.


PASSIVE LONG TERM TRADE: Adding a 5% ETF position into the Solar ETF. Reserving another 5% if we come back down to $30. I think Solar has a bright future looking out until 2030 which aligns with the silver demand narrative and the aggressive demand for AI and energy we are seeing in the next 5 years.


Solar has only increased since 2021 and this is a textbook example in my opinion about the first wave being the HYPE wave and the second wave being the one that delivers.

Energy about one of the safest future bets even in a bear market and majority of my plays are focused on that.

PORTOFOLIO SUB X : MASIH SAMA !!


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Saya membeli $CRV (DCA).

Jadi total: $CRV saat ini di portofolio ini: ada 5.000 token atau setara: 19 juta (15%).


Dengan AVG PRICE: 0.2124

CHART: $CRV bisa cek di komentar.

Altcoin Gems: target 20-30% 💎


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$NEIRO ETH


Jika kita lihat dari timeframe (1D).

harusnya ada satu kali pust buat $NEIRO turun, setidaknya sampai dasar support.


Dan disana bisa jadi area "bounce" sedikit.

mungkin 10-20 sampai 30% dan di lihat dari penjualan? sudah sedikit mereda.


Mungkin bisa manfaatkan: 0.000053

sebagai area penting untuk $NEIRO bounce.

The semiconductors are officially in a bear market. The SOXX is down more than 20% from its June high, and it's still bleeding this morning. Micron is off 6.5%, Intel is down 5%, and the whole group is red again.


It's worse overseas. Korea's KOSPI got halted again and is now down about 30% from its June peak. Samsung and SK Hynix both dropped double digits overnight. This is the memory and hardware trade, the exact corner everyone crowded into all year, unwinding hard.


None of this should be a shock if you've been watching with us. This was one of the most stretched moves above the 200-day we've ever seen, beaten only by the March 2000 top. When something runs that far that fast, the trip back down is violent. That's what we're getting.


Here's the part that matters. The broad market isn't breaking with it. Money keeps leaving the chips and landing in healthcare, financials, and the defensives. So this is still a concentrated unwind in the most crowded trade, not a market-wide collapse. Th

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Ask me anything & I will answer it in a video for you

Also, chart request video uploading now

This is the problem for markets here... funds are too leveraged, and now are being forced to delever... longs down, shorts up...

WEEKLY LIQUIDITY UPDATE


Global Liquidity Update

Global Liquidity slipped to US$193.62 trillion in the latest data.

  • The 3-month annualised growth rate eased to 6.5%
  • 12-month growth moderated to 5.7%

Latest data confirm that headline liquidity has hit a plateau at near-record highs. Both short-term and annual growth rates continue to decline, indicating a clear moderation in liquidity momentum. Collateral dynamics remain supportive but are likely moderating as evidenced by lower bond values and a slight rise in volatility. Underlying liquidity creation as measured by the Shadow Monetary Base (SMB) is weakening, despite renewed support from the PBoC. Nominal SMB has slipped below year-ago levels and short-term momentum remains negative.


Global Liquidity (US$ Trillions)

  • Latest level: US$193.62T
    (↓ from US$193.80T last week; ↓ from US$194.04T two weeks ago)
  • 12-month growth: 5.7%
    (↓ from 6.3% last week; ↓ from 7.0% two weeks ago)
  • 3-month annualised growth: 6.5%
    (↓ from 10.3% last week; ↓ from 13.3% two
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IMPORTANT: A large short bet on NYMEX crude oil future options has been placed in the market on Monday


The next monthly options expiry is now heavily skewed toward puts (OI vs calls > 70k)

Altcoin Gems: sudah naik 30-41% 💎


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$REZ atau Renzo !!

Bahkan $REZ sempat nge wick sampai +41% !!


Pola: Double Bottom tidak pernah bohong.

andai saja, kemarin lebih mantau @RenzoAI : $REZ yah.


Kalian ada melihat pola double bottom di koin lain kah ? saya lagi obok2 chart dan REQ yang pernah kalian req dlu.


Nyesel: Cut $REZ 😩

Update: $ETH/BTC (3D).


Sesuai postingan akhir juni, dan jully berpotensi naik, 1 bulan sudah berlalu.


Jadi poin pentingnya ?

ini ETH/BTC (3D). Beneran breakout ?

apakah beneran agustus akan bullrun buat altcoin ?


Bahkan $ETH/BTC sudah berada di atas: 0.028 area resisten sebelumnya. Dan saat ini menjadi support.


Jujur guys, menurut kalian ? apakah ini relevan, atau akan ada anomali kali ini yah ?


Atau agustus di naikan ?

lalu menjelang september dump sampai awal oktober ? mungkin ini yang paling masuk akal yah ?