$ETH - Got into the Ethereum trade at a good time. It's amazing that when you let OBV take emotions out of the trade you are forced to be more patient. Have been waiting for it to show any sort of signs of life and we finally get the OBV downtrend break, got through a low volume weekend, and here we are pumping up nicely to the next zone.
Would be awesome if this was the bottom but for now just playing the charts week to week and taking the information that is given to us.
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After the US wanted to prevent shipments of practically all Nvidia chips to China the US now wants shipments of H200 chips to go ahead
China will clearly have other ideas given the US might change its mind again in 5 minutes time.
Nvidia is going to suffer hugely thanks to idiotic US policy decisions with regards to China
$ETH - This chart is looking much better than I would have anticipated. We got such a clean FIB bounce and now I'm seeing OBV breaking out on the daily and price fliting with a breakout. It's showing more strength than Bitcoin and unless it gets a nasty rejection on like Wednesday or stocks have a bad week I'm starting to lean a little more bullish on it again. Might even consider jumping back in to test the waters.
Closed M&M for 4.8k profit. On Friday, it looked promising to go up and yield better PnL of about 8-9k on an upmove to 3800.
But as is the case with entire market, this stock isn't giving follow up on the upside. If we look at T+0, it at least needs a move of 3-4% to improve PnL significantly from here. So that's the reason locking in gains here.
Plan to initiate trade in Jan if stock goes back to 3600
OTHERS Altcoin Index Head & Shoulders Analysis
We’ve got three charts here.
First, we have ONDO which shows a Head and Shoulders top pattern mid breakdown. Target is 20 cents
Second, we have OTHERS that shows the same pattern pre-breakdown. This could suggest altcoins as a whole have another 50-60% leg down coming
Third, we have a cyclical look at OTHERS, which shows that a bear market is right on time, and should bottom in mid-2026
RSI will reach oversold before the bottom is in
Be careful with alts
$FLNC - It's nice when the high conviction, research and analysis starts to play out. This has been one where the more I read into it the better I feel about holding.
The best analogy I can use with these trades is you treat each of them like taking someone out on a date. Each date you expect to go well but sometimes they don't so you start to pullback or maybe give them a second chance. The ones that go well you start to consider more dates (more entries) but with every trade if you see some red flags you want to walk away.
$ETH - I'm actually shocked at how good Ethereum OBV looks, much better than a lot of other charts. As it stands this is pretty much exactly what you want to see for a bottom so it will be interesting to watch. Selling a lot of $ETH above $4k gives me the flexibility to not rush and I know others might be in a different situation but that's why I'm still being a little slow on jumping back in.
Those wanting to take more risk on might consider this entry long term or ideally we still get some secondary entries lower or on much stronger confirmation.
$SOL - Back to looking at this one again and will consider a second shot at longing if and only if we can see this support hold. It could cut through pretty quickly so I'd rather wait for it to start bouncing than knife catching.
If I see OBV hold again forming a possible double bottom I will jump back in for a swing trade.
