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$FLNC - Pretty impressive to see how fast these dips get bought up. Seems like some more bullish news with working on Europes largest battery stroage.

Earnings are on November 24th so after that will consider maybe a 3rd entry if things are looking good or if we get another slump.

Sold 100%
Taking some partial profits on $FLNC. Hard to not de-risk some after almost a 60% move. Still have lots of exposure and will hold longer term, and will probably be tempted to jump back in if we get a correction. Growth stocks that price in future earnings and revenues are really fun to trade on the way up but if news stalls or markets take a dip they tend to get sold off more aggressively. If you'

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Fluence Energy, Inc.

Fluence Energy, Inc.

16 Jan

CLOSEDLONG

Invested Capital

3.1%

Buying Price

17.42$

Selling Price

27.60$

ROI

58.43%

$FLNC - Another strong week with more positive news. It's pricing in a lot of future revenue and future backlog orders so over time the financials should catch up to those valuations. But with how volatile this one can be it never hurts take some profits even with the goal to buy a later dip when volatility swings the other day.

Entries up or near 50% so not a bad trade so far to kick off the year.


My target to cover my silver short and flip long is around $58


That's where the 06.18 retracement of wave 3 is and makes sense to form a bottom around there


Short Jio Fin through put diagonal - It broke down, made an attempt to reverse in last couple of days but didn't sustain.


There is not much IV differential but just 10 days to expiry so instead of initiating a put spread in Feb, took diagonal. SL - close above 288 spot.


Long 290 PE Feb

Short 280 PE Jan

Bitcoin getting rejected at a key level (white box) and tomorrow is a fib-time pivot so should be closue to this counter trend bounce concluding.


I'm expecting February to be quite ugly for risk assets

Fast food chains have leverage at the franchisee level and secular pressure from Ozempic.

Restaurant Brands International Inc.

Restaurant Brands International Inc.

15 Jan

OPENSHORT

Invested Capital

5%

Selling Price

69.58$

Current Price

-

ROI

0.00%

E2E Networks Ltd- Discussing Depreciation ...
Dec '25 results is dismal.
Sales up from 41 Cr to 70 Cr
And Np down from 11.60 C r to Loss of 5 Cr!!
Last year Dec '24 Depreciation was 17.82 Cr and this Dec'25 , Depreciation is 47.65 Cr..? WOW!!
Can you imagine an IT Co takes out 47 Cr from 70 Cr sales as depreciation?
If from 70 Cr , Co is taking out 47 Cr as Depreciation, then what is the use of running a Business?
I think before also I discussed about E2E Networks Ltd, that I can't buy such high valuation stock.....
For me the valuation is too high..even before this Dec'25 result.
On sales of only 160 Cr, how I can buy E2E Networks Ltd at the value of 4000 Cr Mcap?
That is 25X of sales!!.....I can't even think of buying , I don't even look at such stocks.....How much growth they say will come and Np will come....abhi se hi itna high valued hai....kitna bhi sales ayega, market kitna rerate karega?
See, E2E Networks Ltd has no P/E!!
But how the depreciation went up to 45 Cr, and that is 65% of tota

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And another Japanese bank

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc.

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc.

15 Jan

OPENLONG

Invested Capital

10%

Buying Price

8.508$

Current Price

-

ROI

0.00%

I have reduced my silver length materially Yday as we were visiting usd 90 plus. Just keeping a few bullets just in case. I don’t like the current price action. If I exited too early, so be it, I will wait for an appropriate entry point

RISK MANAGEMENT

It's probably the most important thing about trading that usually gets taught last or discovered after blowing an account or losing big on a trade. In order of important you have risk management, exits, and then entries. Most think they are getting bad entries and that's why they are bad at trading, that's not actually the case because a bad entry with a good exit and proper risk management can still be a good trade. The opposite applies for a great entry but bad risk management and a bad entry, you can end up losing, round tripping, or over managing a trade and making less than you would had you gone smaller and forgot about it.

1% RISK PER TRADE - THE SWEET SPOT


Everyone is in a different financial position but there's something about 1% risk per trade that seems to work at all different tax brackets. 1% doesn't mean 1% growth, it means you are risking 1% of your entire 100% account size. That means if a trade goes wrong, and idea doesn't work, or a big gamble doesn't p

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Let's go with some video content today...


I clipped this from some analysis we recorded this morning.


Domestic liquidity's getting interesting. If you're watching FNGD and Repo, you're seeing early signals of short-term refinancing stress in the US market. The pressure's building.


We track momentum and liquidity signals daily because they tell you when something's about to crack before it actually does.


China's printing again, and it's showing up in metals. Copper is pushing higher, gold and silver are rallying, and platinum and palladium are following. When China stimulates, the money flows into manufacturing and metals demand. Our printing? Goes into banks and financial assets.


We're a financialized economy. China is a manufacturing economy. The transmission is completely different.


Add in the geopolitical stuff. US and Iran tensions, Iran's internet is blacked out, EU's still dealing with energy vulnerability. CME's having structural problems while all this is converging.


If you missed t

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USDT.D is consistently hitting this region as a liquidity grab. I suspect this time will not be different

Crude - please avoid the itch to trade it positionally for now. I understand the premiums are healthy for crude - 650+ straddle is about 12% of the underlying but that's there for a reason. This may turn ugly because of geo political tension. It's ok to lose out on some "potential opportunity" for mental peace.


If you have existing position, manage them well. If not, avoid for now.

The gap between the yield on 10 year JGB and the S&P 500 dividend yield is the highest since the 1990s. Either its a bubble - or investors prefer the inflation hedging aspects of equities to sovereign bonds. Perhaps this changes when governments feel obliged to balance the books.

It is interesting to still see how few people grasp that when there are shortages of a critical metal like silver and there is a huge demand, that the price will have to move to where true price discovery is found and we then have sellers as well as buyers and price equilibrium will be found. In addition fake paper markets become untenable.


Therefore drawing line of charts is meaningless and saying things like "they" don't want the silver price over 50, no wait over 60, definitely not 70, we can assure you not 80 and 90 is impossible are equally meaningless.


They don't apply in the real world.